MOScout Daily Update: Schmitt Preps Trump - Down Ballot GOP Poll - Hallway on SOS Race - WWTW and more…
NYT: Schmitt Tutors Trump on Policy
New York Times reports… Mr. Trump has not engaged in conventional debate preparations ahead of his June 27 debate with President Biden, and his aides have said they have no plans for anyone to play Mr. Biden in role-playing exercises. Instead, they’re using different people in meetings for policy refreshers.
Remington/MOScout Poll: Down Ballot GOP
Survey conducted June 11 through June 13, 2024. 578 likely 2024 Republican Primary Election voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2024 Republican Primary Election. Margin of Error is +/-4% with a 95% level of confidence. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding. See the full report here.
Q1: Which of these statements best describes your view of Donald Trump’s recent felony conviction?
The system was rigged: 66%
No one is above the law: 25%
Not sure: 9%
Q2: Candidates in the Republican Primary for Lieutenant Governor are Holly Rehder, Dave Wasinger, Lincoln Hough, Paul Berry III, Tim Baker, and Matthew Porter. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Holly Rehder: 14%
Dave Wasinger: 5%
Lincoln Hough: 11%
Paul Berry III: 2%
Tim Baker: 3%
Matthew Porter: 1%
Undecided: 65%
Q3: Candidates in the Republican Primary for Secretary of State are Valentina Gomez, Shane Schoeller, Denny Hoskins, Adam Schwadron, Jamie Corley, Dean Plocher, Mary Elizabeth Coleman, and Mike Carter. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Valentina Gomez: 6%
Shane Schoeller: 10%
Denny Hoskins: 6%
Adam Schwadron: 2%
Jamie Corley: 4%
Dean Plocher: 2%
Mary Elizabeth Coleman: 10%
Mike Carter: 6%
Undecided: 55%
Q4: Candidates in the Republican Primary for State Treasurer are Cody Smith, Andrew Koening, Lori Rook, Vivek Malek, Tina Goodrick, and Karan Pujji. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Cody Smith: 12%
Andrew Koening: 8%
Lori Rook: 8%
Vivek Malek: 7%
Tina Goodrick: 2%
Karan Pujji: 2%
Undecided: 61%
MOScout’s Hallway Index: SOS Race
I asked lobbyists, “Who will win the Republican SOS race?” 18 replies…
RESULTS
1. Valentina Gomez… 22.2%
2. Shane Schoeller… 11.1%
3. Denny Hoskins… 0%
4. Adam Schwardon… 0%
5. Jamie Corley… 0%
6. Dean Plocher… 44.4%
7. Mary Elizabeth Coleman… 22.2%
8. Mike Carter… 0 %
Sample of Comments
· Here's the real question. Ask any Republican, no one is excited about this race. The real frontrunner in the race is "none of the above".
· [Gomez] She’s crazy enough to pull it off. If Trump notices her at any point during the campaign she will go viral and win.
· [Plocher] Unless someone has the funds to hit him on the treasure chest of oppo
· [Plocher] Money in a down ticket race is hard to beat.
· All guns pointed at Plocher, MEC will emerge
· [Plocher] Someone needs to catch up on the money race with Plocher, otherwise he has a singular message of draining the swamp and fighting the liberal bureaucracy
· [MEC] The credible woman in a race filled with men. She will outwork the other candidates and has the pro-life credentials to carry her over the top (even though MO Right to Life did not endorse her because of incompetence).
· [Gomez] Two words: “SANDRA MCDOWELL”.
Who Won the Week?
Eric Schmitt – Leading the Republicans to a big victory in the Congress baseball game and being added to private debate prep with Trump.
Mike Kehoe – Landed a million-dollar check from Rex Sinquefield, cementing his enormous money advantage with seven weeks left until the primary.
Travis Smith – As the Eslinger PAC shifts its support to Smith, he picks up about $150,000 in campaign money, evening up the money race in Senate 33.
Mike Cierpiot – You just know Cierpiot does a little dance every time the insurgents try to change his platform and fail.
Find a downloadable version here.
$5K+ Contributions
Liberty and Justice PAC (pro-Bailey) - $10,000 from Robert Blitz.
American Dream PAC (pro-Kehoe) - $10,000 from JK Ambulance Sales & Services Inc.
American Dream PAC - $5,650 from Eric Schreimann,
Conservative Leaders of Missouri - $40,000 from New Day Healthcare.
Missouri Senior PAC - $40,000 from New Day Healthcare.
Missouri AG PAC - $40,000 from New Day Healthcare.
Missouri C PAC - $40,000 from New Day Healthcare.
Missouri Growth PAC - $40,000 from New Day Healthcare.
MO Majority PAC LLC - $40,000 from New Day Healthcare.
Uniting Missouri PAC (Pro-Parson) - $50,000 from MOCANNTRADE PAC.
Uniting Missouri PAC - $10,000 from Torch Electronics LLC.
Committee for the Future - $9,985 from Springfield Good Government Committee.
Missouri Voter Project - State PAC - $17,500 from Scott Intagliata.
Birthdays
Happy birthday to Martin Rucker.
Sunday: Congressman Jason Smith, Bill White, Bob Burns, and August Busch III.