Saturday, October 29, 2016

Post-Dispatch Poll: Gubby Race Tied, Hensley Down

The Post-Dispatch released more of their polling results.  They find the gubernatorial race basically tied with Chris Koster at 46% and Eric Greitens at 45%, in a poll with a margin of error of +/-4%.

And they show Josh Hawley leading Teresa Hensley 50% to 40% in the attorney general race.

See it here.


Robin Smith Ad

See Robin Smith’s first commercial here.  She’s seated in a mock newscaster set-up and speaking a newscaster cadence.  I suppose it is  designed to help people in the St. Louis area recall her from the time that she was television.  But I find it underwhelming.


New Greitens Ads

Eric Greitens’ campaign released two new ads.  One is positive (“Future”) featuring him and his wife walking with their kids in stroller.  See it here.  And a 15-second negative spot on Koster being a career politician.  See it here.


New Yes on 3 Ad

Yes for 3 put out a new ad which plays into the anti-politician mood, saying that politicians don’t like the cigarette tax increase because they can’t control the money.  See it here.


Politico on Clinton FBI News

Politico reports on how Republicans in battleground Senate races used the news of the FBI reopening its Hillary Clinton email investigation.  See it here.

Pull Quote: Meanwhile, a handful of Democratic Senate candidates competing in closely contested states quickly issued statements stressing that they’ve long recognized that Clinton had erred in using a private email server as secretary of state. Some Democrats also took a cautious tone, nudging the FBI to thoroughly look into the matter.

"As I've said before, Secretary Clinton's use of a private email server was a mistake,” Jason Kander, the Democratic candidate in the Missouri Senate race, said in an e-mailed statement. “I trust the FBI's investigation and know they will handle this case, as they do with all others, with the utmost integrity."

Immediately following the FBI news, Kander faced calls from his GOP opponent — Sen. Roy Blunt — to step down from his role as national co-chair of Clinton’s campaign. (Kander's campaign says he was never a national co-chair; rather, Kander served on the Clinton's state leadership council for the Missouri primary with a slew of other down-ballot candidates.) Blunt and fellow Republicans have relentlessly tied Kander to Clinton in what has become a tossup Senate race, hoping Clinton’s unpopularity in the conservative-leaning state will drag down the insurgent Democrat.


Messenger on Roberts Walker Saga

Tony Messenger revisits the Steven RobertsCora Walker accusation and counter accusation in his column.  Messenger says despite the most recent details from Roberts, he believes Walker. See it here.


State Seeks Financial Advisor

The current contract for financial advisor services is expiring…  The contractor shall provide administrative oversight of the State of Missouri’s tax supported debt, which shall include, but not be limited to, analyses on the state’s debt position, advisory services, and testimonial services.  The contractor shall have a minimum of three (3) years of experience with advising a state client… The contractor shall provide Ongoing Analysis and Financial Advisory Services which include, but are not limited to, the following:

  1. A quarterly analysis of outstanding debt for refunding/refinancing opportunities;
  2. Assistance with rating agency presentations;
  3. Analysis of current and prospective municipal market;
  4. Analysis of financing techniques, methodologies, and trends;
  5. Assistance and advisement on debt management policies, including total debt and use of debt;
  6. Advisement on any proposed use of debt;
  7. Prepare, analyze, and advise on proposed debt scenarios;
  8. Representation in any financing negotiations, if requested by the state agency;
  9. Assistance with secondary market disclosure requirements;
  10. Testimony on debt related budget requests or debt related legislation at legislative hearings; and
  11. Assistance with RFP preparation and proposal evaluation for any financing service necessary.


New Committee

V.O.T.E. Progress was formed.  It’s in Lee’s Summit. Its treasurer is Joseph Spallo. See the paperwork here.


$5K+ Contributions

MO Petroleum Marketers + Convenience Store Assoc PAC - $465,000 from Cheyenne International LLC.

MO Petroleum Marketers + Convenience Store Assoc PAC - $305,000 from Xcaliber International LTD LLC.

Missourians for Fair Taxation - $116,566 from National Association of RELATORS.

Vote Yes on 3 for Kids - $120,000 from RAI Services Company.

MO Republican Party - $100,000 from House Republican Campaign Committee Inc.

Teresa Hensley for Missouri - $100,000 from Democratic Attorneys General Association Missouri.

Teresa Hensley for Missouri - $80,000 from Democratic Attorneys General Association Missouri.

Koster for Missouri - $75,000 from The Slay Committee.

Taxpayers in Support of Public Education - $73,000 from Missouri National Education Association.

Friends of Caleb Rowden - $50,458 from Central Missouri Senate Republican PAC.

Hawley for Missouri - $42,000 from Greitens for Missouri.

Teresa Hensley for Missouri - $38,014 from Missouri Democratic State Committee.

MO National Education Assoc PAC - $33,000 from National Education Association.

Koster for Missouir - $25,000 from Derek Potts.

Koster for Missouri - $25,000 from UFCW Local 88 Meat Cutters Union.

MO Republican Party - $20,000 from Ameren Missouri.

Association of MO Electric Cooperatives PAC - $20,000 from Assn. of Missouri Electric Cooperatives.

Koster for Missouri - $20,000 from Northpark Partners LLC.

Committee to Elect Gary Myers Judge - $17,000 from Gary Myers.

Rizzo for Missouri - $15,000 from Carpenters Help in the Political Process (CHIPP).

Democratic Campaign Committee of St Louis City - $15,000 from Missourians for Kander.

Citizens for Stephen Webber - $13,639 from Missouri State Democratic Committee.

Greitens for Missouri - $12,500 from Jerry L Sumners.

MO Republican Paryt - $12,000 from Kansas City Missouri Republican Senate PAC.

Citizens for Stephen Webber - $10,969 from Missouri State Democratic Committee.

Koster for Missouri - $10,000 from PCFP LLC.

Missourians for Smaller Government - $10,000 from HTH Companies Inc.

Missouri Right to Life Political Action Committee - $10,000 from Michael Ross.

Nicole Galloway for Missouri - $10,000 from UAW V CAP.

Voters for Susan McClintic - $7,000 from Friends of Martha Stevens.

Mary Nichols for State Rep - $5,231 from Missouri State Democratic Committee.

Democratic Campaign Committee of St Louis City- $5,100 from UAW Region 5 PAC.

Greitens for Missouri - $5,001 from John Gentry.