MOScout Weekender: Hill to Resign? - Martin Subpoenaed - Poll on Vax Mandate, CRT, Term Limits - WWTW and more...
Rumorville: Hill to Resign
Rumors are that Rep. Justin Hill is planning to resign and take a job on the private side – side to be in another state. We’ll see. But the move would be one more shake-up of the evolving state senate races.
Hill had loaned his campaign committee $100,000 ahead of a primary for the St. Charles senate district where Sen. Bob Onder is term limited. His exit will make that race (at least for now) a head-to-head match between Reps. Nick Schroer and John Wiemann.
Martin Subpoenaed
Ed Martin was subpoenaed by the January 6 Committee. See it here. Martin had served in numerous political capacities in Missouri (chairman of the St. Louis Board of Election Commissioners, chief of staff to Governor Matt Blunt, Chair of the Missouri Republican Party, nominee for Attorney General) before leaving the state and taking the reins of Phyllis Schlafly’s group amid some legal wrangling.
Remington/MOScout Poll: Pre-Files
Survey conducted December 8 through December 9, 2021. 814 likely 2022 General Election voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2022 General Election. Margin of Error is +/-3.3% with a 95% level of confidence. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding. Survey conducted by Remington Research Group on behalf of Missouri Scout. Find the full results here.
Q: Do you approve or disapprove of Mike Parson’s job performance as Governor?
Approve: 52%
Disapprove: 36%
Not sure: 12%
I will now read you a handful of bills filed in the Missouri Legislature. Please indicate if you support or oppose each individual proposal.
Q: SB 636 prohibits any employer from requiring an employee or prospective employee to receive a COVID vaccination as a condition of employment. Do you support or oppose this proposal?
Support: 47%
Oppose: 40%
Not sure: 13%
Q: HB 1815 prohibits public schools from using any curriculum implementing critical race theory. Do you support or oppose this proposal?
Support: 54%
Oppose: 34%
Not sure: 12%
Q: HB 1571 prohibits anyone from using a smart phone while driving. Do you support or oppose this proposal?
Support: 69%
Oppose: 20%
Not sure: 11%
Q: SJR 36 would change term limits. Under current law, no person is eligible to serve more than 8 years in a single house of the General Assembly or more than 16 years total in both houses of the General Assembly. This constitutional amendment, if approved by the voters, would extend those limits to 12 years in a single house of the General Assembly and 24 years total in both houses of the General Assembly. Do you support or oppose this proposal?
Support: 21%
Oppose: 69%
Not sure: 10%
MOScout’s Hallway Index: Top of the Agenda
I asked, “What will be the first bill to reach Governor Mike Parson’s desk next session?” 20 replies…
1. Congressional redistricting… 40%
2. Delay of candidate filing dates… 35%
3. Supplemental budget… 20%
4. Something else… 5%
Who Won the Week?
MO Workers – $$$. The governor offers a pay plan increase for state workers; the minimum wage is set to be hiked next month; and the MHTC is asking a Cole County judge to let them use the State Road Fund for employee raises.
Vicky Hartzler – Greitens’ flip-flop on SAPA makes me wonder if at the end of the day Hartzler will emerge as the one genuine conservative in the US Senate race.
Rich Chrismer – His successful communications strategy on behalf of a not-for-profit in Webster Groves under threat of eminent domain was critical to stopping a development proposal.
Ed Martin – A January 6 Committee subpoena, when played correctly, is probably just one more fundraising opportunity.
View a downloadable version here.
$5K+ Contributions
Better Elections - $355,144 from Article IV (Alexandria VA).
Birthdays
Happy birthday to Rep. Dean Van Schoiack.
Sunday: Noel Torpey, Celeste Rueter, Sal Martinez, and Chris Girouard.