Tuesday, June 7, 2016

Greitens First Ad

So he’s a Navy SEAL, if you hadn’t heard.  In his first ad he puts on safety goggles, fires machine gun, and something blows up.  It strikes me as ridiculous, but this is the Year of the Donald, so what do I know about what the electorate wants?   See his ad here.

Tweet of the Day

Democratic consultant Patrick Lynn ‏@patrickalynn: Is the meant as a parody?

Brunner’s Ad

Hitting a Trumpian theme of his own, here’s John Brunner saying that unlike the other candidate, he “can’t be bought.”  See it here.


Peter Kinder’s ad (see it here) hits various fronts of the culture war.  We see Melissa Click’s “muscle” moment, there’s fear of transgenderism in the loo, and the obligatory Obamacare reference.

Tell Me

I’m curious what folks think.  It’s just the opening salvos of course, but still: which one is most effective?

Coming Soon

We’ll be seeing Catherine Hanaway’s ad soon.  On my ad buy look-out, there’s a contract that has hers starting tomorrow.  See it here.


GOP LG candidate Bev Randles, who banked a cool $750K from Humphreys and Sinquefield last week, is showing up with an ad buy as well.  It looks like she’ll start after July 4 holiday and run through the primary.  See it here.


Baker Polling Memo: We’re Winning

Judy Baker’s campaign manager Eric Litmer sent over their polling memo, showing she’s well positioned to win the Democratic treasurer primary in August.  See the memo here.

Pull Quote: Our survey1 of 500 likely Democratic primary voters reveals that Pat Contreras is virtually unknown among statewide primary voters, with no real base of support from which to build his candidacy. Baker, on the other hand, has a firm base of support in the Columbia media market and higher name recognition and favorability across the state. Given the prohibitive cost of communicating at a high enough level to dramatically increase a candidate’s profile statewide in Missouri, these existing advantages will be very important in August…

In a low turnout primary such as the one we anticipate this year, we always look to the most consistent primary voters as a key indicator and find that Baker’s advantage with this critical group (54 to 12 percent) is almost identical to her overall margin….


Ethics Complaint Against Hawley

Columbia Daily Tribune’s Rudi Keller reports on an ethics complaint filed against Republican attorney general candidate Josh Hawley alleging that he created non-profit organization for campaigning purposes.  See it here.

Pull Quote:  In the seven-page complaint, Stoddard County Prosecuting Attorney Russell Oliver asked the commission to revisit its investigation of a similar complaint from last year… Oliver’s complaint asks the commission to investigate whether two not-for-profit organizations created by Hawley provided unreported in-kind support to his campaign and improperly hid the donors. Using evidence from the open records lawsuit, Oliver accused Hawley of using his university computers to set up speaking engagements before partisan groups…


Latest Humphreys Checks

Checks from David Humphreys and his sister, Sarah Atkins, continue to show up in the large contributions.  Yesterday Republican Mary West, who is challenging Rep. Chrissy Sommers in a primary, reported receiving $25K from them.  As did incumbent Rep. Justin Hill.

The consistent theme behind Humphreys’ checks appears to be supporting people who are with him on labor issues – i.e. paycheck protection, right to work.


On the other side of the labor equation, presumptive Democratic gubernatorial nominee Chris Koster received $125K from the Sheet Metal workers.


MRTA Against RYH4K

Another teachers group, albeit retired teachers, takes a stand against raising the cigarette tax to fund early childhood education.  Pretty amazing.

The press release: The Missouri Retired Teachers Association and Public School Personnel (MRTA) Board of Directors has unanimously voted to oppose the tobacco tax increase known as "Raise Your Hand for Kids" (RYH4K)….  "We join a host of other education groups throughout Missouri who oppose this dangerous plan to move public tax dollars to religious and private schools through a voucher program," said Jim Kreider, Executive Director. "If this battle sounds familiar, it is because we in the education community have been fighting this transfer of tax dollars to private schools for years."



According to LinkedIn, Charlie Puyear is now Digital Campaign Manager at Victory Enterprises.  And Terry Jarrett is now Senior Attorney at Healy Law Offices, LLC.


Help Wanted

MOSEIA, the Missouri Solar Energy Industry Association, seeks executive director.  “Based in Mid-Missouri (Columbia/Jefferson City region), the Executive Director (ED) of MOSEIA is the face of the Missouri solar industry. The ED has the principal role of ensuring the sustainability of the organization by fundraising from members and sponsors, interacting with the board of directors and member companies, facilitating educational opportunities for member companies, and helping coordinate policy issues at the statehouse and utility regulatory commission…”  See the ad here.


Today’s Events

From Mary Scruggs’ indispensable events calendar:

Capitol Commission Golf – Osage National Course – Lake– 10:30AM

Rep. Gail McCann Beatty Golf – Swope Memorial Golf Course – KC – 8AM


Lobbyists Registrations

Harry Gallagher and Heath Clarkston deleted Missouri Retailers Association and Missouri Financial Services Association.

Kimberly Akin deleted Missouri Financial Services Association.

Thomas Kent deleted Missouri State University.

Trina Ragain deleted March of Dimes, Greater Missouri Chapter.

Bob Jackson deleted Bob Jackson.


$5K+ Contributions

Hill for Missouri - $12,500 from Sarah Atkins.

Hill for Missouri - $12,500 from David Humphreys.

Greitens for Missouri - $5,001 from KH Holman.

Citizens for Steve Stenger - $10,000 from Rubicon Corporation.

Committee to Elect Mary West - $12,500 from David Humphreys.

Committee to Elect Mary West - $12,500 from Sarah Atkins.

Missourians for John Brunner - $5,001 from Eugene Toombs.

Working Families Committee - $10,000 from SEIU Missouri State Council PAC.

Greitens for Missouri - $5,001 from John Hammond.

Early Childhood Education Initiative - $100,000 from RAI Services Company.

Returning Government to the People - $12,000 from Fred Sauer.

Koster for Missouri - $125,000 from Sheet Metal Workers’ Political Action League.

Missourians for John Brunner - $5,001 from Keith Harbison.



Happy birthday to former Rep. Trent Skaggs.