MOScout Weekender: Poll Sees “Change” Election Coming to STL? - Hallway Like Casteel, But Early in Senate 22 - Who Won the Week and more…
Remington/MOScout Poll: St. Louis City
It could be a “change” election coming in St. Louis City. According to our latest poll, Cara Spencer has a double-digit lead over Mayor Tishaura Jones, and former Rep. Donna Baringer is edging ahead of incumbent Comptroller Darlene Green (though well within the margin of error). Fueling the anti-incumbent feeling could be the right-track, wrong-track sentiment solidly responding that things are headed in the wrong direction. See the full results here.
Survey conducted March 25 through March 27, 2025. 622 likely Municipal Election voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics. Margin of Error is +/-4% with a 95% level of confidence. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding. Survey conducted by Remington Research Group on behalf of Missouri Scout.
Q1: Candidates in the upcoming April 8th General Election for Mayor of St. Louis are Tishaura Jones and Cara Spencer. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Tishaura Jones: 31%
Cara Spencer: 55%
Undecided: 14%
Q2: Candidates in the upcoming April 8th General Election for Comptroller are Darlene Green and Donna Baringer. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Darlene Green: 39%
Donna Baringer: 42%
Undecided: 19%
Q3: Do you believe the City of St. Louis is headed in the right direction, or has it gone off on the wrong track?
Right direction: 28%
Wrong track: 52%
Not sure: 20%
MOScout’s Hallway Index: Senate 22
I asked lobbyists, “Who's most likely to succeed Mary Elizabeth Coleman?” 28 replies…
RESULTS
1. Jim Avery… 17.8%
2. David Casteel… 42.8%
3. Someone else… 39.3%
Sample of Comments
· Too early to say assuming there will be a rush for consultants to put their client in the race
· Casteel is a crowd pleaser. He’s a hard worker, has a great story and well liked by various interest groups.
· [Avery]Never bet against the plaintiffs bar
· [Someone else] Too many interest groups (labor, trial attorneys, business, etc) plus too many consultants equals a free for all in the making.
· [Casteel] Workhorse, not a show horse.
· Rob Vescovo
· Can’t believe you didn’t put Waller on the list. The dude has been elected county wide over and over again since 2004 I think.
Who Won the Week?
Tim Van Zandt – The former state representative returns to public service after decade on the private side. He’ll be Deputy Director at the Missouri Department of Health and Senior Services.
Kurtis Gregory – The Senate perfected and passed SB 79, allowing the Farm Bureau to offer health plans to its members. It was a big lift, and a big accomplishment for the freshman senator.
Amy Gunn – The immediate past president of MATA lands the “largest medical malpractice verdict in the history of Missouri.”
Mark Ellebracht – Nabs an appointment to the Missouri Board of Probation and Parole.
Brad Christ, Travis Fitzwater, and Nick Schroer – Able to watch the governor sign HB 495, the crime bill, this week.
Find a downloadable version here.
Gubby Appt
Governor Mike Kehoe appointed Amy Trueblood as Associate Circuit Judge for Cape Girardeau County in the 32nd Judicial Circuit.
$5K+ Contributions
Professional Fire Fighters of Eastern Missouri 2665 PAC Fund - $8,091 from Professional Firefighters of Eastern Missouri.
MO State Teacher Assoc Legislative Impact Co - $7,500 from Central Region – MSTA.
Birthdays
Happy birthdays to Reps. Marty Joe Murray and Kemp Strickler, Will Scharf, Sean Grove, Zach Brunnert, and Neal St. Onge.
Sunday: David Pearce, Wes Shoemyer, Jeff Roorda, and Anne Schweitzer.