MOScout Weekender: Senate 8 Poll - Who Won the Week? - Hallway on Floor Leader Race - Green Wallops CLEAN and more...

MOScout Weekly Poll: Senate 8

The MOScout Weekly Poll shows Sen. Mike Cierpiot with a firm grip on Senate 8.  See the poll here.

Q: Candidates in the November 2018 General Election for State Senate are the Republican Mike Cierpiot and the Democrat Hillary Shields. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?

Mike Cierpiot: 51%

Hillary Shields: 41%

Undecided: 8%

 

Remember this is a district Trump won by 20%, Greitens won by 11%, and Blunt won by 5%.  See the map here.

But

What Dems will find interesting is that the poll shows reasons for them to be optimistic in taking House 34 (Roeber) and House 35 (Cross termed). Trump is underwater in both districts.  His approval is 43% to 52% disapproval in House 34; and it’s worse (38% to 55%) in House 35.

 

MOScout’s Hallway Index: Senate Floor Leader Race

This week I asked by hallway focus group who they thought would win the Senate Floor Leader race.  The hallway’s clear consensus is that Caleb Rowden will be the next floor leader. Here’s how the 28 replies came down. 

Denny Hoskins  14%

Gary Romine  4%

Caleb Rowden 75%

Too Hard to Guess  7%

Sample of comments

Denny Hoskins

The senate will always surprise you.  The voters are anti-establishment this year.  Some of the senators are, too.

Caleb Rowden

Folks seem to think Rowden has the votes, which probably means he does.  No one has said the same for any of the Pro Tem candidates.

 

Judge Wallops CLEAN MO

The mighty Jason Rosenbaum reports on CLEAN getting booted from the ballot (they’re appealing).  See it here.

“A Cole County judge ruled Friday that a bid to overhaul the state’s ethics and state legislative redistricting laws contained too many subjects — and therefore can’t appear on the November ballot. Proponents of the Clean Missouri initiative are appealing the ruling. But the clock is ticking for judges to make a final decision…

It would curtail lobbyist gifts, make legislative records open to the Sunshine law, make small changes to campaign-finance laws and substantially overhaul Missouri’s state legislative redistricting process. Opponents of the measure sued, contending it violated a constitutional prohibition against an initiative petition having too many subjects. Cole County Judge Dan Green agreed with those opponents in his Friday ruling….”

 

Who Won the Week?

Chuck Hatfield won the week.  See who else “Won the Week” here.

 

eMailbag on Senate Approps

The back and forth over whether Hegeman or Sater will work better with Fitzpatrick is silly. The decision about which of them will lead Senate Approps committee will come down to which one chooses the right pro tem candidate to cut a deal with…

 

Lobbyists Registrations

Heath Clarkston, Harry Gallagher, Doug Nelson and Kurt Schaefer added Perfect Commerce LLC.

 

$5K+ Contributions

Committee for Economic Liberty - $26,000 from Boyd Gaming Corp.

Missouri Senate Campaign Committee - $10,000 from Onder for Missouri.

CWA- COPE Political Contributions Federal Committee - $6,050 from Communications Workers for America COPE PCC.

SaferMO.Com - $50,000 from MO Trucks PAC.

Housing for All - $49,989 from National Association of Realtors.

House Republican Campaign Committee Inc - $17,000 from Committee to Elect Jean Evans.

House Republican Campaign Committee Inc - $10,000 from Citizens for Wiemann.

House Republican Campaign Committee Inc - $7,400 from John E Dell.

House Republican Campaign Committee Inc - $90,000 from Rex Sinquefield.