Wednesday, July 16, 2014

2016 Quarters

Here are the highlights from yesterday’s quarterly fundraising filings.  My plan is it update the Primary Guides – with finance numbers and updated forecasts – with tomorrow morning’s email.

 

Statewide

Chris Koster raised $522,032, again modestly beating his very impressive $500K pace.  He spent $162K, gave away another $100K, and finished with $2.2 million in the bank.

 

Tom Schweich raised $309,879; spent $48,559 and has $1.1 million on-hand.  There has been talk in political circles that James Harris and Team Schweich have parted ways.  And the campaign report appears to bear that out with the no payments to Harris since a May 2 reimbursement check.  Meanwhile one person talking up Schweich’s quarter – but also not visible on Schweich’s report – is Greg Keller, who recently started Atlas Strategy Group.

 

Catherine Hanaway raised $132,387; spent $45,137; and has $388,762 on-hand.  Most of the expenses ($31K of it) went to the fundraiser (Grote & Associates).

 

The take-away from this quarter is that Hanaway, away from game for decades, has yet to gain the traction to compete with the fundraising of those who already hold statewide office.  She may find her footing, but if this trend continues, Republicans may be motioning her to a lesser office rather than a Republican primary in which she appears the spoiler.

 

Jason Kander raised $60,519; spent $14,423; and has $437,216 on-hand.  Will Kraus, who recently declared for secretary of state, raised $3,020; spent $392; and has $121,956 on-hand.

 

Peter Kinder raised $64,450; spent $67,020; and has $68,012 on-hand.  Consultants got the bulk of his expenditures: Donna English’s Capital Consulting ($30K), J Harris ($15K), and Barklage & Knodell ($14K).

 

Eric Schmitt raised $51,795; spent $2,969; and has $912,340 on-hand.  But supporters noted that since his post-deadline announcement for treasurer, he’s added another $360K in large checks, meaning that he’s well over $1 million cash in the bank now.

 

The two remaining possible Republican AG candidates: Speaker Tim Jones raised $65,295; spent $24,413; and has $1,001,808 on-hand.  While Sen. Kurt Schaefer raised $108,480; spent $27,602; and has $936,970 on-hand.

 

Two Democratic names mentioned for 2016: Mike Sanders raised $56,265; spent $27,436; and has $578,660 on-hand.  And Jake Zimmerman raised $96,323; spent $8,018; and has $370,770 on-hand.

 

 

Senate Primary Quarters

Senate 2

Bob Onder raised $90,820; spent $69,795; and has $309,130 on-hand.  Vicki Schneider raised $35,635; spent $40,236; and has $296,828 on-hand.  Chuck Gatschenberger raised $240,205 (this includes his $220K loan to himself); spent $33,277; and has $251,407 on-hand.  In this race each candidate has anted $200+K.  It would appear that none of the three candidates had yet dipped into these funds.  With three weeks left we’ll see if who takes the plunge…

 

Senate 4

Joe Keaveny raised $28,190; spent $4,716; and has $114,465 on-hand.  His opponent, Bonnie Lynn Green, started her campaign committee after the July deadline.

 

Senate 16

Dan Brown raised $7,475; spent $15,456; and has $143,851.  His opponent, Bernie Mowinski, started his campaign committee after the July deadline.
Senate 24

Jack Spooner raised $48,440; spent $40,605; has $109,308 on-hand. Jay Ashcroft raised $227,590; spent $19,331; and has $208,249 on-hand.  Robb Hicks raised $51,125 ($50K from himself); spent $4,338; and has $46,776 on-hand.  Ashcroft, with his family’s name ID, remains the far away favorite.

 

Democrat Jill Schupp raised $225,010; spent $81,999; and has $459,287 on-hand.

 

 

Hot Republican House Primary Quarters

House 3 – Rep. Nate Walker raised $9,850; spent $33,305; and has $59,057 on-hand.  He’s under assault by MO Club for Growth-funded John Bailey.  They contributed $50K to him. In total Bailey raised $93,901; spent $67,252; and has $26,648 on-hand.  I suspect they might come back in with a second round of funding if they think they have Walker vulnerable.

 

District 14 (Schieber retiring) - Josh Catton raised $700; spent $784; and has $141 on-hand. And Kevin Corlew raised $3,236; spent $1; and has $3,150 on-hand.

 

House 20 (Mayfield incumbent) – former Rep. Brent Lasater raised $450; spent $560; and has $144 on-hand.  Despite Lasater’s residual name ID, I favor Bill E Kidd to win this primary.  Kidd raised $2,777; spent $3,154; and has $9,499 on-hand.

