MOScout Daily Update: Another CD-6 Polling Memo - What Kalshi Says - Roundup Saved - MO's SNAP Problem and more...
Quick Friday update…
CD-6 Polling Memo: Stigall Leads
A polling memo from Remington Research says that “recent tracking surveys in Missouri's 6th Congressional District show clear momentum shifting toward Chris Stigall. Stigall has secured steady growth over the last couple months by consolidating undecided voters and capitalizing on key endorsements from both Senator Eric Schmitt and Congressman Sam Graves. Despite negative TV ads against Stigall, his image has remained stable.” See the memo here.
Kalshi Odds
For the prediction market devotees… Kalshi shows Taylor Burks as the favorite in CD-5. See it here.
And Chris Stigall is the favorite in CD-6. See it here.
SCOTUS Saves Roundup
Missouri Independent reports on yesterday’s Supreme Court ruling. Read it here.
State courts cannot find liability for labeling shortcomings in pesticides and related products because such products are covered by federal law, the U.S. Supreme Court said Thursday in a decision backing agricultural giant Monsanto.
· The justices, in a 7-2 decision, threw out a $1.25 million verdict a Missouri court awarded to a man who said long-term use of the weedkiller Roundup caused him to develop non-Hodgkin lymphoma, a type of blood cancer.
What It Means
The last couple of sessions the General Assembly has debated this issue without finding a compromise. This decision appears to have resolved the issue for good.
MO SNAP Problem
David Lieb reports penalties coming to states for excessive payment errors in the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program. Read it here.
Consider Missouri as an example. It had an error rate of 8.7% last year. Unless it improves next year, the state will have pick up 10% of SNAP benefit costs starting in October 2027. Missouri residents received about $1.5 billion of SNAP benefits in 2024, the latest year for which federal data is available. If that same amount of benefits is paid in the future, Missouri could have to cover $150 million of the costs; that’s a sum greater than the total budgeted for several state prisons.
Follett Charged
Daniel Follett has been charged with Attempted Enticement of a Child and Attempted Sex Trafficking of a Child.
From court documents: On Tuesday, June 23, 2026, around 17:00 hrs., the defendant arrived at an address in Boone County, Missouri to pay money to have sex with a female whom he believed was under the age of 17, which he met online to engage in sexual acts. Furthermore, the messages sent from the defendant indicated he would meet the 16-year-old female whom he met online and a discussion to pay money to engage in sexual conduct with the person he believed was under the age of 17. The defendant went to the door at a predetermined location to meet the minor.
· Follett is the general counsel for the Missouri Department of Revenue.
Lobbyist Registrations
Alex Tuttle added CGI Technologies & Solutions Inc.
Amy Blunt added Two Story.
$5K+ Contributions
Protect Majority Rule Missouri (anti-A4) - $980,890 from Missourians for Fair Governance.
Taxpayers in Support of Public Education (anti-A5) - $395,533 from Unite Inspire Lead.
Protect Election Integrity (pro-A4) - $5,100 from Missouri Soybean Association.
American Dream PAC (pro-Kehoe) - $10,000 from United Healthcare Svs Inc. (Englewood, CO).
Missourians for a Responsible Budget (pro-Fitzpatrick) - $10,000 from Missouri C PAC.
Missourians for a Responsible Budget - $10,000 from Missouri AG PAC.
Missourians for a Responsible Budget - $7,500 from Missouri Growth PAC.
BUTZ STL PAC (pro-Butz) - $10,000 from Missouri Insurance Coalition PAC.
Rudy Veit For State Senate - $10,000 from Rudy Veit.
Bootheel Values PAC (pro-Burger) - $10,000 from Jeffrey Smith.
Let's Go Brandon PAC (anti-Blue, anti-Skelton) - $50,000 from NEMO Leadership PAC (pro-O’Laughlin).
Serve Missouri PAC (pro-McCreery) - $25,000 from Missouri and Kansas Laborers' PAC.
Great Northwest PAC (pro-Rusty Black) - $5,100 from Missouri Soybean Assn.
MBA OZARK REGION PAC - $6,420 from Southwest Missouri Bank.
Committee to Elect Alexis Winfrey - $18,000 from Kenneth Winfrey.
Catalyst PAC - $50,000 from Evergy Metro, Inc.
HBS MO State PAC - $55,000 from HB Strategies.
Freedom Principle MO Missouri First PAC - $8,000 from Kyle McCollum.
Freedom Principle MO Missouri First PAC - $10,000 from Kyle McCollum.
Missouri Dream PAC (pro-Phelps) - $15,000 from Rex Sinquefield.
MO Maverick PAC - $38,984 from Made in Missouri PAC.
Take Back Missouri PAC - $41,959 from Made in Missouri PAC.
MSCEW PAC Federal Cmte - $30,000 from IBEW PAC VOLUNTARY FUND (Washington, DC).
Birthdays
Happy birthdays to Kurt Bahr and Kirk Mathews.