MOScout Daily Update: Schmitt Up 11% - $$$ Into House Races - Politico on Hawley - Combest E-Book and more...
New Senate Poll
Trafalgar Group has a new US Senate poll. See it here.
Eric Schmitt – 53.3%
Trudy Valentine – 42.3%
Jonathan Dine – 2.1%
Undecided – 2.3%
24-Hour Expenditures
Here’s a list of yesterday’s 24-Hour Expenditure reported to Missouri Ethics Commission…
House Republican Campaign Committee
· Opposing Betsy Fogle - $9,975
· Supporting AJ Exner - $9,975
Missouri Senate Campaign Committee
· Opposing Tracy McCreery - $100,000
· Supporting George Hruza - $25,000
Protect Missouri
· Supporting Cindy Berne - $6,094
· Opposing Adam Schwadron - $6,094
· Supporting Betsy Fogle - $6,142
· Opposing AJ Exner - $6,142
· Supporting Keri Ingle - $7,461
· Opposing John Burrows - $7,461
· Supporting Deb Lavender - $8,331
· Opposing Ryan Higgins - $8,331
· Supporting Crystal Quade - $9,853
· Opposing Stephanos Freeman - $9,853
· Supporting Ashley Aune - $7,684
· Opposing Eric Holmes - $7,684
· Supporting Douglas Mann - $7,013
· Opposing James Musgraves - $7,013.43
· Supporting Robert Sauls - $5,587
· Opposing Dakota Worrell - $5,587
· Supporting Kemp Strickler - $7,626
· Opposing JC Crossley - $7,626
Move Forward STL
· Supporting Mark Mantovani - $7,331
· Supporting Mark Mantovani - $1,500
Voters for Good Government
· Opposing Megan Green - $21,111
· Opposing Megan Green - $2,607
Haffner – Patterson
Regarding next week’s leadership election one House member writes me that he thinks MOScout is buying too hard into the “Jon Patterson has inched into the lead” story-line.
It does feel a bit like “déjà vu all over again” in that there is talk of some sort of late surge by Jon, similar to the one Curtis Trent was supposedly having over Dean Plocher. That distraction was ginned up by consultants and lobbyists in a last-ditch effort to give their candidate momentum but the caucus never fell for it. From what I’ve seen, from the beginning, Mike [Haffner] has had an unwavering block of support that Jon hasn’t been able to overcome.
And
Previewing the Weekender… tomorrow we’ll see “The Hallway” index comes down on the House Floor Leader race. Plus, the final Remington poll will return to the hot contest in Senate 24.
Politico on Hawley
Politico writes on US Senate Josh Hawley, next week’s election, and future of the Republican Party. Read it here.
· Josh Hawley doesn’t just want to flip the Senate by electing fellow Republicans Blake Masters and J.D. Vance. He wants to bend the entire GOP conference with a bloc of like-minded senators. The Missouri senator, who helped convince both candidates to run, will go to Arizona on Friday for Masters, Ohio for Vance on Saturday and then finish the campaign on Monday in Missouri for GOP candidate Eric Schmitt…
· The Missouri senator drew stern internal blowback from GOP Leader Mitch McConnell on down for objecting to Biden’s electoral certification, while Republicans criticized him for his skepticism of some GOP judicial nominees. Hawley was the only vote against allowing Finland and Sweden into NATO and argues against “blank checks to Ukraine” as the country tries to fend off Russia…
· Hawley envisions those positions will become more mainstream with prospective senators Vance and Masters, who “represent where the Republican Party is today.”
· And that means cutting against the party on proposals like using the debt limit to push for changes to Social Security and Medicare. “That’s dumb,” Hawley said. “We need to do everything we can to keep them solvent for sure. But the idea of fiddling around with them and using those as leverage? I hope nobody’s seriously proposing that.”
Combest E-Book
The peerless John Combest who every morning spits out headlines from across the state has written an e-book about how to deal with internet trolls. Get your copy here.
eMailbag
· On KC piece on Alford: Leave it to the Kansas City Star to write a hit piece against Mark Alford for being too conservative during his career as a news anchor and reporter… The Alford camp probably wishes they would have outed his political ideology ahead of the primary, too.
· On Legal MO 2022 $$$: All of that money for [legalization] sure seems like panic this late…
Help Wanted
Centene seeks Strategy Manager - Public Policy. “Works closely with Health policy and Government Relations teams to analyze key policy issues and impacts and facilitates strategic solutions to advance Medicare goals and priorities; Manage Medicare goals and priorities to drive proactive and forward-thinking solutions on federal and state healthcare programs; Provide leadership to shape the strategic direction of the health policy team as well as other business units across the organization as policy impacts are assessed…” See the ad here.
Lobbyists Registrations
Irl Scissors and Sarah Wood Martin added National Strategies, Inc. OBO Flock Safety.
Jeffrey Altman added E.S.O.P; and deleted MO Hemp Trade Association.
$5K+ Contributions
House Republican Campaign Committee, Inc - $5,500 from Louis Riggs.
Missouri Senate Campaign Committee - $10,000 from Missouri Soybean Association.
Missouri Senate Campaign Committee - $25,000 from Rex Sinquefield.
Missouri Senate Campaign Committee - $25,000 from Rex Sinquefield.
Serve Missouri PAC (pro-McCreery) - $25,000 from Majority Forward.
Serve Missouri PAC (pro-McCreery) - $6,000 from Missouri NEA PAC.
Majority Forward - $15,000 from Scott Sifton for Missouri.
Connie Leipard for Boone County - $9,700 from Connie Liepard.
Citizens for Janet Crow - $5,345 from Janet Crow.
Conservative Solutions for Missouri PAC - $25,000 from Rex Sinquefield.
Moving Our Schools Forward - $22,500 from Vogel Sheet Metal & Heating, Inc.
Legal Missouri 2022 - $50,000 from OXG LLC.
Legal Missouri 2022 - $25,000 from McLarty Consulting LLC (Little Rock, AR).
Birthdays
Happy birthdays to Amy Gunn, Tony Messenger, and Patrick Hamacher.