MOScout Weekender: Poll Trump vs Dems - Arthur Gets Opponent - New Approach Raises Cash - Hallway on Session - WWTW and more...
Arthur Gets Opponent
Mickey Younghanz filed to run against Sen. Lauren Arthur in Senate 17. He doesn’t appear to be much of a threat.
· A brief internet search shows his twitter account has 13 followers.
· He’s also known as Mickey “Funk” Younghanz.
New Approach Continues to Raise $$$
In the large contributions (below) Missourians for a New Approach received a six-figure check from New Approach PAC. This brings their total fundraising in the past two months to over $700,000.
New Approach is working toward a new ballot initiative which would create a parallel system of licensing for legal marijuana – not requiring a medical condition.
· It’s not clear if Missourians are ready for legal marijuana.
· Creating a whole new set of producers and dispensaries would potentially reduce the value of those licenses granted under the medical marijuana amendment, threatening their business model.
Remington/MOScout Poll: Trump vs Dem Prez Candidates
Survey conducted February 26 through February 27, 2020. 1,050 likely 2020 General Election voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2020 General Election. Margin of Error is +/-3%. See the full results here.
Q1: Possible candidates in the 2020 General Election for President of the United States are Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Bernie Sanders. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Donald Trump: 52%
Bernie Sanders: 37%
Undecided: 11%
Q2: Possible candidates in the 2020 General Election for President of the United States are Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Joe Biden. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Donald Trump: 52%
Joe Biden: 42%
Undecided: 6%
Q3: Possible candidates in the 2020 General Election for President of the United States are Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Mike Bloomberg. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Donald Trump: 51%
Mike Bloomberg: 39%
Undecided: 10%
Q4: Possible candidates in the 2020 General Election for President of the United States are Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Elizabeth Warren. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Donald Trump: 53%
Elizabeth Warren: 35%
Undecided: 12%
Q5: Possible candidates in the 2020 General Election for President of the United States are Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Pete Buttigieg. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Donald Trump: 52%
Pete Buttigieg: 37%
Undecided: 11%
MOScout’s Hallway Index: Next Session Toughies?
The question this week was: “What’s most likely to be passed next session?” I’d asked the same question back in November. Those results are in parenthesis to show the change in sentiment. 25 responses…
RESULTS
1. Education Savings Accounts… 28% (15.4%)
2. Internet sales tax… 44% (30.7%)
3. LIHTC reform… 0% (23.1%)
4. Prescription drug monitoring program… 24% (26.9%)
5. Title IX reform… 4% (3.8%)
Sample of Comments
· You’re not asking the right question. Some of these things will only happen if they all happen. So it should be which of these things needs to happen to break the log jam on the others and I think it’s PDMP.
· The battle with Wayfair isn’t the Wayfair provision itself, but where the new revenues go. That is why Wayfair won’t pass.
· I think a couple of those will pass, but the most likely is Wayfair. It’s just what form and how much revenue a couple folks in the Senate want to give away.
· [Internet sales tax] will produce revenue. Ergo, easier to find some compromise.
Who Won the Week?
Senate leadership – First, CLEANER passed out, and now a compromise reached on tort reform. They’re checking off major priorities before Spring break and keeping the chambers’ denizens relatively happy. Now let’s see what magic trick they can pull with PDMP….
Rural Republicans – Dems appear to have narrowed their focus this year to swing district they can win, the so-called “Claire districts” where McCaskill beat Hawley in 2018. That means a lot of rural Republicans will get a pass.
Jeanette Mott Oxford – Announces that she’s pulling back from her executive director duties to focus on what she loves. She’ll become Empower Missouri’s Policy & Organizing Director, and the organization will seek a new ED.
Zach Brunnert – Gets a new gig ad heads to Minnesota to serve as Director of State Legislative Policy for CDI under task-master Kit Crancer.
Help Wanted
St. Charles seeks Government Relations Coordinator. The City of Saint Charles Mayor and Administration Department is currently recruiting for the position of Governmental Relations Coordinator. To provide professional support to the Mayor and Administration, including administrative functions, scheduling, attending meetings, governmental relations support, and written communications. Represents the City with a variety of external governmental agencies; multipurpose position requiring ability to engage in other projects as needed… Salary: $67,741 - $91451. See it here.
New Candidate Filings
Mickey Younghanz filed to run in Senate 17 as a Republican. This is Sen. Lauren Arthur’s seat.
Tammy Harty filed to run in Senate 33 as a Democrat. This is termed Republican Sen. Mike Cunningham’s seat.
Bridget Gibson filed to run in House 2 as a Democrat. This creates a Democratic primary to face Republican Rep. J Eggleston.
Rep. Vic Allred filed to run for re-election in House 13.
Bryce Bradford filed to run in House 22 as a Democrat. That’s now a three-way primary where Rep. Yolanda Young is running for re-election.
Michael Johnson filed to run in House 23 as a Democrat. This is Rep. Barbara Washington’s seat; she’s running for state senate.
Jamar Buford filed to run in House 31 as a Democrat. He has previously filed and withdrew from running in House 34. Buford is now in a primary with Democrat Rhonda Dolan to take on Republican Rep. Dan Stacy.
Timothy Gartin filed to run in House 78 as a Republican. This is the old Bruce Franks seat, now represented by Democratic Rep. Rasheen Aldridge.
Rep. Kevin Windham filed to run for re-election in House 85.
Susan Shumway filed to run in House 108 as a Democrat. She’ll face Republican Rep. Justin Hill.
Kyle Paul Wilkey filed to run in House 114 as a Democrat. He’ll face Republican Rep. Becky Ruth.
Rep. Mike Stephens filed to run for re-election in House 128.
Stephanos Freeman filed to run in House 131 as a Republican. This creates a primary to replace termed Rep. Sonya Anderson.
Jeff McCormick filed to run in House 150 as a Republican, creating a primary for Rep. Andrew McDaniel.
$5K+ Contributions
Missourians for Healthcare - $6,250 from Swope Health Services.
Missourians for a New Approach - $260,000 from New Approach PAC.
New Approach PAC - $210,000 from New Approach PAC (Washington DC).
Birthdays
Happy birthday (Sunday) to Harry Gallagher.