MOScout Weekender: GOP Fav/UnFavs - Hallway on Most Likely to Succeed - Parson to Toss 1st Pitch - WWTW and more...

Remington/MOScout Poll: GOP Fav/UnFav

Survey conducted September 28 through September 29, 2021. 822 likely 2022 Republican Primary voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2022 Republican Primary Election. Margin of Error is +/-3.2% with a 95% level of confidence. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding. Survey conducted by Remington Research Group on behalf of Missouri Scout.  Find the full poll here.

Q1: What is your opinion of Mike Parson?

Favorable: 61%

Unfavorable: 20%

No opinion: 19%

Q2: What is your opinion of Mitch McConnell?

Favorable: 31%

Unfavorable: 37%

No opinion: 32%

Q3: What is your opinion of Donald Trump?

Favorable: 83%

Unfavorable: 14%

No opinion: 3%

Q4: What is your opinion of Eric Greitens?

Favorable: 34%

Unfavorable: 40%

No opinion: 26%

Q5: What is your opinion of Missouri Fraternal Order of Police?

Favorable: 60%

Unfavorable: 9%

No opinion: 31%

Q6: What is your opinion of Missouri State Council of Fire Fighters?

Favorable: 62%

Unfavorable: 7%

No opinion: 31%

TYPE OF GOP: Thinking about the various types of voters within the Republican party, which type of voter do you consider yourself to be? Traditional, Evangelical, a Trump Republican, Libertarian, or something else?

Traditional: 18%

Evangelical: 15%

Trump: 46%

Libertarian: 4%

Something else: 17%

MOScout’s Hallway Index: Who’s Going Places?

I asked lobbyists, which senator is most likely to be in higher office in January 2023? 29 replies…

1. Eric Burlison… 17.2%

2. Mike Moon… 13.8%

3. Bob Onder… 6.9%

4. Caleb Rowden… 34.5%

5. Dave Schatz… 0%

6. Brian Williams… 13.8%

7. Someone else… 13.8%

Sample of Comments

·         Try to get the right of Moon. To say nothing of the grass roots organization he will be able to deploy.

·         It was a tough call between Rowden and Burlison. I think they are both favorites in their seats.

·         Least amount of moving parts for Onder.

·         Eigel for second floor office.

·         Burlison has the conservative credentials and has proven to raise money. He can tout SAPA and Right to Work as key priorities he has championed in the legislature.

·         At the end of the day this game of musical chairs will sort itself out with the likely outcome being none of the above. Politicians tend to look in the mirror and see a statesman or who they want to be as opposed to who they really are. This causes them to overestimate their importance and command of the electorate. Ask every former Speakers who ran for state-wide office believing average Missourians knew who they were or even cared.

·         Rick Brattin

·         [Burlison] fits the make up of the 7th as good as anyone.

·         Bob Onder is pretty unstoppable in any primary, but is St. Charles Executive a "higher office?"

·         [Rowden’s] the most politically adroit and will find a way to draw himself the best possible district.

·         Williams if he primaries Bush.

Parson To Toss First Pitch

As we near the end of the Cardinals regular season, Governor Mike Parson will throw out the first pitch at tonight’s game against the Cubs.

Who Won the Week?

Caleb Rowden – Expectations are that he’ll be announcing his congressional bid soon, and Ryan Johnson’s exit from the race weakens.

Tracy Henke – Former Blunt staffer joins Greater St. Louis as their new Chief Policy Officer.

Dustin Backes – Starts his own firm, Capital City Insights, and starts signing up clients.

Bob Onder – Begins to make his move on Steve Ehlmann.

Medicaid Expansion advocates – It’s been a long journey with plenty of twists and setbacks, but enrollment finally started.

Daryl Duwe – The veteran politico and long-time lobbyist is set to retire and go golf off into the sunset.

Find a downloadable version here.

$5K+ Contributions

Missouri Democratic State Committee - $5,900 from Antonia Grilikhes-Lasky.

American Dream PAC (pro-Kehoe) - $10,000 from Ameren Missouri.

American Dream PAC - $10,000 from Ameren Missouri.

Missouri Gaming PAC - $33,810 from Penn National Gaming Inc.

Missouri United (pro-Plocher) - $18,000 from Penn National Gaming Inc.

Missouri United - $12,500 from Charter Communication PAC.

Missouri American Water Company Employees Political Action Committee - $10,000 from Loellke Plumbing, Inc.

Birthdays

Happy birthdays to Sen. Eric Burlison, Reps. Jamie Burger and Jeff Knight, Tim Remole, and David Zevan.

Sunday: Sen. John Rizzo, Zora Mulligan, Josh Foster, and Maria Chappelle-Nadal.