MOScout Weekender: Hinkle Passes - Senate 30 Poll - Hallway on Higher Office - Who Won the Week and more...
Hinkle Passes
Don Hinkle, a long-time conservative advocate, has passed away. The news was reported by the Baptist newspaper The Missouri Pathway, the publication for where Hinkle served as editor for decades. Read the Pathway article here.
Remington/MOScout Poll: Senate 30
Survey conducted September 21 through September 22, 2022. 406 likely 2022 General Election voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2022 General Election. Margin of Error is +/-4.9% with a 95% level of confidence. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding. Survey conducted by Remington Research Group on behalf of Missouri Scout. See full results here.
Q1: The candidates in the November 8th General Election for Missouri State Senate District 30 are: Lincoln Hough, the Republican and Raymond Lampert, the Democrat. If the election were held today for whom would you vote?
Lincoln Hough: 52%
Raymond Lampert: 40%
Undecided: 8%
Q2: Generally speaking, which party do you think does the best job handling the issue of crime?
Democrats: 41%
Republicans: 51%
Not sure: 8%
Q3: Generally speaking, which party do you think does the best job handling the issue of education?
Democrats: 46%
Republicans: 47%
Not sure: 7%
Q4: Generally speaking, would you consider yourself pro-choice or pro-life?
Pro-Choice: 40%
Pro-Life: 52%
Not sure: 8%
MOScout’s Hallway Index: Higher Office
I asked lobbyists, “Current legislator most likely to become a statewide office-holder...” 23 replies.
1. Sandy Crawford… 21.7%
2. Bill Eigel… 4.3%
3. Andrew Koenig… 4.3%
4. Tony Luetkemeyer… 26.1%
5. Bob Onder… 0%
6. Dean Plocher… 13%
7. Someone else… 30.4%
Sample of Comments
· “Someone else” guesses included: Caleb Rowden, Holly Rehder, and Mary Elizabeth Coleman.
· [Plocher] Has a great statewide pedigree and will have the resources to run a serious campaign.
· Tony is smart, raises money, and would play well in ads
· I’m not sure how likely it is, but Sandy’s gotta have the best shot to be appointed to Treasurer given her relationship with the governor.
· [Luetkemeyer] Good fundraiser and he seems to be very motivated. Looking more and more like the next Eric Schmitt.
· Dean is hard-working, smart, picks the right battles and remembers faces.
Who Won the Week?
Dan Houx – Prospects for the sports betting bill to be a top priority rise as Senate leadership promises to deliver on the issue.
Lincoln Hough and Andrew Koenig – Lead the Senate through the tax cut compromise, offering hope that next session can be less antagonistic.
Eric Schmitt – SurveyUSA’s poll echoes the Remington/MOScout poll from last month showing Schmitt with an 11-point lead. Six weeks left and no catalyst on the horizon to change the trajectory of the race.
Cindy O’Laughlin – While she’s by no means a favorite in the Senate Floor Leader race, observers are now seeing a path for her to pull off an upset win – if she can make it past the first round of voting.
Find a downloadable version here.
$5K+ Contributions
Move Forward STL (pro-Mantovani) - $50,000 from Chase McKeague.
Move Forward STL - $10,000 from Blackford Brauer.
House Republican Campaign Committee, Inc - $30,000 from Missourians for Cody Smith.
Missouri Democratic State Committee - $25,500 from House Democratic Campaign Committee.
MoCannTrade PAC - $10,000 from Missouri C PAC.
Johnson & Johnson PAC Missouri - $10,000 from Johnson & Johnson Political Action Committee (Federal) (Washington DC).
UAW Region 5 Midwest States Political Action Committee (PAC) (MO) - $6,000 from UAW Region 4 Exchange Account.
Birthdays
Happy birthdays to Harry Otto, and Terry Witte.
Sunday: Jeff Roe, Gordon Reel, Katie Reichard Eiken, Bryan Spencer, and Mark Schwartz.