Friday, November 2, 2012

Senate Ads

Sen. Claire McCaskill released “unfit” in which the Republican establishments previous rebuke of Congressman Akin is recycled.  See it here.


And a new Akin “ad” features a woman who was raped, had abortion and is voting for Akin.  Hard to figure the strategy here, but it won’t actually run on TV so it really will have no impact.  See it here.


And money rushing in to see if Akin can be lifted across the finish line.  Read the Beacon article here.


Pull Quote: “The bulk of the ads come from the Now or Never PAC (whose donors include wealthy financier Rex Sinquefield), $800,000; the Missouri Republican Party, $380,000; the conservative Family Research Council, $500,000, and Sen. Rand Paul’s RandPAC, $100,000.”



House Battlegrounds

House 44 – HRCC - $27K to Caleb Rowden running against Ken Jacob.

House 47 – HRCC - $47K to Mitch Richards running against John Wright.

House 57 – HRCC - $6K to Wanda Brown running against Don Bullock.

House 70 – HRCC - $10K to Eugene Dokes running against Bill Otto.

House 94 – HRCC - $10K to Rep. Cloria Brown running against Vicki Englund.

House 107 – HRCC - $10K to Ron Hicks running against Rod Hoffman.

House 115 – HRCC - $15K to Elaine Gannon running against Rich McCane.

House 132 – HRCC - $14K to Rep. Melissa Leach running against Charlie Norr.




Without big tobacco’s money, Prop B opponents believe they’re being heavily outspent by the proponents, but hope that the multiple commercials being used by the pro-force dilute their message.  We’ll see….





In House 114 Becky Ruth’s radio ads are trying to undermine the McKenna advantage by claiming that the “apple has fallen far from the tree” as it relates to TJ McKenna, Ruth’s opponent.



Why a Romney presidency will be good for Missouri tourism… See it here.



eMailbag: On Using Network

Republican consultant: “Unfortunately network is still a ‘must’ to reach any level of recognition. Problem with cable is that with a particular provider you may only reach 20-30% of the population. Further the cable provider’s ‘zones’ never match up to the district lines. So you could end up purchasing 2-3 different zones from multiple providers and still not reach all the voters that network reaches.”


Democratic consultant: “I will say this that given the nature and location of competitive State Senate races any campaign that goes into one without a plan to be on network TV in a substantial way (1000 pts or more) is asking to lose.  If you look at successful campaigns over the last couple of cycles they all committed to TV as a key part of their budget / messaging. Shoemyer and Barnitz 06, Schafer 08, Lembke 08, Lamping 10.


“Some of the exceptions are Pearce / Benjamin 08 and SD 17 in 08 where I don't think either side went network, but compare now to the SD21 and 31 GOP primaries this cycle where both sides had network, SD 19 and the SD 25 race where both parties are up on network.


“In short State Senate races are becoming more network oriented especially in districts like SD 1 with high voter turnout and escalating mail costs make TV more financially viable.”



Lobbyist Registrations

From the Pelopidas website:


R Edward Murphy and Michael Taylor added Joseph Peter Gray.

Michael V Beall deleted Credit Union Partnership Inc., Missouri Corporate Credit Union, CUNA Mutual Group, Missouri Credit Union Association.

Christopher D Sutherland deleted Missouri Energy Forum, and Advocates Inc.



$5K+ Contributions

Friends of Wanda Brown - $6,530 from Missouri House Republican Campaign Committee.

Freedom Incorporated - $10,000 from Cleaver for Congress.

Schoeller for Missouri - $50,000 from RSCL Missouri PAC.

Missourians for Ed Martin - $7,000 from Joan Langenberg.

Missourians for Dokes - $10,022 from House Republican Campaign Committee Inc.

Schoeller for Missouri - $10,000 from Citizens for Diehl.

MO Petroleum Marketers + Convenience Store Assoc PAC - $70,000 from Cheyenne International LLC.

Ron Hicks for State Representative - $10,022 from House Republican Campaign Committee Inc.

Missourians for Health and Education - $76,111 from American Cancer Society, Cancer Action Network.

Missourians for Health and Education - $50,000 from American Cancer Society, Cancer Action Network.

Freedom PAC - $20,000 from QC Holdings Inc.

Friends of Judge Collins - $6,912 from Singularis.

Missouri Senate Campaign Committee - $10,000 from RAI Services Company.

MO Republican Party - $20,000 from Romine for Senate.

MO Republican Party - $20,000 from Lembke for Senate.

MO Republican Party - $158,000 from HRCC.

Missourians for Responsible Lending - $33,902 from Vetter Doerhoff & Landwehr.

Citizens for Diehl - $8,000 from Blue Cross Blue Shield of Kansas City PAC.

Jay Nixon for Missouri - $10,000 from Express Scripts Inc.

Citizens for Elaine Gannon - $15,366 from HRCC.

Friends of Caleb Rowden - $27,203 from House Republican Campaign Committee.

Friends to Elect Cole McNary - $10,000 from Lewis and Clark Council Ozarks Mountain Forum.

Friends of Cloria Brown - $10,016 from House Republican House Committee Inc.




Happy birthdays to Susan Carlson (63), and Chuck Miller (41).


Saturday: Rep. Kevin McManus (34), Citizens for Modern Transit’s Kim Cella.
Sunday: Tony Messenger (46).