MOScout Weekender: Parson Vetoes - Poll on Dem Prez Preference - Hallway on Dem Prez - WWTW and more...
Parson Vetoes Six Bills
Governor Mike Parson issued six vetoes yesterday…
· SB 147 - Enacts provisions relating to motor vehicles – sponsored by Sen. David Sater. Veto letter.
· SB 202 - Creates provisions relating to mining royalties on federal land – sponsored by Sen. Gary Romine. Veto letter.
· SB 282 - Modifies provisions relating to the disposition of human remains – sponsored by Sen. Justin Brown. Veto letter.
· SB 414 - Enacts provisions relating to innovation in health insurance – sponsored by Sen. Paul Wieland. Veto letter.
· HB 399 - Modifies provisions relating to healthcare – sponsored by Rep. Chuck Basye. Veto letter.
· HB 447 - Modifies provisions relating to coroners – sponsored by Rep. Dan Houx. Veto letter.
MOScout Poll: Parson – Dem Prez Preference
This week, the MOScout Poll asked Democratic voters a few questions. Survey conducted July 10 through July 11, 2019. 1,122 likely 2020 Democratic Primary Election voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2020 Democratic Primary Election. Margin of Error is +/-3%. See the full poll here.
Q1: Possible candidates in the 2020 Democratic Primary for President are Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg, Beto O’Rourke, Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee, Marianne Williamson, and Andrew Yang. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Joe Biden: 43%
Kamala Harris: 13%
Elizabeth Warren: 15%
Bernie Sanders: 4%
Pete Buttigieg: 5%
Beto O’Rourke: 1%
One of the other candidates: 4%
Undecided: 15%
Q2: What is most important to you when determining your support for a Democratic candidate?
Their position on specific policies: 23%
Their experience and readiness for the job: 27%
Their ability to beat Donald Trump: 43%
Not sure: 7%
Q3: Some candidates for president have proposed that the government eliminate student loan debt at a cost to the taxpayers. In general, do you support or oppose this policy?
Strongly support: 28%
Somewhat support: 33%
Somewhat oppose: 16%
Strongly oppose: 10%
Not sure: 13%
Q4: Of the following issues, which should be the top priority for state government?
Improving education: 22%
Reducing crime: 15%
Increasing jobs: 9%
Lowering healthcare costs: 31%
Something else: 8%
Not sure: 15%
Q5: Generally speaking, do you support or oppose expanding charter schools in Missouri?
Strongly support: 12%
Somewhat support: 22%
Somewhat oppose: 20%
Strongly oppose: 32%
Not sure: 14%
MOScout’s Hallway Index: Which Prez Candidate Helps Dems Most?
And I asked my lobbyist focus group: Which presidential nominee would most help Dems be competitive in Missouri in 2020? 27 replies…
1. Joe Biden… 62.9%
2. Kamala Harris…. 7.4%
3. Bernie Sanders… 0%
4. Elizabeth Warren…. 0%
5. Someone else… 7.4%
6. MO won’t be competitive regardless of the Dem nominee…. 22.2%
Selected Comments
· Won’t be competitive like 2008. Dems just hope for 2012
· The answer is probably no one but I'd say Pete Buttigieg may have the best chance because he's Midwestern, followed by Biden.
· Biden can’t win the state, but he would be the most competitive. Biden won’t win the nomination, though. He’s no longer holding the torch.
· MO won’t be very competitive regardless, but Uncle Joe gives us the best shot to be effective in winnable state legislative races.
· [Biden] keeps it within ten.
· As far left as all of the nominees are tracking it’s hard to see how MO is competitive. They only thing that could change it is if the nominee could get an Obama level turnout in the cities.
· A progressive will be competitive. Claire had a centrist message and got rolled.
· Obama/Biden in 2008 had higher turnout in St. Louis City, St. Louis County and Jackson County (average 6% increase) and Dems did well statewide that year. Maybe a Biden/Harris would excite more urban and suburban voters and provide a safe alternative to Trump.
Who Won the Week
Eric Schmitt – In his veto letters, Governor Mike Parson mentions Schmitt’ senate legacy, SB 5, twice in rejecting bills.
Elijah Haahr – Joined legislative leaders in filing amicus briefs to support Ashcroft’s attempt to derail the HB 126 referendum. This doubling down on the no exemptions abortion ban tattoos his conservative creds for some future race.
Missouri Dems – Off and running with organizing meetings to overturn HB 126. Regardless of the fate of the ACLU’s referendum attempt, Dems are using it as a rally banner to inject enthusiasm into 2020.
Holly Rehder – Testing early attack lines against her Senate primary opponent Kathy Swan. “Never too early to go negative?”
Find a downloadable version here.
Lobbyists Registrations
Robert Marley deleted Robert Marley.
$5K+Contributions
Citizens for Good Government - $7,000 from Lincoln County Professional EMS Association.
Citizens for Good Government - $6,200 from Lincoln County Professional EMS Association.
No Bans on Choice - $7,525 from ACLU of Missouri.