MOScout Weekender: 1-CD Poll Shows Bell Leading Bush - Hallway Still Pessimistic - Who Won the Week and more…
Remington/MOScout Poll: First Congressional
Survey conducted February 7 through February 9, 2024. 401 likely 2024 Democratic Primary voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2024 Democratic Primary Election. Margin of Error is +/-4.9% with a 95% level of confidence. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding. Survey conducted by Remington Research Group on behalf of The Missouri Scout. See the full results here.
Q1: The candidates in the Democratic Primary for Missouri Congressional District 1 are Wesley Bell, Maria Chapelle Nadal, and Cori Bush. If the election were held today for whom would you vote?
Wesley Bell: 50%
Maria Chapelle Nadal: 4%
Cori Bush: 28%
Undecided: 18%
Q2: Thinking about the war in the Middle East; are you more sympathetic to the Israelis; OR are you more sympathetic to the Palestinians?
Israelis: 35%
Palestinians: 21%
Not sure: 44%
Q3: When thinking about your next member of Congress, would you rather have someone whose priority is helping the state of Missouri or whose priority is fighting the agenda of the Republicans?
Help the State of Missouri: 61%
Fight the agenda of the Republicans: 28%
Not sure: 11%
Q4: Generally speaking, how well does the Democratic Party align with your personal ideology? Is the party just right, more conservative, or more liberal?
Just right: 50%
More conservative than me: 15%
More liberal than me: 17%
Not sure: 18%
MOScout’s Hallway Index: First Half
I asked lobbyists, “How many bills will the legislature have passed by Spring Break?” 23 replies…
RESULTS
1. Zero… 78.3%
2. One… 8.7%
3. Two or more… 13%
Sample of Comments
· I can't rationalize any of these bills reaching the Governor within the next 5 weeks.
· If you’re asking how many bills to the Gov’s desk by spring break, I think the answer is 0
· TAFP 0
· I still believe it will all break loose.
· Nobody is in charge in the Senate. It’s Lord of the Flies over there.
Who Won the Week?
Jason Kander – The incredible story of rescuing families of military allies from the Taliban comes out.
Kayla Hahn – The first woman to chair the Public Service Commission in Sheila Lumpe back in 1997.
Kill the Fillers – Their bill to stop the landfill was unanimously voted out of the House Local Government Committee.
Josh Hawley – Team Kunce crows of outraising the incumbent Senator in the last quarter, but the Emerson poll showing Hawley with a double-digit lead is a reminder that he’s the clear favorite in the race.
$5K+ Contributions
American Dream PAC (pro-Kehoe) - $7,000 from Pool King Enterprises.
American Dream PAC - $7,000 from United Scripts LTC LLC.
The Wonderdog PAC (pro-Kurtis Gregory) - $10,000 from Missouri Soybean Association.
Bootheel Values PAC (pro-Burger) - $5,000 from Missouri Soybean Association.
Birthdays
Happy birthdays to Rep. LaDonna Appelbaum, Brian Grace, and Tom Hurst.
Sunday: Reps. Doug Richey and Eric Woods, Amy Blunt, Elad Gross, Steve Brown, and Don Wells.