MOScout Daily Update: JeffCo Senate Poll - SurveyUSA Poll - Vanilla Ice Vs McCloskey - Latest Ads and more...

MOScout/Remington Senate 22 Poll

Survey conducted July 25 through July 28, 2022. 303 likely 2022 Republican Primary Election voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2022 Republican Primary Election. Margin of Error is +/-5.5% with a 95% level of confidence. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding. Survey conducted by Remington Research Group on behalf of Missouri Scout. See full results here.

Q1: The candidates in the August 2nd GOP Primary for Missouri State Senate District 22 are _: If the election were held today for whom would you vote?

Dan Shaul: 16%

Shane Roden: 14%  

Mary Elizabeth Coleman: 23%       

Jeff Roorda: 22%

Undecided: 25%

Q2: The candidates in the August 2nd GOP Primary for Missouri State Auditor are _: If the election were held today for whom would you vote?

David Gregory: 18%      

Scott Fitzpatrick: 35%

Undecided: 47%

Q3: The candidates in the August 2nd GOP Primary for US Senate are _: If the election were held today for whom would you vote?

Eric Schmitt: 40%

Billy Long: 6%

Eric Greitens: 15%

Vicky Hartzler: 15%

Mark McCloskey: 5%

Dave Schatz: 3%

Someone else: 9%

Undecided: 8%

Q4: Generally speaking, do you think Missouri is headed in the right direction or on the wrong track?

Right direction: 48%

Wrong track: 32%

Not sure: 20%

Pro-MEC PAC Ad

Conservative Solutions PAC released a new ad bolstering Rep. Mary Elizabeth Coleman yesterday, portraying her a full-on Trumpster.  See it here.

SurveyUSA Poll

SurveyUSA released a Missouri Senate poll yesterday.  See it here.  Key points…

·       Republican results have Schmitt leading (28%), but with Greitens in second (20%) and Hartzler in third (13%).

·       Democratic results have Valentine way out in front (40%) of Kunce (14%).

·       Looking to the general election, a Greitens-Valentine match-up, including Independent John Wood, starts at a 31%-31% tie, with Wood grabbing 10%.  This is the “perfect storm” scenario for Dems.

·       And only 20% of Republicans have “full confidence” that “votes cast in the primary election for United States Senate will be counted accurately,” apparently showing the collateral damage done by the Big Lie to undermine faith in elections.

Latest Ads

I thought we were at the stage in the race where candidates would flip over to a final blast of positive ads.  Not yet I guess…

·       Pro-Dan Shaul JeffCo Vision PAC blasts Rep. Mary Elizabeth Coleman and Jeff Roorda for missed votes.  See it here.

·       Rep. David Gregory says it’s Treasurer Scott Fitzpatrick who “got caught lying” in his latest ad. See it here.

·       American Society of Anesthesiologists are running a radio ad in support of Congresswoman Vicky Hartzler.  It’s positive.  Hear it here.

Meanwhile

KCStar reports on Vanilla Ice making sure that people know he’s not associated with Mark McCloskey.  Read it here.

According to the article, McCloskey downplayed the “Team McCloskey” visual he’s promoting, “(We’re) merely saying that we’re going to be there at a time when they’re going to be there. No relationship whatsoever.”

Money Trails

·       Quality Schools Coalition had previously done mailings for Holly Jones (House 88, Eureka) and Ann Moloney (House 114, JeffCo). Yesterday they reported a mailing in opposition to Jeff Farnan (House 1, Northwest Missouri) and a mailing in support of Tara Peters (House 122, Rolla).

·       In the large contributions (below), another $50K from the Carpenters into Senate 26 in support of Rep. Nate Tate.

·       I added Back on Track PAC to my spreadsheet. I’d missed this one earlier.  It’s not huge amounts of money, but it’s a PAC in support of Angela Romine running against Sen. Lincoln Hough.

Lobbyist Registration

Jay Hahn added Armis Inc.

George Oestreich added Magellan Health, Inc.

Josh Jones added Hikma Specialty USA Inc. c/o Velocity BioGroup.

Henrio Thelemaque added Missouri’s National Veterans Memorial.        

$5K+ Contributions

American Dream PAC (pro-Kehoe) - $7,500 from Ameren Missouri.

Missouri Conservative Alliance (pro-Tate) - $50,000 from Mid-America Carpenters Regional Council MO-KS PAC.

Southwest Missouri Patriot PAC (pro-White) - $15,000 from Missouri Forward PAC (pro-Rowden).

Birthdays

Happy birthday to Sen. Karla Eslinger, and Vicki Englund.