Dave Drebes Dave Drebes

MOScout Daily Update: Neely Adds $$ - Impeachment Yawn - Dems on Guns - Eigel's Oil Tax and more...

Impeachment Trial Starts

The U.S. Senate’s impeachment trial begins today.  MOScout’s Hallway Index has consistently yawned at this having a meaningful impact on Missouri politics.  In fact, the last time I asked the question (in November) twice as many folks thought the whole thing would be of greater benefit to Missouri Republicans than to MO Dems.

·         Trump won MO by 19. Anything that fires up his base benefits R’s. Trump will call this a witch hunt for the next 12 months.

·         It seems to be just cementing folks to whatever camp they were in to start with.

·         Everyone is already in their corners. I don’t think it swings much either way.

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Dave Drebes Dave Drebes

MOScout Daily Update: More Wieland Appt Talk - Post-Romine Senate - More Jan Quarters and more...

With his resignation, Jason Holsman handed off sponsorship of two pieces of his legislative agenda to other senators.  Sen. Lauren Arthur is now the sponsor of SB 544 which would create a fund for homelessness services to which people can donate via text.  And Sen. Bill Eigel is the sponsor of SJR 36, a constitutional amendment to exempt from taxes personal property older than ten years.

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Dave Drebes Dave Drebes

MOScout Daily Update: More Appt Rumors - SOTS Recap - January Quarters - Long vs Tex and more...

SOTS

Governor Mike Parson delivered the State of the State speech and unveiled his budget.  Look inside his budget here.

Best analysis from the 3rd floor: It’s a safe budget, nothing too risky. For those who think he’s spending money with an election in mind, most of his new programs are relatively small and no one can say he went hog wild with capital improvement projects (because he didn’t).

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Dave Drebes Dave Drebes

MOScout Daily Update: Arthur Hits $100K - Reciprocity Fast Tracked – SOTS Day – Colona Fined and more...

Arthur Hits $100K Again

Word is that Sen. Lauren Arthur raised $100K again in her January quarter.  With still no Republican filed, Arthur keeps chugging along with impressive fundraising.

  • This is one more step along the way of Senate 17 falling off the “competitive races list” for this fall.

  • If that happens, Republicans would likely focus on flipping Senate 1 where they have recruited a potential self-funder – and of course on their defenses of incumbents in Senate 15 (Andrew Koenig) and Senate 19 (Caleb Rowden).

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Dave Drebes Dave Drebes

MOScout Daily Update: Bill Hearing Begins - New ECE Campaign in STL - Bloomberg's MO Team - MoCann Questions Scoring and more...

Bloomberg’s Boots in MO

The press release: Mike Bloomberg 2020 announced the hiring of 28 staff members in Missouri, including eight senior staff and 20 regional organizers deployed across the state. Veteran Democratic operatives, Ryan Hawkins and Grant Campbell, partners in St. Louis-based Winding Creek Strategies, are leading the state’s campaign efforts…. 80 percent of current staff members are women and/or people of color.

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Dave Drebes Dave Drebes

MOScout Daily Update: Skelton Out in Senate 19 - $425K to Rowden PAC - Parson OKs Refugees - SCOMO on Special Laws and much much more....


Skelton Out in Senate 19

News Tribune reports that “Michela Skelton, a Democratic candidate, has announced she has withdrawn from her campaign for Missouri's 19th state Senate district.”

What It Means

  • Good news for Dems who are eyeing Senate 19 as a possible pick-up.  Former Democratic Rep. Judy Baker now becomes presumptive nominee to face Sen. Caleb Rowden.

  • MOScout/Remington polling from September showed the race in a statistical tie: Rowden at 49% and Baker at 45% with a margin of error +/- 4.7%.

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Dave Drebes Dave Drebes

MOScout Daily Update: Sinquefield PAC Stuffers - Walton DIsbarred - Humphreys Ends HB126 Fight and more...

MEC: Curators Needn’t Register as Lobbyists

The Missouri Ethics Commission issued an advisory opinion that “the members of the University of Missouri Board of Curators are not required to register as legislative lobbyists by virtue of their appointment in and of itself, and they are not required to register in order to respond to inquiries from the General Assembly…”

See it here.

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