Tuesday, October 2, 2012


Your Daily Akin

Sen. Claire McCaskill says that her internal poll has her stomping (this is, up nine 50%-41%).  See the memo here.


McCaskill played weak until the drop date passed.  Now she plays strong and tells outside groups their money would be a waste here.



Akin’s Fundraising “Dried Up?”

Akin supporters received a fundraising email this morning from the Senate Conservatives Fund titled “Republicans support Democrat in Senate Race.”  It decries the abandonment of Akin and pummels “establish Republicans” in an attempt to raise money.


Fellow Conservatives:

Why does the Republican Establishment always attack and abandon conservative candidates rather than moderate ones?  They say it's because conservative candidates are less electable, but the facts don't support their claim…


The fact is conservative candidates actually stand for something and they give voters a real choice between liberty and tyranny. They're not only more principled, they're more electable too.

But this fact hasn't stopped the Republican Establishment from attacking and abandoning Todd Akin (R-MO), the conservative nominee for U.S. Senate in Missouri…


The National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) and American Crossroads (co-founded by Karl Rove) announced they would not spend a penny helping Todd Akin if he remained on the ballot.


This elevated the controversy, dried up Akin's fundraising, and made it even harder for him to recover. Make no mistake, the establishment would never have done this to a moderate candidate. Never…



Matt Hoskins Executive Director Senate Conservatives Fund



Does This Mean More RGA $$$ Headed to Spence?

From Politico’s Morning Score:  “SNEAK PEEK - RGA RAISED $14.8 MILLION IN Q3: The Republican Governors Association has brought in $43.8 million so far this year and $88 million this cycle, essentially twice as much as the last comparable cycle in 2008.”



Ed’s New Ad

Ed Martin, competing against Chris Koster who has produced what some people think is the best commercial in Missouri so far this cycle, released a new advertisement yesterday.


It shows him zipping from place to place highlighting a softer Ed Martin – wife Carol, and kids make cameo – perhaps in an attempt to broaden his appeal.  See it here.



Then Watch Koster’s New Ad

Here is Koster’s second commercial: “His opponent has never even had a jury trial or put a single criminal behind bars. And Missouri’s top law enforcement job isn’t where beginners go to learn.”  See it here.


I think it’s clear who wins this round.



Martin’s Buys

Again, culling from the FEC political advertising database gives a “sense” not a full picture.  It only includes St. Louis and Kansas City markets and doesn’t include cable buys.


St. Louis

NBC affiliate: 35 spots next two weeks, 29 spots the follow two weeks. Approx total buy: $50K.


ABC affiliate: nothing on record.


CBS affiliate: 112 spots through Election Day.  Approx total buy approx. $95K.


FOX affiliate:  21 spots this week, 30 spots the following two weeks.  Approx total buy: $45K



Kansas City

NBC affiliate: 71 spots next three weeks, 78 spots final week.  Approx total buy $40K.


ABC affiliate: nothing on record.


CBS affiliate: nothing on record.


FOX affiliate: 28 spots, Approx total buy: $10K.




Koster nabs the NRA endorsement.  From the Koster’s statement: “I am honored to receive the NRA's endorsement.  As Attorney General, my job is to protect and defend the rights of all Missourians – and this includes their right to bear arms.”



The Person Behind Always Wants More Debates

Team Spence asks for more debates from Team Nixon…


Dear Oren:


I’m writing to request that Governor Nixon’s campaign quickly agree to five additional gubernatorial debates/forums between Governor Nixon and Dave Spence so that Missourians have the benefit of hearing directly from the candidates about their plans for the future of Missouri. Dave Spence was pleased to participate in the Missouri Press Association’s forum last week with Governor Nixon. I think we should agree to more opportunities like that.


Our campaign has received numerous requests from all across the state for us to participate in forums/debates with Governor Nixon. We obviously cannot accommodate all of the requests and I’m not interested in engaging in a debate about debates. Please consider agreeing to the following opportunities that we have already agreed to that are geographically disbursed throughout the state and that will allow many more Missourians to see/hear direct interaction between the candidates. Those opportunities which we’ve already agreed to include:

1. KTVI STL Oct. 15

2. KMBZ KC Oct. 18

3. Channel 9 STL (Beyond November) Oct. 23

4. KY3 Springfield Oct. 26

5. NEMO Newspapers Event in Kirksville Nov. 2nd


I’d suggest similar ground rules to those that we agreed to for the MPA debate. Those would include hour-long events with brief opening remarks, questions from a moderator/panel, brief rebuttal and short closing remarks. I think it makes sense to continue to agree that neither candidate having any prepared remarks or notes when these events begin but having notepads and pens to be able to take notes during the event. Please let me know if what I’ve laid out is acceptable to Governor Nixon’s campaign. We’ve been informed that you’ve already been requested to participate in these events so hopefully they have been on your radar and we can quickly get them on the books.



