MOScout Weekender: Senate 30 Poll - Hallway Index on Senate Pro Tem Race - "Who Won the Week" and more...
MOScout Weekly Poll: Senate 30
Here are the toplines for this week’s poll. It shows Lincoln Hough with a lead in Senate 30, though Claire McCaskill is neck and neck with Josh Hawley in the district. And it shows that the economy is the GOP’s strong issue to run on. See the full results here.
Q: Do you approve or disapprove of Donald Trump’s job performance as President?
Approve: 48%
Disapprove: 47%
Not sure: 5%
Q: Candidates in the November 2018 General Election for United States Senate are the Republican Josh Hawley and the Democrat Claire McCaskill. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Josh Hawley: 47%
Claire McCaskill: 48%
Undecided: 5%
Q: Candidates in the November 2018 General Election for State Senate are the Republican Lincoln Hough and the Democrat Charlie Norr. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Lincoln Hough: 48%
Charlie Norr: 42%
Undecided: 10%
Q: Which political party best represents your views on economic issues?
Republican: 51%
Democratic: 37%
Not sure: 12%
And
See a map of how Senate 30 voted in 2016 here.
MOScout’s Hallway Index: Senate Pro Tem Race
This week I asked by hallway focus group who they thought would win the Senate Pro Tem race. Here’s how the 29 replies came down.
Ed Emery: 0%
Mike Cunningham: 34.4%
Bob Onder: 31%
Dave Schatz: 13.8%
Too Hard to Guess: 20.7%
Sample of comments
Mike Cunningham
Mike Cunningham had been the dark horse for a long time, now I hear his name more and more.
Bob Onder
Onder is the current front-runner, but Senate leadership elections have taught us to expect the unexpected. I believe that they are currently in this order: Onder, Cunningham, Schatz, Emery. Emery is the only one who I believe does not have a path
Dave Schatz
This is a tough one because of the primary election results, so my level of confidence is admittedly not super high.
Too Hard to Guess
I have watched several senate leadership races and aside from Tom Dempsey, in recent memory, none of them have gone as planned.
The race seems to be between Cunningham and Onder, but Senators are notoriously coy about their commitments. My guess is that it'll come down to a couple votes. This is a huge opportunity for the incoming freshman to shape the next 2-4 years.
Mike Parson was supposed to win president pro tem. Lots of deals can be cut leading up to the vote
And This Comment
Rowden should have a lot of fun with a re-elect looming as Floor Leader to Onder…
Who Won the Week?
Congressman Billy Long wins the week. See who else “Won the Week” here.
New Committees
Johnson & Johnson PAC Missouri (Affiliated With Johnson & Johnson Federal Pac) was formed. Its treasurer is Todd Houldsworth.
1st Mo Pro Choice Nominee PAC Number One, and 1st Mo Gun Reform Nominee PAC Number One were formed. The treasurer for both PACs is Michele L Hornish.
Missouri Health Plan Association PAC was formed. Its treasurer is Katherine Eaton.
Missouri's Energy Future PAC was formed. Its treasurer is Carrie Ross.
Lobbyists Registrations
Kristin Czubkowski added KWB LLC.
$5K+ Contributions
Missouri Senate Campaign Committee - $10,000 from Hegeman for Senate.
CLEAN Missouri - $300,000 from Action Now Initiative (Houston, TX).
Find the Cures - $15,000 from Bradley Bradshaw.
SaferMO.Com - $15,000 from Missourians for Safe Transportation and New Jobs, Inc.
Home Builders Assoc of Greater KC-PAC - $16,240 from National Association of Home Builders.