Thursday, October 18, 2012

Committee Cash On-Hand Numbers

Here are the various cash on-hand figures from the October reports.  These are now almost three weeks old, but they should the clear mismatch.  Democratic candidates are really on their own. In the battleground races, this could tip the scales toward Republican victories.



Missouri (Republican) Senate Campaign Committee: $168,790

Senate Democratic Campaign Committee: $9,394



House Republican Campaign Committee: $1,393,934

House Democratic Campaign Committee: $146,728



McCaskill’s Two Polling Messages

Sen. Claire McCaskill’s campaign has been sending two different poll results to two different audiences.


Yesterday there was the campaign fundraising pitch emailed to supporters which highlighted an outside poll showing Akin up +4.




The latest public poll in this race shows Todd Akin beating Claire... by 4 points.  That's not a typo.  While other polls show us in the lead, it's clear that this race is going to be close all the way to the end.  That's why it's so important that we hit Claire's 20,000 donation goal before tonight's midnight FEC reporting deadline. And we're only 1,418 donations away.


Message: this isn’t over we need money, people!


But the McCaskill campaign also leaked their own internal poll to Washington insider publications like Hotline and Roll Call which showed her leading comfortably, +14.


Message: national Republican money, you can stick a fork in Akin, this race is done, place you bets somewhere else.



Zweifel Ad

Incumbent Clint Zweifel released his television ad.  It shows him walking the street with a briefcase labeled “Missouri Tax Dollars” navigating various pitfalls – manhole, biker, ladder, con artist and finally a plummeting safe.


“As Missouri’s treasurer I work everyday to keep your tax dollars safe and avoid risk…” See it here.



Anti-Akin Ad

Majority PAC released a TV ad yesterday.   It runs through all the fringe-ish things Akin has said with the not-so-subtle message: won’t you will be embarrassed for Missouri if Akin wins?  See it here.



Doug Libla Ad

In Senate 25, Republican candidate Doug Libla’s ad is biographical, filmed in front of his childhood house.  It’s log cabin material.  “My mom and dad worked hard for over fifty-five years they carried the US mail. Actually my dad carried mail on horseback…”  See it here.



White House Interns

The White House Internship Program announced yesterday the participants for the Fall 2012 session. Here are the interns with Missouri ties.


Ashley Abarr – Hometown: St. Joseph, MO; Wellesley College, MA.

Eileen Boyle – Hometown: Burr Ridge, IL; Washington University in St. Louis School of Law, MO.

Emma Fisher – Hometown: Kansas City, MO; Pitzer College, CA.

Deanna Parrish – Hometown: Miami, FL; Washington University in St. Louis, MO.

Luke Schiel – Hometown: St. Louis, MO; Washington University in St. Louis, MO

James Wall – Hometown: St. Louis, MO; Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, New York University, NY.



Split Screen

Tonight on the tubes – Cardinals and Giants  or  McCaskill and Akin.  Both start at 7pm.




On Drebes Picking Swinger in Upset

Doug Libla has turned control over to Barklage & Knodell. Swinger won’t be within 8 points.”



Lobbyist Registrations

From the Pelopidas website:


Steven R Carroll added ACLU-EM.

Jim Cooper deleted Perdue Pharma.



$5K+ Contributions

Missourians for Koster - $10,000 from Blue Cross Blue Shield of Kansas City Political Action Committee for Missouri.

Missourians for Koster - $10,000 from United Food & Commercial Workers Local #655 Elect Political Action Fund.

Missourians for Koster - $7,500 from SEUI HealthCare Missouri PAC.

MO Republican Party - $16,500 from Citizens for Ryan Silvey.

Mary Still for Senate – Missouri Democratic Campaign Committee.

MO House Democratic Campaign Committee - $16,000 from Citizens to Elect Charlie Norr.

Lembke for Senate - $6,000 from Citizens for Nieves.

Citizens for Vicki Lorenz Englund - $13,274 from Missouri House Democratic Campaign Committee.

Jay Nixon for Missouri - $25,000 from James Nutter Sr.

MO Democratic State Committee - $14,250 from Mary Still for Senate.

Frame for the House - $10,000 from Jake Hummel Campaign Fund.

Frame for the House - $5,933 from Missouri Democratic State Committee.

Missouri Senate Campaign Committee - $10,000 from Citizens to Elect Mike Kehoe.

MO Petroleum Marketers + Convenience Store Assoc PAC - $50,000 from Cheyenne International LLC.

Planned Parenthood Advocates MOKAN PAC - $12,500 from Planned Parenthood Action Fund.

Montee for Missouri - $10,000 from Hoisting Engineers Local 513 Political & Educational Fund.

Romine for Senate - $34,800 from Missouri Republican Party.

Citizens to Elect Kurt Schaefer - $19,685 from Realtors PAC Missouri.

McCaslin for Treasurer - $15,000 from Carol McCaslin.

Schoeller for Missouri - $10,000 from Roy Pfautch.

Pearce for Senate - $6,100 from Missouri Senate Campaign Committee.

Friends to Elect Cole McNary - $10,000 from Cape Radiology.




Happy birthdays to Jim Talent and AIM’s Ray McCarty.