MOScout Weekender: Senate 31 Poll - Hallway on State Response - WWTW and more...
Latest COVID Model
The latest COVID model shows that curve may be turning right now in Missouri: peak hospital resources behind us, and peak deaths occurring this week. See it here. Most heartening, forecasted total deaths now lowered to 362.
Remington/MOScout Poll: Senate 31
Survey conducted April 15 through April 16, 2020. 419 likely 2020 Republican Primary Election voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2020 Republican Primary Election. Margin of Error is +/-4.76%. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding. See the full results here.
Q1: Do you approve or disapprove of Donald Trump’s job performance as President?
Approve: 83%
Disapprove: 13%
Not sure: 4%
Q2: Possible candidates in the August 4th Republican Primary Election for State Senate are Jack Bondon, Rick Brattin and Bill Yarberry. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Jack Bondon: 16%
Rick Brattin: 18%
Bill Yarberry: 5%
Undecided: 60%
Q3: What is your opinion of the state government’s response to the coronavirus?
They’re overreacting: 16%
They’re handling it correctly: 64%
They’re not doing enough: 14%
No opinion: 6%
Q4: What is your opinion of the federal government’s response to the coronavirus?
They’re overreacting: 12%
They’re handling it correctly: 69%
They’re not doing enough: 15%
No opinion: 5%
TYPE OF GOP: Thinking about the various types of voters within the Republican party, which type of voter do you consider yourself to be? Evangelical, a Trump Republican, Traditional, Libertarian, or something else?
Evangelical: 19%
Trump: 41%
Traditional: 22%
Libertarian: 4%
Something else: 13%
MOScout’s Hallway Index:
I asked the Hallwayers: What is your opinion of the state government’s response to the coronavirus?
RESULTS
1. They’re overreacting… 0%
2. They’re handling it correctly… 40%
3. They’re not doing enough…. 52%
4. No opinion… 8%
Sample of Comments
· I would probably say-undetermined. This is a situation no one has ever dealt with before. I think the Governor and his team have done a lot right-although the press events are reminiscent of the last governor. I say undetermined because the re-opening of the economy (which everyone wants and needs) and how that is handled is unknown and if not handled correctly could be costly in many ways.
· How do you know how to handle something like this that's totally unprecedented?
· They have reacted based on the best information available and now have a better understanding of where the process is working and where it needs to be tweaked. The economy and the virus are now connected and you can’t deal with one without the other. Need to develop a roadmap for a safe and orderly restart which will likely need to occur over time so that people can figure out how to navigate the new normal in the safest fashion.
· Parson has been behind the curve and reactionary on everything. He could have saved himself a lot of criticism if he had issued his do-nothing stay at home order 2 weeks earlier. He first denied to allow restaurants to sell mixed drinks to-go, then relented weeks later after restaurants had already lost a ton of money…
· The governor has not been a leader on the issue. Mayors throughout the state were more proactive, and out front. It was a lose-lose situation as you cannot please everyone.
· Middling. It seems like there is a learning curve on everything for the administration and governor. While that is expected in some cases during these unprecedented times, in others you expect more from those leading government…
· I like the balance. The Noisy Nancy types are trying to ruin the economy. Let's open this thing back up. The curve has flattened. Let's move on.
· For those who want to look back and describe the deficiencies of government response, I challenge you to also make a recommendation of what to do in the future.
· Sufficient response to an unprecedented crisis. By instituting social distancing early, governor was able to not close any businesses. That's a win. And now it looks like we may be on the down side of this. Another win.
· I would say they were doing a good job up until yesterday...going back in a week and a half? Open to the public? As a colleague said to me, how in the world do you social distance in SCR1? or anywhere in the capitol for that matter.
Who Won the Week
APRIL QUARTER EDITION
Nicole Galloway – Big $600K+ quarter shows momentum rising in her campaign.
Down-ballot GOP incumbents – Their Democratic opponents are all trailing far behind in COH with less than four months and amid a difficult fundraising environment.
Deb Lavender – Amazingly keeps on chugging despite the crisis swirling around. She’s puts up another solid quarter, raising $87K.
Self-funders – It’s becoming clear that for a lot of legislative races, this is going to be a lower budget cycle. And the folks who can write checks to their campaigns will have a tangible advantage.
Find a downloadable version of Who Won the Week here.
$5K+ Contributions
Missourians for a New Approach - $25,000 from New Approach PAC.
New Approach PAC - $25,000 from New Approach PAC.
Birthdays
Happy birthdays to Nate Walker, Mike Colona, Amanda Good, Jane Bogetto, Lori Becker, Elizabeth Weber, and Charlie Hinderliter.
Sunday: Jean Peters Baker, Bill Stouffer, Bert Atkins, Sylvester Taylor, and Mack Bradley.