Jared Craighead



Tim Jones, Carl Beardon and Herman Cain Walk into a Luncheon…

Dear Friend,


As Speaker of the Missouri House, I know how confusing election law "do's and don'ts" can be. Employers are bombarded with information about what they can and cannot do in regards to educating their employees. Even in small organizations like my law firm, it can seem like a maze. It's not only confusing but it can also be discouraging to even try to help educate employees on issues.  With that in mind, I am writing to you today with important information and an invitation…


I would like to introduce you to an organization that, I believe, will be very helpful to employers all across America. Job Creators Solutions was formed to promote free-market policies that encourage job creation and is a joint effort of businessman and former presidential candidate, Herman Cain, and Bernie Marcus, the co-founder of Home Depot…


They have a multi-faceted approach, but their first major undertaking is called Truth Tour 2012, which will take part this fall in 30 cities, over 30 days, with 3 events per day in each locale. Events are free to attend and will include luncheons with business leaders like you and me, private meetings with faith-based and/or minority coalition leaders, and energetic events for college students and campus leaders. Each event will focus on the truth about policies that will help (or hurt) our country.


As a fellow job creator, I along with my friend former Speaker Pro Tem Carl Bearden, invite you to join me to learn more about Job Creators Solutions by attending a luncheon with Herman Cain, who is picking up the tab, and a special guest…  




Tim W. Jones

Speaker, Missouri House of Representatives



Sifton to Lembke: No More Freebees

Team Sifton is telegraphing one major contrast with incumbent Sen. Jim Lembke.


From yesterday’s press release: Today, the Missouri Ethics Commission released its monthly report detailing lobbyist gifts to legislators and staff.  According to an analysis of Missouri Ethics Commission records, State Senator Jim Lembke (R-1) received 560 meals and gifts over the past ten years. That is more than any other lawmaker…


Missouri State Representative and State Senate Candidate Scott Sifton (D-96), is calling for the Missouri legislature to pass a strong ethics reform bill which would include the ban of all lobbyist gifts… Sifton has never accepted a meal, trip or gift from a lobbyist; and he never will…




St. Louis Post-Dispatch seeks business editor.  “We want candidates who have the combined reporting/editing background and expertise to shape and guide sophisticated business coverage for print, online and mobile audiences.”  See ad here.



Jackson County Democratic Committee’s online poll now is “Will Todd Akin Say Something Stupid This Week?”  The voting options are “yes” and “he already has.”  See it here.



Lobbyist Registrations

From the Pelopidas website:


Katie Bray Barnett deleted Best Friends Animal Society.

Jorgen Schlemeier and Sarah Topp deleted Kraft Foods Global Inc.

James Zadrozny deleted Pyramis Global Advisors Holding Corp.



$5K+ Contributions

Citizens for Vicki Lorenz Englund - $6,310 from Missouri Democratic State Committee.

Schoeller for Missouri - $15,000 from Menlo Smith.

Citizens for Our Libraries and Our Community - $25,000 from mercy Accounts Payable Shared Services.

MO Petroleum Marketers + Convenience Stores Assoc PAC - $23,000 from Xcaliber International LTD LLC.

Friends to Elect Cole McNary - $8,000 from Citizens for John Diehl.

Kander for Missouri - $8,682 from The Barnes Law Firm L.L.C.

Missourians for Koster - $26,238 from Christine Kaplan.

Missourians for Koster - $7,075 from Christine Kaplan.

SEIU Missouri State Council PAC - $24,500 from SEIU HealthCare Missouri PAC.

Missourians for Health and Education - $8,000 from American Lung Association of the Plans-Gulf Region.

MO Democratic State Committee - $5,400 from Missouri House Democratic Campaign Committee.

MO Democratic State Committee - $10,000 from Anheuser Busch Companies.

Missouri Senate Campaign Committee - $10,000 from James McDonnell III.

Missouri Senate Campaign Committee - $10,000 from Schmitt for Senate.

Pearce for Senate - $25,000 from Missouri Senate Campaign.

Schoeller for Missouri - $16,875 from Ozark National Insurance Company.




Happy birthdays to Rep. Eric Burlison (36), and MO Primary Care’s Danny O’Neill (the big 3-0).