MOScout Weekender: Poll Finds MO Skeptical of New Industries - Ashcroft on Hoskins - Mayor Pete Wows - Hallway on Impeachment and more....
MOScout/Remington Poll: Emerging Industries
This week I asked questions about Missourians’ perspective of emerging industries and how technology is changing the economy. The poll shows that Missourians are skeptical about the new economy. See the full results here.
Survey conducted November 20 through November 21, 2019. 1,253 likely 2020 General Election voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2020 General Election. Margin of Error is +/-2.1%. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding.
Q1: When you think about the vaping and e-cigarette industry, do you think that industry needs more government oversight and regulation OR needs less government oversight and regulation?
Needs more government oversight and regulation: 77%
Needs less government oversight and regulation: 17%
Fine the way it is: 7%
Q2: When you think about tech giants like Facebook and Google, do you think that industry needs more government oversight and regulation OR needs less government oversight and regulation?
Needs more government oversight and regulation: 65%
Needs less government oversight and regulation: 25%
Fine the way it is: 10%
Q3: When you think about a future with autonomous, or driverless, cars, are you mostly optimistic about the benefits OR concerned about the harmful consequences?
Optimistic about the benefits: 21%
Concerned about the harmful consequences: 72%
Not sure: 7%
Q4: When you think about how online commerce and e-tailers have changed the economy, do you think that the benefits have out-weighed the costs OR the costs have out-weighed the benefits?
The benefits have outweighed the costs: 29%
The costs have outweighed the benefits: 43%
Not sure: 28%
Q5: When you think about how technology is changing the economy, do you think it will create more jobs than it eliminates OR eliminate more jobs than it creates?
Create more jobs than it eliminates: 27%
Eliminate more jobs than it creates: 60%
Not sure: 12%
Mayor Pete Woos STL
MOScouter at the event…. Fantastic event for Mayor Pete Buttigieg. Capacity crowd of ~175; $125K+ raised; great mix of donors + electeds, City and County, black and white. The crowd noshed on Pi's trademark deep dish pizza, served up by owner and Democratic stalwart Chris Sommers, who welcomed attendees. Co-host Jeff Smith introduced Pete with a self-deprecating anecdote about his famously profane ex Lis Smith (now a Buttigieg staffer) cursing him out after he told her a year ago that she was insane to work for a total nobody instead of one of the veteran governors who tried to hire her. Pete spoke with an understated eloquence, and took several audience questions. He referenced his Douglass Plan to remedy racial inequity and noted that unlike some of his opponents, he'd probably be around when the impact of climate change is felt. A very strong inaugural STL event suggesting that Mayor Pete's rising #s in IA/NH are giving him the space to begin branching out to Super Tuesday states and beyond…
Ashcroft on Hoskins
Following is a statement from Missouri Secretary of State Jay Ashcroft regarding Berkeley, Mo., Mayor Theodore “Ted” Hoskins, charged with several felony counts of election fraud. According to court documents, Hoskins is alleged to have altered absentee ballots and has been charged with one felony count of forgery and four felony counts of committing an election offense.
“Our office was pleased to reach out to federal law enforcement officials to help the St. Louis County Board of Elections move forward with their analysis. Thank you especially to Eric Fey, who was determined to make sure a conclusion was reached in this case. Voter fraud is real, and these charges make that clear.
“At the federal, state and local levels, officials and their staffs work hard to ensure your elections are secure and free from fraud. There is integrity in Missouri’s system, and election workers are paying attention. We are all in this together – working to maintain that integrity, helping each other improve cybersecurity, and keeping open lines of communication so we can work together to protect this important system through which you elect your government and make your voice heard.”
Bellerive Acres’ Xmas Party
State Auditor Nicole Galloway today released a citizen-requested audit of the City of Bellerive Acres, located in north St. Louis County. The audit, which gave the city a rating of "fair," made several recommendations for city officials to improve the city's accounting controls and procedures… The audit also identified that, in December 2017, the city held a holiday party costing approximately $7,000. The audit said this was a questionable or unnecessary use of city resources… See the audit here.
I would note that will a municipal population a little under 200, as along as everyone in town was invited to the Christmas party, that’s a semi-reasonable $35/head.
MOScout’s Hallway Index: Impeachment Impact?
The question this week was: “What will be the impact of the Trump impeachment proceedings on Missouri state politics?” 23 responses… I asked the same question when the inquiry began at the end of September. Those results are in parenthesis. A little movement, not much.
RESULTS
1. Helps Republicans… 26.1% (44.8%)
2. Helps Democrats… 13% (3.4%)
3. No significant impact… 39.1% (31.0%)
4. Impossible to guess… 21.7% (20.7%)
Sample Comments
· Trump won MO by 19. Anything that fires up his base benefits R’s. Trump will call this a witch hunt for the next 12 months.
· It is hard to imagine that pro-Trump turnout will increase substantially, given the high rate already seen. It is possible that D's see a little bump in suburban districts. If D's use a combination message that R's do whatever they want when they are in power regardless of privacy or the law i.e. Trump behavior and the lists kept by DHSS there could be some backlash.
· Too early to tell which base it will energize more, and how it will affect folks in the middle. So far it has not changed much.
· The respective party bases dig in. Possible edge to Dems as suburban college educated women trend their way.
· I think it somewhat depends on what Roy Blunt does. He could see the mountain of evidence and decide it’s more than he can tolerate. Right now it feels like it’s helping Dems, but that could change if Elizabeth Warren becomes the nominee.
· It seems to be just cementing folks to whatever camp they were in to start with.
· Everyone is already in their corners. I don’t think it swings much either way.
Who Won the Week
Medicaid Expansion – The MedEx campaign takes in fresh $500K, and no rumblings of an opposition coalescing….
Eric Schmitt – Joins the board of the Republican Attorneys General Association as its youngest member.
Karla Eslinger – Nabs the endorsement of the incumbent in Senate 33 as she tries to boost her candidacy in that Republican primary.
Chuck Bayse, Dave Griffith and Raychel Proudie – Win new committee chairmanships from Speaker Elijah Haahr.
Find a downloadable version here.
$5K+Contributions
Midwest Region Laborers' Political League Education Fund - $8,275 from Laborers Supplemental Dues Fund.
Teamsters Local Union No 688 Political Action Committee - $10,478 from DRIVE Committee (Washington DC).
Living Well PAC - $10,000 from Walgreen Co.
PT-PAC Of Missouri - $10,000 from Central Missouri Physical Therapy.
Health Care Issues Committee of the Missouri Hospital Association - $7,507 from CoxHealth.
Health Care Issues Committee of the Missouri Hospital Association - $20,295 from Saint Luke's Health System.
Health Care Issues Committee of the Missouri Hospital Association - $11,220 from Saint Luke's Health System.
MO Opportunity PAC - $15,000 from Doug Albrecht.
MO Opportunity PAC - $10,000 from John OConnell.
True North PAC - $7,500 from Teamsters Local 955 PAC Fund.MOScout/Remington Poll: Emerging Industries
This week I asked questions about Missourians perspective of emerging industries and how technology is changing the economy. The poll shows that Missourians are skeptical about the new economy…
Q2: When you think about tech giants like Facebook and Google, do you think that industry needs more government oversight and regulation OR needs less government oversight and regulation?
Needs more government oversight and regulation: 65%
Needs less government oversight and regulation: 25%
Fine the way it is: 10%