Republican House Primary Predictions
The updated Republican House Primary Guide can be found in the Special Reports section. It’s here. Below are my picks to win. (House Democratic Primary and Senate Primary guide updates will follow in the next few days, and then a spreadsheet with all the winners listed, degree of confidence and notes.)
House 1 - Roger Parshall
House 3 - Nate Walker
House 7 - Mike Lair
House 14 - Kevin Corlew
House 20 - Bill E. Kidd
House 34 - Rebecca Roeber
House 41 - Randy Pietzman
House 47 - Chuck Basye
House 62 - Tom Hurst
House 98 - Shamed Dogam
House 102 - Kurt Bahr
House 103 - John D. Wiemann
House 106 - Chrissy Sommer
House 108 - Justin Hill
House 111 - Jason Jarvis
House 112 - Rob Vescovo
House 113 - Dan Shaul
House 120 - Shawn Sisco
House 125 - Warren Love
House 126 - Randy Pike
House 130 - Jeff Messenger
House 132 - Fred Ellison
House 139 - Jered Taylor
House 144 - Paul Fitzwater
House 148 - Holly Rehder
House 149 - Don Rone
House 151 - Tila Rowland Hubrecht
House 155 - Lyle Rowland
House 156 - Jeff Justus
House 157 - Mike Moon
Rumorville: Nixon Exploring MU Job?
Tipster: “Nixon is starting to work the MU President job. I have heard from two people within the system that he is putting out feelers… It’s about a $500K/year gig….”
Gov and Wannabes
The St. Louis Regional Chamber’s Public Policy Speakers Series includes an appearance from Governor Jay Nixon (September 2), Auditor Tom Schweich (September 16), Catherine Hanaway (October 21), and Attorney General Chris Koster (November 6). See the schedule here.
County Exec Race Turns Even Uglier
St. Louis County Executive Charlie Dooley whacks Steve Stenger in a new ad. The mighty Jason Rosenbaum has it here. Take a look. The ad seems wildly unfair, saying that Stenger support sex trafficking. But there may be worse hits out there, and if this is any indication what’s to come… wowsy…
Hummel Conflict of Interest
There’s no new ground being broken with Minority Leader Jake Hummel taking over a leadership position in the AFL-CIO. There have been other cases before. One observer cites Sen. Gina Walsh as being in a similar position. Still one wonders how obvious conflicts of interest will be played out. When the AFL-CIO – which has been willing to endorse Republicans – is looking at swing district will Hummel swing those endorsements to the Dem side? Will House Dems be PO-ed at him when the union backs Republicans over Dems? Will HDCC fight as vigorously in those districts?
In the continuing mystery of the disappearance of Lynn Messer, wife of lobbyist Kerry Messer, there will be a press conference at the Ste. Genevieve Sheriff’s Office this morning. Here’s a flyer.
From the Post-Dispatch story: Convicted killer John Middleton was executed by lethal injection at 6:58 p.m. Wednesday following the failure of various appeals on his behalf in the courts. He was pronounced dead at 7:06 p.m…
Interesting to note: Sen. Kurt Schaefer handled the Middleton case when he was with the attorney general’s office.
From John Combest’s peerless morning links…
Post-Dispatch notes that Congressman Lacy Clay’s “leadership PAC” made a $500 contribution to Joe Adams’ state representative campaign (House 86), where Sen. Maria Chappelle-Nadal is actively campaigning against Adams. See it here.
Extra Five Minutes?
If you have an extra five minutes today, here’s a fascinating Washington Post piece on a Kansas City pawn shop that has niche market buying professional athletes’ championship rings. Read it here.
From the Gate Way Group website:
Richard I. Martin added Accenture LLP; and deleted Asurion Corporation.
Today’s fundraising events from Mary Scruggs’ indispensable events calendar:
Rep. Todd Richardson Golf – Ozark Ridge Golf Course, Poplar Bluff.
Rep. Holly Rehder Shrimp Boil – The River House, Mississippi Landing, Scott City.
Missourians for Safe Transportation & New Jobs Inc - $25,000 from DLH Services Inc.
Missourians for Safe Transportation & New Jobs Inc - $10,000 from MO Truck PAC.
Missourians for Safe Transportation & New Jobs Inc – $10,000 from Construction & General Laborers Local Union NO 660.
Missourians for Safe Transportation & New Jobs Inc - $15,000 from Eastern MO Laborers District Council 3450.
MO Chamber PAC - $10,000 from Thirty & 141 LP.
NO On Amendment 5 - $5,839 from Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund Inc.
Connect KC - $25,000 from Heavy Constructors Association Industry Advancement Fund.
SEIU HCII Missouri PAC - $50,000 from SEIU International Union.
Committee to Elect Mavis Thompson - $15,370 from David Steward.
Happy birthdays to Schweich’s Jeffrey Earl (29), Richard Callow, lobbyist David Klarich, and Aschinger Electric’s Emily Martin.