 

House 34 (Grisamore termed) – Rebecca Roeber raised $3,400; spent $4,278; and has $19,057 on-hand.  She is the favorite. Justin Kalwei raised $953; spent $3,472; and has $6,896 on-hand.  Former Rep. Bob Johnson raised $31,301; spent $12,567; and has $18,733 on-hand.

 

House 41 (Schieffer for Senate) – Alexandra Salsman hasn’t yet filed her July report.  Randy Pietzman raised $19,395; spent $9,738; and has $15,256 on-hand.

 

House 98 (Dwight Scharnhorst termed) – Wife of term incumbent, Rea Scharnhorst raised $6,750; spent $3,348; and has $7,635 on-hand.  Carol Veillette raised $590; spent $1,455; $752 on-hand. Shamed Dogan raised $10,614; spent $5,048; and has $15,617 on-hand.  This will be close between Ms. Scharnhorst and Dogan.

 

House 102 –Rep. Kurt Bahr raised $3,832; spent $1,239; and has $9,228 on-hand. Michael Swyers raised $8,610; spent $836; and has $7,773 on-hand.  Swyers’ quarter was powered by $5,500 from the Carpenters’ union.

 

House 108 (Gatschenberger for Senate) - John J. Haman, Jr. terminated his committee.  Nina Dean raised $450; spent $932; and has $1,696 on-hand. Justin Hill raised $5,730; spent $5,624; and has $22,208 on-hand.  Hill is the favorite.

 

House 112 (Wieland for Senate) - Charles Groeteke raised $846; spent $1,478; and has $9,445 on-hand. Rob Vescovo raised $5,800; spent $13,825; and has $6,354 on-hand. Avery Fortenberry terminated his committee on Monday.

 

House 113 (Roorda for Senate) - Jason Fulbright raised $4,206; spent $1,258; and has $2,947 on-hand.  Dan Shaul raised $4,440; spent $1,082; and has $5,782 on-hand.

 

House 130 – Rep. Jeff Messenger raised $4,475; spent $1,751; and has $9,655 on-hand. Loren Hunt raised $25,725; spent $290; and has $25,434 on-hand.  $25K of that came from Missouri Club for Growth.

 

House 139 (Elmer retired) - Clayton Jones raised $3,700; spent $3,583; and has $2,766 on-hand. Michael Hope’s campaign is fading.  He raised $1,190; spent $968; and has $222 on-hand. And Jered Taylor is the clear favorite now.  Taylor raised $13,495; spent $5,837; and has $7,657 on-hand.

 

House 144 – Rep. Paul Fitzwater raised $7,475; spent $746; and has $19,245 on-hand. Ron Bohn raised $27,100; spent $4,585; has $22,514 on-hand.  The bulk of Bohn’s money came from Missouri Club for Growth.

 

House 155 – Rep. Lyle Rowland raised $3,825; spent $4,122; and has $3,954 on-hand. Mike Lind filed Limited Activity. Jason Frodge raised $26,575; spent $9,574; and has $17,000 on-hand. Frodge is another Club for Growth endorsed-candidate.

 

House 157 – Wife of former Rep, Julie Ruzicka raised $10,100; spent $3,459; and has $6,640 on-hand. Rep. Mike Moon raised $2,799; spent $3,035; and has $11,202 on-hand.  Ruzicka has a real shot at unseating the incumbent Moon.

 

 

Hot Democratic House Primary Quarters

House 18 (Swearingen for Commissioner) – This is a very divisive Democratic primary.  Lauren Arthur raised $15,746; spent $11,067; and has $30,644 on-hand.  Kevin Garner raised $12,747; spent $1,732; and has $22,284 on-hand.

 

House 67 (Webb resigned) – Alan Green hasn’t filed his July report yet.  Former Rep. Sylvester Taylor, II raised $7,388; spent $5,805; and has $5,998 on-hand. Larry Davis Jr. raised $1,122; spent $735; and has $1,122 on-hand.  Tony Weaver just started his campaign committee on June 30.  Green won the party nod for the special election, but former Rep. Taylor is a serious candidate; and Weaver has power-broker Elbert Walton’s backing…

 

House 76 – Rep. Josh Peters raised $16,700; spent $16,961; and has $10,112 on-hand.  Challenger Chris Carter Sr. raised $8,539; spent $5,827; and has $17,229.

 

House 86 (Ellinger vacancy) – Fareedah S. Sidqui hasn’t started a campaign committee yet. Joe Adams raised $10,870; spent $185; and has $11,312 on-hand. Dawn Price hasn’t started a campaign committee yet. Mary Ann Merz raised $4,525; spent $1,632; and has $2,793 on-hand.

