MOScout Weekender: Dinkins Ad - Guv Race Gets Tight - Hallway on Chiefs - WWTW and more…
Dinkins Releases First Ad
Rep. Chris Dinkins, running in the Republican Senate 27 primary, is out with her first TV ad. She’s the first candidate in this race to go on the air.
In it, Dinkins addresses the camera wearing flannel and sporting a sidearm, and talks about immigration. “Thanks to Biden’s failures, every state is a border state. Now the enemies who hate us aren’t just trying to invade our nation, they’re already here. It’s time to fight back. I sponsored the strongest anti-illegal immigration law in the nation to protect our state and our families from drugs and violent criminals… If the politicians in Washington won’t protect our nation, I will.”
Meanwhile
One of her primary opponents, Rep. Jamie Burger, announced that he’s received the endorsement of the Missouri Cattlemen Association.
Remington/MOScout Poll: GOP Guv and AG
Survey conducted June 19 through June 20, 2024. 701 likely 2024 Republican Primary voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2024 Republican Primary Election. Margin of Error is +/-3.6% with a 95% level of confidence. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding. Survey conducted by Remington Research Group on behalf of The Missouri Scout. See full report here.
Q1: The candidates in the Republican Primary for Missouri Governor are Jay Ashcroft, Bill Eigel, and Mike Kehoe. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Jay Ashcroft: 31%
Bill Eigel: 9%
Mike Kehoe: 29%
Undecided: 31%
Q2: The candidates in the Republican Primary for Attorney General are Andrew Bailey and Will Scharf. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Andrew Bailey: 27%
Will Sharf: 23%
Undecided: 50%
Q3: Do you think the state of Missouri is headed in the right direction, or, is it going off on the wrong track?
Right Direction: 49%
Wrong Track: 25%
Undecided: 26%
Q4: What is your opinion of Mike Parson?
Favorable: 50%
Unfavorable: 15%
Undecided: 35%
MOScout’s Hallway Index: Kansas Thievin’ the Chiefs?
I asked lobbyists, “How worried should we be that the Chiefs will relocate on the Kansas side of KC?” 21 replies…
RESULTS
1. Very worried… 57.1%
2. Somewhat worried… 33.3%
3. Not worried at all… 9.5%
Sample of Comments
· The costs to build new in KS are exponentially higher than renovating an existing, iconic stadium in Arrowhead, with existing infrastructure. Plus the stadium holds sentimental value to the Hunts and the fans.
· The Governor and MOLeg leadership will rally to keep the Chiefs at Arrowhead and the Royals on the Missouri side - albeit in North Kansas City in Clay County.
· Extremely worried. Canary in the coal mine situation.
· The Chiefs will go where the money takes them.
· If I was betting, I would put money on the Chiefs staying in Missouri. That said, nothing excites billionaires like having multiple states competing against each other to hand out incentives.
· The Royals should be the ones pushing to get to KS. Get the incentives, build a new stadium along with a desired entertainment district. ATL is the model. The Braves moved out of ATL, 10 miles down the road, and now generates >$50M in revenue from retail/real estate alone.
· For the Chiefs, it does not matter on which side of the state line the they are located. The Missouri legislature needs to take this very seriously.
· Don't we see this with every big construction project, where these businesses want to leverage their home state
Who Won the Week?
Mike Kehoe – Another nice week for Kehoe with two polls showing him within the margin of error of long-time favorite Jay Ashcroft.
Vivek Malek – Tastes a bit of the sweetness of schadenfreude as Rep. Scott Cupps, who dinged Malek for not showing up for a committee hearing during session, loses a court case for failing to show up.
Andrew Bailey – Team Bailey cheered a poll from the Club for Growth which showed he’s maintained his lead in the AG’s race. And that tying Will Scharf to the Biden DOJ is a particularly effective line of attack.
Chiefs – The object of Kansas’ covetousness.
Find a downloadable version here.
$5K+ Contributions
American Dream PAC - $100,000 from Evergy Metro Inc.
American Dream PAC - $10,000 from JE Dunn Construction Company.
American Dream PAC - $10,000 from Commerce Bancshares, Inc.
American Dream PAC - $10,000 from Robert Blitz.
American Dream PAC - $6,000 from POL PAC.
American Dream PAC - $5,650 from Justin Akin.
Northland Strong PAC - $17,000 from American Dream PAC.
Committee for Liberty (pro-Ashcroft) - $5,650 from AnnMarie Kerr.
Liberty and Justice PAC (pro-Bailey) - $10,000 from James Hagale.
H-PAC (pro-Houx) - $25,000 from SNK Real Property Holdings LLC.
Parents for Safer Streets PAC - $150,000 from Trails West, LLC.
Missouri Right to Life Political Action Committee - $100,000 from John Sauer.
Missouri Right to Life Political Action Committee - $10,000 from Kyle McCollom.
Bruce Sassmann Election Committee - $10,000 from Bruce Sassmann.
Missourians for Healthy Families & Fair Wages - $23,208 from Missouri Jobs with Justice Voter Action.
Missourians for Healthy Families & Fair Wages - $16,572 from Missouri Jobs with Justice.
Operating Engineers Local 101 Political Fund - $50,000 from Operating Engineers Local 101 Political Action Committee.
Pfizer Missouri Political Action Committee - Federal Committee - $8,600 from Pfizer Inc PAC.
Birthdays
Happy birthdays to Rep. Chad Perkins, and Margo McNeil.
Sunday: Kevin Engler, Nick King, and Rachel Hassani.