MOScout Weekender: GOPers for Lucas? - Poll on Healthcare - Hallway Thinks Galloway Runs - WWTW and more...

GOPers for Lucas?

With the KC mayoral race just a few days away, things are heating up.  Getting some attention is this anti-Jolie Justus mailer.  See it here.

The mailer was paid for by Voters for Good Government.  According to the MEC report on the expenditure, Carolinas Campaign Consulting LLC was paid $9,200 for “Mailer-Inclusive Printing & Postage, consulting.”

Carolinas is James Harris’ firm.  See it here.

Contributing to Voters for Good Government just ahead of the expenditure is OCM Leasing Corp ($10,000) which has maxed out to Parson.  Voters for Good Government has also maxed out to Parson.


MOScout Poll: Healthcare

This week, the MOScout Poll looks at healthcare.  Missourians favor expanding Medicaid, but not if it will result in higher taxes.  That has been one of the key points of disagreements on the issue.  Supporters of Medicaid expansion have said it will largely pay for itself, while opponents believe it’s a budget-buster.  See the full results here.

Survey conducted June 12 through June 13, 2019. 986 likely 2020 General Election voters participated in the survey. Margin of Error is +/-3.2%. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding.

Q1: Are you confident that you will be able to afford your family’s healthcare needs in the next twelve months; or are you nervous that you might not be able to?

Very confident: 59%

Somewhat confident: 19%

Somewhat nervous: 11%

Very nervous: 7%

Not sure: 5%

Q2: There is a proposal to expand Medicaid to cover adults making less than 133% of the federal poverty level. Do you approve or disapprove of this proposal?

Approve: 40%

Disapprove: 37%

Not sure: 23%

Q3: Some people believe that expanding Medicaid will cost the state millions of dollars each year. If that was the case, would you be willing to pay more taxes to support Medicaid expansion?

Yes: 28%

No: 60%

Not sure: 12%

Q4: Who is most to blame for the rise in healthcare costs?

Doctors: 3%

Hospitals: 7%

Drug makers: 21%

Insurance companies: 22%

Government: 25%

Not sure: 22%

Q5: Which political party do you trust more on the issue of healthcare?

Republicans: 45%

Democrats: 39%

No opinion: 16%


MOScout’s Hallway Index: Will Galloway Run in 2020?

I asked the building hallway walkers if they thought Auditor Nicole Galloway would run for governor in 2020.  The large majority think she will.  24 responses…

1. Yes… 66.7%

2. Yes, if she’s smart… 12.5%

3. No… 8.3%

4. No, not if she’s smart… 12.5%

Selected Comments

·         It appears the abortion issue has reignited her interest, like it has with many candidates throughout the country, but it will not be the litmus test for a candidate in 2020, and she is smart and will realize it is not the wave that overcomes the solid red color of MO.

·         It's a lot of work. You don't want to do it unless you are fully committed to it. That can be her only hangup. Politically, it's a no-brainer.

·         I was leaning no before the abortion debate. Now Auditor Galloway can leverage this energy, she will appeal to younger voters, and can draw stark contrasts between her and Gov Parson.

·         The RGA digging into your lobbyist connections is a lot different than Saundra McDowell tweeting to 200 people that Freedom is Awesome.

·         She will never have a better environment

·         With the Dem presidential nominee looking like a more extreme version of HRC, Galloway can’t win if Trump wins by 19%. Ask Kander how that goes.


Who Won the Week

Kelli Dunaway – Lassos the Dem nomination to replace Sam Page on the St. Louis County Council.

Cody Smith – Watches Governor Mike Parson sign the budget without any line item vetoes.

Jay Ashcroft – Muscles his way into the center stage of abortion drama, a sudden leading role in an important issue for the conservative base.

Caleb Rowden – Former opponent zips off to California and there’s not a lot of buzz from Dems about mounting a big challenge to Rowden in 2020 – yet.

The Cities – St. Louis savors the Stanley Cup and Kansas City lands hundreds of agricultural research jobs.

Find a downloadable version here.


New Committees

MOCannTrade PAC was formed. Its treasurer is David Smith.


Lobbyist Registrations

Kathryn Harness added Gila LLC; and deleted Kingdom Principles Inc., and Bi-State Development Agency.



Committee for KC Jobs - $10,000 from Kansas City Live, LLC.