Tuesday, July 5, 2011

Back in the saddle…. Just bits today, clearing the in-boxes…



A Bigger Whisper

The whisper number for Speaker Steve Tilley’s quarter keeps growing.  We’re definitely over $300,000 at this point and maybe reaching to the $350,000 or beyond.


But… the most surprising aspect is that one source near Team Tilley says these are not early contributions toward his golf tournament later this month.  There’s a new wave coming with the new quarter. 


It’s becoming increasingly likely that Dems won’t field a top tier candidate in this race….



A Bigger Number

But Governor Jay Nixon is going to crush everyone except McCaskill this quarter.  Just looking at his $5k+ contributions in the last three months, my spreadsheet says he has reported nearly a million ($968,530.30).


That compares with other $5k+ totals: Kinder, $585,000; Koster, $320,376; Zweifel, $14,000; and Carnahan $0.  And Tilley, $270,000.



McCaskill Crows Donor Numbers

Just before the finish for the quarter, Sen. Claire McCaskill’s team blasted that they’d “rocketed” past the 1,000 contributor level…



Drebes for Senate?

From a Dem consultant… Washington Post’s Fix yesterday listed MO US Senate race was 3rd likely to be turned over to the other party. (See it Here)  If you or I would run as a Republican against Claire McCaskill, it would be a close percentage race.



Senate Staff Salaries

From the heroic John Combest this morning, senate staff salaries… Claire’s team, See it Here.  And Roy’s crew, See it Here.



Fundy Watch

Rep. Jason Kander has his annual barbecue on Saturday, July 9… Politicos on the invite: Mayor Sly James, Sens. Victor Callahan, Jolie Justus and Kiki Curls, Reps. Mike Talboy, John Rizzo, Jason Holsman, County Exec Mike Sanders


And over in St. Louis, Rep. Mary Nichols kicks off her re-eelction campaign at the St. Louis Police Officers Association Hall on Monday July 11…



Born on the Fifth of July

Tonight Rep. Todd Akin celebrates his 64th birthday with a reception at the Edward Jones Headquarters courtesy of hosts Norman and Laurie Eaker.



A Nest of Misleading Numbers

Budget director Linda Luebbering held a press conference on 3pm on a holiday weekend, and the single article written was absurd.  Read it Here.


Among the “fuzzy math:” That the original consensus revenue estimate was not 4%, it was 3.6%; and 5.9% is not .9% higher than 4%, it is 1.9%.  Enough, this makes me feel like a cranky old man… 



Going forward, it makes the FY2012 number a lot easier to hit.  Off this new higher base, state revenues need only 1.7% growth to make the 2012 estimate.  There shouldn’t be any sort of problem hitting that.



From Politico’s Score: RGA Rakes in $$$

POPPING THIS MORNING - RGA STOCKS WAR CHEST: The Republican Governors Association raised $22.1 million in the first six months of the year… The $22.1 million figure is nearly $10 million more than the RGA raised in the first halves of 2007 and 2009, the last two comparable off-cycle election years…


Super fine news for Peter Kinder whose 2012 gubernatorial campaign will be one of the benfisciaries of RGA’s money pile.



The Last Take

Hi Everyone,


As you may know, this is the last day of existence for the Missouri Film Office. It began in 1983 and since then has been responsible for bringing hundreds of millions of dollars in production revenue to the state, plus immeasurable worldwide publicity.


We know that, to many of you, this industry is your livelihood, and while Missouri becomes one of just a few states to have no film office, Andrea and I both sincerely hope that the production industry here will overcome this setback and become thriving and vibrant…


We both have greatly enjoyed our work here. We look back proudly on all of the productions we’ve had in Missouri during those years – commercials, documentaries, reality TV, feature films; the list is long. Most recently, we are very proud to be part of the only two films made in Missouri ever to garner Academy Award Best Picture nominations: “Winter’s Bone” and “Up in the Air.” We have great memories that we will never forget….


Jerry Jones, Director      

Andrea Sporcic, Assistant Director




It’s about time for Governor Jay Nixon to start signing or vetoing legislation…



Lobbyist Principal Changes

From the Pelopidas website:


Kathryn Ann Harness added Missouri Beer Wholesalers, and deleted American Lung Association of the Plains-Gulf Region.


Carl Bearden deleted Heyltex and Lindenwood University.


John Britton deleted Titlemax and Missouri Botanical Garden.


Jennifer and James Durham deleted John Britton Associates.

Jeff W Glenn added Mississippi Valley Flood Control Association. 


Richard Wiles deleted Kansas City Oncology.



$5k+ Contributions

Friends of Peter Kinder - $40,000 from Republican State Committee.

Friends of Peter Kinder – $25,000 from Steven Trulaske.

Friends of Peter Kinder - $100,000 from Missouri Leadership Committee.

Friends of Peter Kinder – $15,000 from Cape Radiology Group.

Friends of Peter Kinder - $10,000 from William Kapp III.

Missourians for Koster - $81,909 from Hilltop Public Solutions.

Jay Nixon for Missouri - $10,000 from Missouri Soybean.

Jay Nixon for Missouri – $100,000 from Michael Ketchmark.

Jay Nixon for Missouri – $25,000 from Industry Advancement Fund Heavy Constructors.

Jay Nixon for Missouri – $25,000 from Stueve Siegel Hanson LLP.

Jay Nixon for Missouri – $10,000 from Thomas McDonnell.

Jay Nixon for Missouri – $10,000 from Kansas City Power & Light.

Friends of Jeff Shawan - $10,000 from Jeffrey Shawan.

Slay for Mayor - $10,000 from Centene Management Co, LLC.

Slay for Mayor - $10,000 from Harbour Group General Expense Account.




St Louis County Assessor Jake Zimmerman is 37 today.  Rep. Chris Molendorp turns 42; and Former state representative Gary Dusenberg celebrates #65.