MOScout Weekender: Senate 8 Poll Shows Ingle Up (But Within MOE) - Hallway Index - WWTW and more…
Remington/MOScout Poll: Senate 8
Survey conducted by Remington Research Group on behalf of Missouri Scout on September 30 - October 1, 2026. 596 likely 2026 General Election voters participated in the survey, weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2026 General Election. Margin of Error is +/-4% with a 95% level of confidence. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding. See the full poll here.
Q1: The candidates for State Senate are Republican Jon Patterson and Democrat Keri Ingle. If the election were held today, who would you vote for?
Jon Patterson: 45%
Keri Ingle: 48%
Undecided: 7%
Q2: Constitutional Amendment 3 will be on the ballot this November. From what you know about it, how do you think you will vote?
Vote in favor: 34%
Vote against: 52%
Undecided: 14%
Q3: Thinking about the job that President Donald Trump is doing, do you generally approve of the job he is doing? Or generally disapprove of the job he is doing?
Approve: 40%
Disapprove: 58%
Not sure: 2%
Q4: Generally speaking, would you say things in Missouri are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?
Right direction: 26%
Wrong track: 54%
Not sure: 20%
MOScout’s Hallway Index: GOP’s Opponent
I asked lobbyists, “Who is Missouri Republicans’ toughest opponent right now?” 25 replies…
RESULTS
1. Legislative Democrats… 0%
2. Initiative petitions… 12%
3. The courts… 8%
4. Republican infighting… 8%
5. Someone/thing else… 72%
Sample of Folks Saying “Something Else”
· It's the economy and the environment.
· The Echo Chamber - republicans are convinced they know better than their voters. They are using Trump as their sole source of news and information. They don’t realize that their ideas have become the vocal minority.
· Emperor Donald Trump. GOP is totally tied to Trump and whatever insane thing he does as his time in power (potentially) ends.
· They have nothing left to do. They’ve largely accomplished all of the social issues that brought them to power. They are left with a “limited government” approach at a time people are looking to government to solve problems.
· There are some within their rank and file that could lead on real issues facing Missourians, however, leadership at every level (house senate executive branch) are either ideologues or in the pocket of certain lobbyists.
· The collection of failures; gas prices, maps, income tax reform.
· Gas prices + Trump + unforced errors on Amendment 4, 5 and forthcoming 6.
· Trump. Turns out electing Homer Simpson for a second term was essentially political suicide for the GOP.
· Tied: Donald J. Trump / Denny "Slugger" Hoskins
· Right now? Eric Schmitt.
· Trying to be too many things is taking a toll. Being loyal to leadership and the narrowing pool of funders means making bad votes to defend at home. Amendment 4 and 5, underfunding k-12, the higher ed fiasco. A session ahead with no money, a potential formula rewrite, scrapping the Missouri plan that will fail again. Then pile on all the national stuff you have to defend that you can’t control like Iran and gas prices, Trump support of data centers. The “wins” have been rare and unpopular and the losses of their own making are piling up.
Who Won the Week?
Yes on Amendment 6 – The pro-A6 campaign has a commanding organizational advantage with $2.7 million raised and TV commercials already running. The opposition’s response has been sporadic and less visible.
MO Dems – The latest MOScout poll shows the vibes in suburban Missouri: Trump is underwater, and the right track/wrong direction numbers are running against the incumbent party. Not good signs for GOP turnout next month.
MO Ag – The agriculture community won a little relief with Governor Mike Kehoe’s executive order to allow tax-free dyed diesel on state highways and heavier qualifying farm loads.
Nukes – The final State Energy Plan endorsed public financing, a possible Missouri Nuclear Power Authority, conditional pre-operation cost recovery and workforce grants for nuclear expansion.
Find a downloadable version here.
Gubby Appts
Governor Mike Kehoe announced eight gubernatorial appointments…
· David Spence was appointed to the Regional Convention and Visitors Commission.
· Christopher Gahagan was appointed to the Clay County Board of Election Commissioners.
· Jerald "Rusty" Saunders Jr. and Franklin "Shane" Terhune were appointed to the Missouri Board for Architects, Professional Engineers, Professional Land Surveyors, Professional Landscape Architects, and Licensed Interior Designers.
· Darryl Forte and Matthew Stewart were appointed, and Randee Kaiser and Michael Bonham were reappointed to the Missouri Sheriff Methamphetamine Relief Taskforce.
$5K+ Contributions
Vote Yes on Amendment 6 – $250,000 from Americans for Fairness (Countryside, IL).
Vote Yes on Amendment 6 – $50,000 from Respect MO Voters Campaign.
American Dream PAC (pro-Kehoe) - $10,000 from Flattery Solutions LLC.
Brad PAC (pro-Hudson) - $75,000 from Mid-America Carpenters Regional Council MO-KS PAC.
Missouri Leadership PAC (pro-Riley) - $75,000 from Mid-America Carpenters Regional Council PAC.
Forward PAC (pro-Fogle) - $10,000 from Plumbers & Pipefitters Local 178.
Will of the People - $330,000 from Missouri Wins Investor Network.
Senate Democratic Campaign Committee - $130,000 from KERI PAC.
Missouri Democratic State Committee - $7,600 from Citizens for Claire Heinrich.
Legio XIII PAC - $50,000 from J&J Ventures Gaming of Missouri LLC (Effingham, IL).
MoCannTrade PAC – $10,000 from Agri Genesis LLC.
Spire Political Action Committee - $25,000 from Romet Limited (Indianapolis, IN).
American Federation of Teachers Local 420 AFT St. Louis COPE - $6,000 from AFT St. Louis, Local 420 COPE.
Hy-Vee Employees PAC Federal Committee - Missouri - $26,750 from Hy-Vee Inc Employees' Political Action Committee (Des Moines, IA).
GOPAC Election Fund - Federal PAC - $50,250 from GoPAC Election Fund (Arlington, VA).
Best Start for Kids STL - $21,052 from WEPOWER.
Birthdays
Happy birthdays to John Rizzo, Josh Foster, and Zora Mulligan.
Sunday: Jerry Nolte.