MOScout Weekender: New Statewide Poll Find GOP Lead Holds, A3 +13 - Hallway Chiefs Fears Recede - WWTW and more…
Gov Appoints Byrnes Hubs As Judge
Governor Mike Parson appointed Bill Byrnes to be Associate Circuit Judge for the 11th Judicial Circuit. He’s the husband of Rep. Tricia Byrnes. “Mr. Byrnes owns Byrnes Law Firm. He holds a Bachelor of Science in criminal justice from Southeast Missouri State University and a Juris Doctor from Thomas M. Cooley Law School. He will fill the vacancy created by the election of the Honorable Matt Thornhill as Circuit Judge who is unopposed in the 2024 general election.”
Other gubernatorial appointments…
· Denise L. Childress, of St. Charles, will be appointed as Associate Circuit Judge for the 11th Judicial Circuit.
· Peter A. Lassiter, of New Melle, was appointed as Associate Circuit Judge for the 11th Judicial Circuit.
· Brendon Fox, of Rolla, will be appointed as Circuit Judge for the 25th Judicial Circuit.
· Nicole M. Carlton, of Carthage, will be appointed as Associate Circuit Judge for the 29th Judicial Circuit.
Remington/MOScout Poll: Statewide
Survey conducted October 2 through October 3, 2024. 753 likely 2024 General Election voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2024 General Election. Margin of Error is +/-3.2% with a 95% level of confidence. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding. Survey conducted by Remington Research Group on behalf of Missouri Scout. See the full report here.
Q1: Candidates in the November General Election for Governor of Missouri are Republican Mike Kehoe, Democrat Crystal Quade, and Libertarian Bill Slantz. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Mike Kehoe: 51%
Crystal Quade: 41%
Bill Slantz: 1%
Undecided: 7%
Q2: Candidates in the November General Election for Treasurer of Missouri are Republican Vivek Malek, Democrat Mark Osmack, and Libertarian John Hartwig Jr. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Vivek Malek: 50%
Mark Osmack: 40%
John Hartwig Jr: 2%
Undecided: 9%
Q3: Candidates in the November General Election for Attorney General of Missouri are Republican Andrew Bailey, Democrat Elad Gross, and Libertarian Ryan Munro. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Andrew Bailey: 51%
Elad Gross: 42%
Ryan Munro: 1%
Undecided: 6%
Q4: Constitutional Amendment 3 would establish a right to make decisions about reproductive health care, including abortion and contraceptives. From what you know about Amendment 3, do you plan to vote in favor or against it?
In favor: 46%
Against: 33%
Not sure: 21%
MOScout’s Hallway Index: Chief Worries
I asked lobbyists, “How worried should we be that the Chiefs will relocate on the Kansas side of KC?” 24 replies…
RESULTS [Results from June in parenthesis]
1. Very worried… 37.5% (57.1%)
2. Somewhat worried…37.5 % (33.3%)
3. Not worried at all… 25% (9.5%)
Sample of Comments
· They will go with the best deal, and it may not be in Missoiri
· There is no point of worrying, we really have no control over the whims of greedy, megalomaniacal NFL owners who seem to have little regard for the loyalties of a fan base that extends into the largest media market in the state. It may or may not happen - worry about bigger issues or things you can impact directly.
· The Chiefs do not want to leave their historic stadium and know the costs of a new stadium would greatly exceed what they're willing to spend and what the public will subsidize. The Chiefs only question on the Jackson County ballot will easily pass without the Royals involved.
· This is ridiculous. Missourians struggle to fill their tanks and afford day care and now they should give tax money to an organization that makes going to a football game unaffordable to 80% of Missouri tax payers. The Hunt family has billions and Missouri has been their home a long time. If they want to go they should just go. This extortion is insane.
· No way the state gives up the amount of tax dollars necessary when they want to fund education/school choice.
· The local leadership in KCMO would leave ANY business owner looking for greener pastures.
· Huge embarrassment if it happens. This is the best run in MO sports history. Losing a team with the best player in the world in the middle of a historic run would be a wound that might never heal.
· I am not worried because I don’t care.
· The Chiefs ownership group want to stay at Truman Sports Complex because of the family history but at the end of the day they run a business and if Kansas can provide a new stadium with public funding the Chiefs will move.
· If the state, county or city can't come up with some sort of plan then they will reluctantly move, but it is clear they would prefer to renovate rather than relocate.
· Don't see this General Assembly offering general revenue to address this and with the revenue horizon getting bleaker-no way the state can step in and not sure another vote passes
· They don’t want to leave arrowhead. But their hand would be forced if Missouri ignored them. We don’t need to go overboard, but something needs to be done.
· It might be better without them if it takes a stadiums worth of money to keep them. I get that its a point of pride for Missouri but we have to trust the plethora of studies that show that these big stadium deals very rarely if every actually work out to the fiscal benefit of the state.
Who Won the Week?
Mike Kehoe – Appears to have the governor’s race in the bag with a lead in the polls and a huge money advantage.
Bill Eigel – Two months after the election, still making people nervous with talk of his political future.
Denise Hasty – Retires after two decades as the head of government affairs for the Associated General Contractors.
Jesus Oeste – Rolls out a strong first round of endorsements in his Circuit Judge race.
Find a downloadable version here.
$5K+ Contributions
Missourians for Constitutional Freedom - $100,000 from Reproductive Freedom for All Foundation (Washington, DC).
Missouri Leadership Fund - $100,000 from Leadership for America PAC.
Missouri Leadership Fund - $100,000 from Accel Entertainment Gaming LLC (Bollingbrook, IL).
Brad PAC (pro-Hudson) - $15,000 from Rex Sinquefield.
PULSE PAC - $16,000 from Rex Sinquefield.
House Democratic Campaign Committee - $10,000 from Enterprise Holdings, Inc. PAC.
Schoeller for Missouri - $5,513 from Safe Elections PAC.
Hahn DeBoef PAC - $10,000 from Mark Gardner.
Missouri Democratic State Committee - $15,000 from Farhad Azima.
Committee to Ensure a Future for Sheriffs & Prosecutors - $7,500 from Missouri Association of Prosecuting Attorneys.
Unite Here Tip Missouri State and Local Fund - $15,000 from UNITE HERE State & local Fund (New York, NY).
Teamsters Local 618 Drive Fund - $10,000 from MO Drive Fund.
Birthdays
Happy birthdays to Joe Keavney, and Nick Marshall.
Sunday: John Simmons, and Yancy Williams.