 

House 112 (Wieland for Senate ) – Robert Butler raised $8.900; spent $10,125; and has $19,261 on-hand. Larry Steinkamp raised $50; spent $534; and has $366 on-hand.  Steinkamp is just going through the motions.

 

House 149 (Hodges termed) – Bill Burlison raised $0; spent $20,007; and has $17,184 on-hand. Diedra Ashley Freeman raised $10,851; spent $7,089; and has $2,873 on-hand.

 

 

St. Louis County

County Executive Charlie Dooley raised $223,493; spent $351,582; and has $479,307 on-hand. Steve Stenger raised $339,752; spent $649,572; and has $477,654 on-hand.  Stenger has moved within striking range after massively outspending Dooley in the quarter, but can he finish the incumbent, or will the expected counter-attack stunt Stenger’s move?   Republicans, take your bathroom run now, you won’t want to miss a minute of the final rounds.  Republicans’ hope appears to be coming reality: that one major constituency of St. Louis County Democrats (either labor or African Americans) will be upset and turned off from turning out in November…

 
St. Louis City

In the License Collector’s race, Alderman Jeffrey Boyd raised $60,200; spent $50,903; and has $82,857 on-hand.  The appointed-incumbent in that race, Mavis Thompson raised $26,475; spent $16,929; and has $46,895 on-hand.

 

 

Team Greiten: They Approached Me

Here’s the response from the Eric Greiten’s camp to my recent report that he explored running for a Democrat years ago…

 

“Since leaving active duty as a NAVY SEAL in 2007, Eric has been asked by both parties to run for office.   While he was flattered to be asked, he declined, believing that he could make a greater impact building The Mission Continues.  Democrats have approached *him* about running for the Senate, for Congress, and Statewide on several occasions, and he has said no every time… I also want to be clear that he is not a candidate, and I also know that he will not be making any decision on running for office in the near future.  He and his wife are excited and focused on the arrival of their first child soon, and he is already committed to an extensive book tour in the spring promoting his latest book on Resilience...”

 

 

Backer Loses School Board Race

Republicans took some glee that the Democratic candidate in House 49, Gracia Backer, lost her school board bid last night.  See it here.  She’s running against Republican Travis Fitzwater.  It’s a relatively safe Republican seat, but Dems hope that Backer, a state representative during the 80s and 90s, has the “star power” could increase the odds of an upset.

 

Fundy Doesn’t Answer Bell

The Post-Dispatch reports that Rep. Doug Funderburk has given up hope in his St. Charles County Executive bid.  Read it here.

 

 

Meanwhile Over in Kansas…

Moderate Republicans are starting to coalesce against Republican Governor Sam Brownback’s re-election.  Read it here.

 

 

Lobbyist Registrations

From the Gate Way Group website:

Mark J Bruns, Gary L. Burton, Andrew Foley, James M. Foley, Chris Liese, and Don Soph added Liberty Dental Plan.

Mark J Bruns, Gary L. Burton, Andrew Foley, James M. Foley, Chris Liese, Neal English, Dawn Nicklas, and Don Soph deleted Pattonville Fire Protection District.

Mark J Bruns and Gary L. Burton deleted American Suntanning Association.

David Weiskopf deleted Natural Resources Defense Council.

 

 

Fundraising Calendar

Today’s fundraising events from Mary Scruggs’ indispensable events calendar:

Sen. Gary Romine Golf – Crown Pointe Golf Course, Farmington.

 

 

$5K+ Contributions

MO Democratic State Committee - $20,000 from ATT.

Citizens for Doug Bacon - $20,000 from Doug Bacon.

Committee In Support of Public Education - $125,000 from American Federation of Teachers.

Committee In Support of Public Education - $10,000 from Northeast Region MO State Teacher Association.

Lewis & Clark Ozark Mountain Forum - $15,000 from William Darr.

Lewis & Clark Ozark Mountain Forum - $15,000 from Peter Herschend.

Missourians for Safe Transportation & New Jobs Inc – $15,000 from Buzzi Unicem USA.

Missourians for Safe Transportation & New Jobs Inc – $10,000 from Mississippi Lime Company.

Missourians for Safe Transportation & New Jobs Inc – $15,000 from Realm Construction Inc.

Missourians for Safe Transportation & New Jobs Inc – $11,000 from CH2M Hill Inc.

Missourians for Safe Transportation & New Jobs Inc – $10,000 from Phillips 66 Company.

Missourians for Safe Transportation & New Jobs Inc – $75,000 from Regional Business Council.

 

 

Happy Birthday

Happy birthdays to ATT’s John Sondag, and MASW’s Jeanette Mott Oxford.