MOScout Daily Update: Polls Buoy Eigel - New Kehoe Ad - Chrismer Adds $$$ - Big Checks from Carpenters and more…
Quick Wednesday update…
Polls Buoy Eigel
Sen. Bill Eigel’s gubernatorial campaign was buoyed yesterday by two polls which showed him in a hunt. Polls previously throughout the campaign have had Eigel in a distant third.
ARW Strategies (June 27-30, MoE +/-4%) has him tied for second with Jay Ashcroft and within the margin of error of Mike Kehoe. See the toplines here.
Meanwhile, the Missouri Independent found a poll from the pro-Kehoe PAC which had Ashcroft and Kehoe tied at 27% and Eigel forming a base at 16%. The article says the polls was conducted in “early June.” And it quotes the pollster warning of a potential shift in the landscape: “If Eigel is able to attract additional resources, this could become a true three-way contest.”
What It Means
With Ashcroft and Kehoe aiming their fire exclusively at each other, Eigel could gain more ground. We’ll see…
New Kehoe Ad Hit Ashcroft on Vet Comments
The new ad from the pro-Kehoe American Dream PAC used Jay Ashcroft’s remarks (from a Lincoln Days forum) about veterans receiving special veterans. “I don’t think we ought to say that if you’re in the military we’ll give you this discount, but everybody else has to pay twice as much. I don’t think that’s good government.”
A veteran then addresses the camera to exclaim his disgust before the ad pivots to a pro-Kehoe message.
Chrismer Antes $50K
Rich Chrismer, running in the Senate 23 Republican primary, anted $50,000 into his campaign account. He’s still behind in the money race, trailing Reps. Phil Christofanelli and Adam Schnelting. But despite fewer resources, Chrismer remains a potent wildcard in that race. He has decades of name ID in St. Charles. The April MOScout/Remington poll found him starting that race basically tied with Schnelting and Christofanelli (with huge undecideds). I had assumed that Chrismer would fade as race unspooled. But if he’s going to spend money, the question becomes: from whom is he taking votes? My gut would be that the establishment Chrismer is more of a problem for Christofanelli than Schnelting.
Carpenters Cash
We’re seeing more checks from the Carpenters. They’re flowing to both Republicans and Democrats. Here’s are the candidates whose PAC have received big Carpenters’ checks this year…
· Lincoln Hough (GOP, LG) - $100,000.
· Pat Contreras (Dem, Senate 7) - $75,000.
· Kurtis Gregory (GOP, Senate 21) - $50,000.
· Jamie Burger (GOP Senate 27) - $50,000
· Dan Houx (GOP, Senate 31) - $25,000.
· Aaron McMullen (GOP, Senate 11) - $20,000.
· Aaron Crossley (Dem, House 29) - $10,000.
Lobbyists Registrations
John Bardgett, Chris Roepe, and Mark Habbas added Enough Abuse; and deleted CHILD USAdvocacy.
Steven Carroll added CARDS Holdings, Inc.
$5K+ Contributions
American Dream PAC (pro-Kehoe) - $10,000 from Brian Hogan.
Lincoln PAC (pro-Hough) - $7,500 from MO Corn Growers Association PAC.
Lincoln PAC - $7,175 from Friends of Missouri State University PAC.
Defend Missouri (pro-Scharf) - $700,000 from Club for Growth Action - Missouri Federal Committee (pro-Scharf).
Ozark Gateway Leadership PAC (pro-Cody Smith) - $25,000 from Rex Sinquefield.
Chrismer For Good Government - $50,000 from Richard Chrismer.
The Wonderdog PAC (pro-Kurtis Gregory) - $50,000 from Mid-America Carpenters Regional Council MO-KC PAC.
Bootheel Values PAC (pro-Burger) - $50,000 from Mid-America Carpenters Regional Council Missouri-Kansas Area PAC.
Bootheel Values PAC - $25,000 from Paladin PAC.
Independence PAC (pro-McMullen) - $20,000 from Mid-America Carpenters Regional Council Missouri-Kansas Area PAC.
ARC PAC (pro-Aaron Crossley) - $10,000 from Mid-America Carpenters Regional Council Missouri-Kansas Area PAC.
Independence Leadership PAC (pro-Sauls) - $20,000 from Boyd Kenter Thomas & Parrish LLC.
Conservative Leadership of the Ozarks (pro-Travis Smith) - $20,000 from Conservative Leadership for Southwest Missouri (pro-Bean).
Conservative Leadership of the Ozarks - $5,001 from MOSFA PAC INC.
Citizens 4 Dr. Lisa Thomas - $20,000 from Lisa Thomas.
Evergy Employee PowerPAC - Missouri - $20,000 from Evergy Employee PowerPAC – Missouri.
Missourians for Constitutional Freedom - $20,000 from Jean Rosenthal.
Living Well PAC - $50,000 from MoANA.
Living Well PAC - $25,000 from Starling Missouri.
Conservative Leaders of Missouri - $20,000 from Warrenton Oil Company.
Missouri Senior PAC - $20,000 from Warrenton Oil Company.
Missouri Growth PAC - $20,000 from Warrenton Oil Company.
MO Majority PAC LLC - $20,000 from Warrenton Oil Company.
Missouri C PAC - $20,000 from Warrenton Oil Company.
Missouri AG PAC - $20,000 from Warrenton Oil Company.
Paladin PAC - $45,000 from J&J Ventures of Missouri LLC (Effingham, IL).
MO Bankers Association State PAC - $10,000 from Southern Bank.
Birthdays
Happy birthdays to Rep. Doug Mann, Sarah Schuett, Hart Nelson, and Duane Simpson (the big 5-0).
Thursday: Sen. Curtis Trent, Rep. Adrian Plank, Victor Callahan, Jim Moody, Brian Millner, Joe Aull, and Courtney Cole.
Friday: Jerry Hunter, Jake Zimmerman, Chris Molendorp and Gary Dusenberg.
Saturday: Susan Montee.
Sunday: Fred Kratky.
MOScout Schedule
I’m off… Happy 4th! Be safe. See y’all Monday!