The Adam Schwadron district leans ever so slightly to the Dems. Republican Colin Wellenkamp , and Democrat Ron Odenthal face off . With no incumbent, this could turn blue.

This is probably the bluest seat that Republicans hold. Rep. Bill Allen may very well hold off the Dems. But Dems have a hard working candidate and, with presidential turnout, will have the wind at their backs.

This is a rematch between Rep. Kemp Strickler and JC Crossley (Republican).

Only 45 votes separated these two in 2022. With a margin that thin, anything can happen.

Another rematch. Rep. Brad Christ works hard and has raised good money. But it was a tilt Biden district in 2020, and if higher presidential turnout brings out more Dems in this district, it could be trouble for him.

This a top Republican target. It's realistically the only Springfield area seat that they have a chance to flip this cycle. It's a toss-up or even slight red seat. I expect a lot of money coming in here to keep Rep. Stephanie Hein busy.

No incumbent here as Robbie Sauls is running for Senate. This is a true 50-50 district. Dems have a strong caniddate, but it feels like Independence keeps moving a shade redder each cycle.

Rep. Philip Oehlerking is up for his first re-election. This is one of those toss-up suburban districts that Dems are targeting.

Chesterfield is not as Republican as many people imagine it is. This district actually voted slightly for Biden in 2020. Rep. Ben Keathley has proven himself a good campaigner, but its' another suburban district to watch.

Rep. Aaron Crossley has a tough district for Dems. He's far out-raised his Republican opponent. Yet with HRCC's war-chest that advantage can be leveled very quickly.

JP has done a good job voting his district. And of course he'll have the resources to defend this seat. But it's yet another suburban district that could get tough - if the pro-choice / Kamala candidacy help Democratic turnout.

Rep. Jamie Johnson's district is a tilt Dem district, so she should be safe. However, it's on my flip watch list because her Republican opponent, Mike Jones, is a very credible candidate who's accumulated a big war-chest.