MOScout Weekender: Big Checks for Malek and Scharf PACs - Poll on Abortion IP, DEI, Sales Tax - WWTW and more...

Huge End-of-Quarter Checks

On the last day of the fundraising quarter two statewide candidates recorded huge checks into their PACs.

·       State Treasurer Vivek Malek’s American Promise PAC received a $500K contribution (from Pacifica Consulting Services) and a $200K contribution (from AIG Virginia, LLC).

·       In the attorney general’s race: Will Scharf’s Defend Missouri PAC received a $500K contribution (from The Concord Fund).

And

One tipster says that “Malek is going to show a very large fundraising number on his quarterly candidate report which will nicely augment the nearly three quarters of a million in the PAC.”

 

Remington/MOScout Poll: Statewide Issues

Survey conducted March 28 through March 29, 2023. 1,102 likely 2024 November Election voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2024 November Election. Margin of Error is +/-3% with a 95% level of confidence. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding. Survey conducted by Remington Research Group on behalf of Missouri Scout.  See the full results here.

Q1: There is a proposal to amend the state constitution to forbid the government from infringing on a person’s fundamental right to make and carry out decision about reproductive healthcare, including but not limited to birth control and abortion care. Would you say you support or oppose this proposal?

Support: 29%

Oppose: 37%

Not Sure: 34%

Q2: Generally speaking, do you think that Diversity, Equity and Inclusion programs at public universities are a good thing or not?

Yes they are a good thing: 36%

No they are not a good thing: 42%

Not Sure: 22%

Q3: There is a proposal to eliminate state and local sales taxes on firearms and ammunition. Would you say you support or oppose this proposal?

Support: 32%

Oppose: 55%

Not Sure: 13%

Q4: There is a proposal to eliminate the sales tax on diapers. Would you say you support or oppose this proposal?

Support: 64%

Oppose: 23%

Not Sure: 13%

Q5: There is a proposal to legalize professional bare knuckle fighting in Missouri. Would you say you support or oppose this proposal?

Support: 14%

Oppose: 70%

Not Sure: 16%

 

MOScout’s Hallway Index: Most Vulnerable Senator

I asked lobbyists, “ Which senator will have the toughest re-election?”  20 replies…

RESULTS

1. Jason Bean… 0%.

2. Doug Beck… 15%

3. Karla Eslinger… 10%

4. Elaine Gannon… 20%

5. Angela Mosley… 10%

6. Steven Roberts… 25%

7. Someone else… 20%

Sample of Comments

·       [Roberts] Democrats always eat their own. He is an establishment Democrat in an uber-progressive district. After running against Cori Bush, the St. Louis squad will come after him with knives out.

·       None of the above? Too early to tell

·       [Eslinger] She has a crazy (Seitz) primary opponent

·       [Beck] Toughest seat incumbent wise.

·       Rick Brattin

 

Who Won the Week?

Vivek Malek and Will Scharf – Recording huge checks on the final day of the quarter signal that they’ll be coming to next year’s primary with plenty of ammo.

Childcare advocates – Passage of the governor’s proposals for child care and early education in the House budget shows strong support for the initiatives heading into the Senate appropriations process.

Doug Richey – His DEI amendments gave a big boost to his name ID, as he considers making a bid for state senate next year.

Senate Dems – The DEI budget amendments could be a source of conflict within the Senate Republican Caucus if compromise language can’t be found.

Find a downloadable version here.

 

$5K+ Contributions

Defend Missouri (pro-Scharf) - $500,000 from The Concord Fund (Washington DC)

American Promise PAC (pro-Malek) - $500,000 from Pacifica Consulting Services, LLC.

American Promise PAC - $200,000 from AIG Virginia, LLC.

Northland Strong PAC - $6,500 from Olsson (Lincoln, NE).

 

Birthdays

Happy birthdays to Mike Wolff and Joelle Cannon.

Sunday: Wes Sutton, Winston Calvert, and Tony Monetti.

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