MOScout Poll: 2028 Statewides Favorability
Survey conducted November 11 through November 12, 2026. 595 likely 2028 General Election voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2028 General Election. Margin of Error is +/-3.8% with a 95% level of confidence. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding. Survey conducted by Remington Research Group on behalf of Missouri Scout. See the full report here.
Q1: What is your opinion of Eric Schmitt?
Favorable: 51%
Unfavorable: 43%
No opinion: 6%
Q2: What is your opinion of Mike Kehoe?
Favorable: 36%
Unfavorable: 49%
No opinion: 15%
Q3: What is your opinion of Catherine Hanaway?
Favorable: 30%
Unfavorable: 33%
No opinion: 37%
Q4: What is your opinion of Denny Hoskins?
Favorable: 20%
Unfavorable: 36%
No opinion: 44%
Q5: What is your opinion of Vivek Malek?
Favorable: 28%
Unfavorable: 27%
No opinion: 45%
Q6: What is your opinion of Andrew Bailey?
Favorable: 24%
Unfavorable: 37%
No opinion: 39%
MOScout’s Hallway Index: MO House 2027
I asked lobbyists, “Will the recent elections results make House Republicans act more conservative or less conservative than they did in 2026?” 23 replies…
RESULTS
1. More conservative… 69.6%
2. Less conservative… 8.7%
3. About the same… 21.7%
Sample of Comments
· But less functional. Leadership vacuums create anxiety which creates conflict. Dems will pick up more seats in 28.
· Practical ideas around family affordability (gas, food, healthcare) are hard to get done. And if the priority of the Speaker is school choice...
· Remain conservative on issues regular folks care about and then will just drop the other issues that seem to get them in trouble.
· This is a rural/suburban dynamic much more than it is a conservative/moderate one. They lost and stand to lose more of the suburbs.
· The Republicans are giving themselves a chance to gain them back, but they need to put more conservative members in place to provide cover for the policy ideas they think can win back/halt the losses in those suburbs...typically that means getting rural republicans to vote against their own districts interests.
· Saying out loud what everyone knows...the state is better off when the margins are narrow.
· More conservative, the leadership elections prove that. This might be the most conservative Speaker/Floor Leader combo I've ever seen.
· The H leadership is a bunch of old white guys and they let the “girl” be the secretary. They continue to want to bring issues back that were decided twice by the voters
· Totally tone deaf.
· It's incredible to believe, but the message R's got from this election is that they just aren't conservative enough. I keep hearing people talk about how D's are going to legislate to the DSA agenda which will kill them, but R's don't see the corollary on their side. If they force tax cuts, abortion, and ed reform D's will gain another 10 seats in the House and I would wager they will win their share of state-wides. Trump started the ball rolling for D's but rank and file R's seem to be keen on keeping the momentum.
· The blue tsunami ushered out most of the GOP’s normal functioning adults.
· Lost swing district who tend to be more moderate (though not always). Without people like Melanie and JP and Brad, the caucus moves right. In particular the trade of Brad for Darin will move the caucus right. And if Nick is running for Congress…God help us.
· It won’t “ make” them act more conservative, but they are doing it anyway because of consultants making money off primaries. No one cares about the Republican brand long term. The party is weak.
· They will double down on the insanity because it worked so well this last cycle.
Who Won the Week?
MO Dems – What a difference one night can make. They’ve shaken off a decade of gloomy irrelevance. Folks are talking about running statewide; they’re plotting how they can use Amendment 6, they’re setting their sights on the target districts for 2028. Heady days for a resurgent MO Dem Party.
Freedom Caucus – They grabbed the reins of leadership in both chambers. Will this be a ‘dog catches car’ situation?
Mark Alford – House Republicans elected the Missouri congressman their conference secretary on Nov. 10, giving him a seat on the party’s leadership team in the next Congress.
MoCannTrade – The licensed marijuana industry backed the bill to stop smoke shops and convenience stores from selling many intoxicating hemp products. The restrictions took effect Thursday.
Find a downloadable version here.
Gubby Appts
Governor Mike Kehoe announced four gubernatorial appointments…
· Pamela Lanier was appointed to the Missouri Commission on Human Rights.
· David Baker and Cora Hanf were appointed, and Felishya Booker was reappointed to the State Rehabilitation Advisory Council for the Blind.
$5K+ Contributions
St. Charles Realtors PAC - $10,000 from National Association of Realtors (Washington, DC).
Protect Freedom and Democracy - $46,580 from Missouri Jobs with Justice Voter Action.
Spire Political Action Committee - $15,000 from Miller Pipeline, LLC (Indianapolis, IN).
Access MO - $80,000 from Project 50 PAC MO.
Missouri First Conservative PAC (pro-Washinger) - $25,000 from Alliance for Economic Progress.
Missouri Senate Campaign Committee - $10,000 from BNSF Railway Company (Fort Worth, TX).
Missouri Senate Campaign Committee - $10,000 from Xcaliber International LTD LLC (Pryor, OK).
Missouri Senate Campaign Committee - $7,500 from PMI US Corporate Services (Washington, DC).
Missouri Senate Campaign Committee - $20,000 from Hahn Deboef – PAC.
Missouri Senate Campaign Committee - $10,000 from The Madison PAC.
Birthdays
Happy birthdays to Rep-elect Mary Ann Perkins and Lyda Krewson.
Sunday: Kelli Dunaway.