Monday, August 6, 2012

PPP: Brunner By His Fingertips…

Public Policy Polling released a poll conducted over the weekend.  See the results here.


US Senate: Brunner 35%; Akin 30%; Steelman 25%.  Note: Akin leads Brunner among those voters who are “very excited” about the primary.


Governor: Spence 42%; Randles 15%; Sauer 12%.


Lieutenant Governor: Kinder 42%; Lager 30%; Carter 6%.


Attorney General: Martin 46%; Warren 17%.



Note: 57% of the Republicans polled are “Evangelical.”


Grrrr: They poll the AG non-race, and don’t poll SOS?!  To paraphrase Lacy: Come on, PPP!



Senate 5: MO Club for Growth Plays

Missouri Club for Growth sent two slick mailers into Senate 5.  One was against Rep. Jeanette Mott Oxford, citing her opposition to a charter school bill.  The other was against Sen. Robin Wright Jones, citing her campaign finance reporting troubles.


Seemed too little, too late to make much of an impact.  We’ll see….



NYTimes on MO US Senate Race $$$

MO’s US Senate race gets NYTimes front page treatment. “Outside Cash in Missouri Race Could Be a National Model.”  Read it here.


Pull Quote: “Some Missouri Republican strategists said the outside groups knew that Ms. McCaskill could not win and flooded the state to claim a scalp to take to their donors. Others said they saw her weakness and decided they could not forgive themselves if they let her off the mat.”



Kill the Come On Ad

Brad Ketcher writes, on behalf of the Russ Carnahan campaign, to TV stations asking them to take down the “Come on Russ” ads.


“First, the ad violates the Federal Communications Act of 1934, as amended, which requires that the candidate’s written approval statement and a photo or image of the candidate appear for at least 4 seconds at the end of the advertising. 47 USC 315(b)(2)(c).  No such statement or photograph appears at the end of the ad.  It is in clear violation of the federal law which governs licensing and operation of your station.  It also violates the Candidate Certification made to your station by the Clay campaign that it would abide by FCC requirements, including the 4 second end of ad disclaimer requirements.


“Secondly, the ad asserts that Congressman Carnahan voted for House Concurrent Resolution 34 on April 15, 2012.  In fact, Congressman Carnahan and Clay both voted “no” on House Concurrent Resolution 34, as did all Democrats.  See House Roll Call 277.  This clear falsehood rises to the level of defamation.”




TV ad for Jon Wright – Democrat running in House 47.  See it here.



Tipster in Penny Hubbard’s district:  “Robo-Call Insanity. Since noon, every hour, I have gotten the same robocall from former Chief George Sherman for Robin Wright Jones followed by one from Robin Wright Jones for Samuel Cummings (running against Hubbard).”
LG candidate Brad Lager spends the day before Election Day in St. Louis.  “***Lager campaign swings through Kirkwood***  *Where: McArthur’s Bakery, 113 N. Kirkwood Road, Kirkwood, MO  * *When: Monday, August 6th 12:15–1:30PM*  *The public and the media are invited to attend*



Rep. Gary Cross switches endorsements… “While up until just recently I was supporting John Brunner, I've been reminded of what a critical role Sarah Steelman played in writing our state marriage amendment and in protecting Second Amendment rights.”   While Steelman’s team put out a press release touting “momentum”, the prevailing reaction came in the words of one politico: “Who?”



Primary night party poo-poo?  One Dem source says the rumor mill from campaign staffs is that Governor Jay Nixon’s camp made it clear to Sen. Claire McCaskill that she wasn’t welcome that their Springfield night party.  Seems the incumbent governor wasn’t keen on sharing the state with someone whose polls numbers were lower than his… McCaskill will be in Kansas City instead tomorrow night.



Revving up for the November ballot campaigns?  Jobs with Justice is hiring a Kansas City organizer.



I love that people will spend hours on a YouTube video that less than 100 people will see.  But go ahead and watch it.  Not often one candidate calls another “a miserable woman.”  House 72.  Anti-Nichols.  See it here.



Lobbyist Registrations

From the Pelopidas website:


Greg Johnston added Strategos Public Affairs.

Greg N Johnston added Paws Plus.

Bradley J Ketcher added LINQ3.



$5K+ Contributions

Citizens for Brad Lager - $25,000 from Herzog Contracting Corp.

Citizens for Diehl - $6,500 from Anheuser-Busch.

AFSCME MO People Public Employees Organized to Promote Legislative Equality - $90,025 from American Federation of State, County, and Municipal Employees.

House Republican Campaign Committee Inc - $10,000 from Centene Management Company LLC.

House Republican Campaign Committee Inc - $5,005 from Citizens for Diehl.

Friends of Peter Kinder - $30,000 from Sam Fox.

Pearce for Senate - $10,000 from Citizens to Elect Mike Kehoe.

Missourians for Fair and Impartial Courts Committee - $10,000 from Simmons Browder Gianaris Angelides & Barnerd LLC.

Citizens for Largent - $30,000 from Parson for State Senate.

Citizens for Largent - $25,000 from Missouri Leadership Committee.



Cash Commentary

It’s last minute help time… $30K to Kinder from Sam Fox; $25K to Lager from Herzog; and Sen. Kehoe helps colleague David Pearce with $10K; while Sen. Parson and Speaker Tilley’s tight MO Leadership do the same for Largent.




Happy birthdays to Rep. Bob Nance (53) and former Rep. Bryan Stevenson (43).