MOScout Weekender - Watching $$$ - Poll on Hunter and Donald - Hallway on Overrides and more...
Watching $$$
In the large contributions you’ll see a round of check that hit the House Republican Campaign Committee coffers from their summer caucus. More coming I suspect. But…
· Interesting to see the Carpenters’ Union leading the way with a $50K blast, more than even Rex Sinquefield’s $30K check.
Also in the large contributions, $100K from the Relators into Missourians for Fair Governance, a campaign committee set-up to prevent changes to the initiative petition process.
· $100K is chump change to the Realtors, hardly amounting to even an ante.
Also
At the Governor’s Ham Breakfast that I missed yesterday, Rep. Richard Brown. Brown, a Democrat, has a committee formed to run for lieutenant governor in 2024.
Remington/MOScout Poll: Hunter / Donald
Survey conducted August 16 through August 17, 2023. 744 likely 2024 November Election voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2024 November Election. Margin of Error is +/-3.5% with a 95% level of confidence. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding. Survey conducted by Remington Research Group on behalf of Missouri Scout. Find the full results here.
Q1: From what you have heard about Hunter Biden’s legal troubles, which best describes your reaction?
Hunter Biden is the target of a political attack: 19%
No one is above the law: 64%
Not sure: 17%
Q2: If Hunter Biden is found guilty, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for Joe Biden in 2024, or would it make no difference?
It would make me more likely to vote for Joe Biden: 14%
It would make me less likely to vote for Joe Biden: 40%
It would not make a difference: 46%
Q3: From what you have heard about the various indictments of Donald Trump, which best describes your reaction?
Trump did nothing wrong: 28%
Trump may have broken some laws, but he shouldn’t be prosecuted: 15%
Trump may have broken some laws, and if a jury finds him guilty, he should be punished: 21%
Trump is a criminal: 29%
Not sure: 7%
Q4: If Donald Trump is found guilty of illegal acts while trying to overturn the 2020 election, would that make you more likely to vote for Donald Trump, less likely to vote for Donald Trump, or would it make no difference?
It would make me more likely to vote for Donald Trump: 26%
It would make me less likely to vote for Donald Trump: 35%
It would make no difference: 39%
Q5: Would the country be better off if neither Donald Trump nor Joe Biden were presidential nominees in 2024?
Yes, the country would be better off with different nominees: 33%
No, the country would not be better off with different nominees: 39%
Not sure: 28%
MOScout’s Hallway Index: On Veto Session
Looking ahead to next month’s veto session, I asked lobbyists, “Do you think that the legislature will override any of Governor Mike Parson's line-item vetoes?” 21 replies…
RESULTS
1. Yes… 9.5%
2. No… 61.9%
3. Not sure… 28.6%
4.
5.
Sample of Comments
· Zero chance
· Unlikely that the Senate can unite on anything
· Term limited governor who has a history of line-item vetoes that don't make sense. Look for an easy and affordable line item dealing with public safety to be overridden.
· Collectively, the legislature can't tie its shoes. They will not be overriding any vetoes in September.
· This Governor deserves to have his vetoes overridden, but they won’t do it.
Who Won the Week?
Jay Ashcroft – Getting sued gets you earned media just as well as suing folks. And Ashcroft has been getting sued – on ESG, on library censorship, on abortion IP language.
Angela Mosley – It’s looking like a Mosely Family Dynasty to carry on the Elbert Walton political machine. Sen. Mosley’s children have started committees to run in House 68 and House 75.
Mike Parson – Sold-out Ham Breakfast confirms he’s “king of the state fair and of Missouri’s ag community.” Plus, Hallway thinks his line-item vetoes are safe from overrides next month.
Denny Hoskins – It sounds like Caleb Rowden is deciding not to run for SOS, and Shane Schoeller gets name-checked by far-right pillow guy Mike Lindell. Campaign’s going OK for Hoskins so far.
Find a downloadable version here.
Gubby Appts
Governor Mike Parson announced new judicial appointments…
· Carrie Lamm-Clark, of Jefferson City, was appointed as Associate Circuit Judge for Grundy County in the 3rd Judicial Circuit.
· Vincent Johnson, of O’Fallon, was appointed as Associate Circuit Judge for the 11th Judicial Circuit.
· Derek Ankrom, of Springfield, was appointed as Circuit Judge for the 31st Judicial Circuit.
· Nathan Taylor, of Strafford, was appointed as Associate Circuit Judge for the 31st Judicial Circuit.
· The Honorable Alan Blankenship, of Galena, was appointed as Circuit Judge for the 39th Judicial Circuit.
$5K+ Contributions
House Republican Campaign Committee, Inc - $50,000 from Mid-America Carpenters Regional Council Missouri-Kansas Area PAC.
House Republican Campaign Committee, Inc - $30,000 from Rex Sinquefield.
House Republican Campaign Committee, Inc - $20,750 from Missouri Soybean Association.
House Republican Campaign Committee, Inc - $20,000 from MO Optometric PAC.
House Republican Campaign Committee, Inc - $15,000 from Enterprise Holdings Inc. Political Action Committee.
House Republican Campaign Committee, Inc - $15,000 from Xcaliber International LTD LLC (Pryor, OK).
House Republican Campaign Committee, Inc - $13,000 from Missouri & Northern Arkansas Railroad (Rochester, NY).
House Republican Campaign Committee, Inc - $10,000 from MO Republican Attorneys for Civil Justice PAC.
House Republican Campaign Committee, Inc - $10,000 from HTH Companies Inc.
House Republican Campaign Committee, Inc - $10,000 from Conservative Leaders of Missouri LLC.
House Republican Campaign Committee, Inc - $10,000 from David Steward.
House Republican Campaign Committee, Inc - $5,175 from Missourians for Shields.
House Democratic Campaign Committee - $20,000 from IBEW Local 124 Voluntary Political Fund.
House Democratic Campaign Committee - $15,000 from Pipe Fitters Local 553 Volunteer Political Fund.
House Democratic Campaign Committee - $10,000 from MHA HealthPAC.
Missourians for Fair Governance - $100,000 from Missouri Association of REALTORS.
Missourians for Healthy Families & Fair Wages - $6,520 from Missouri Jobs with Justice Voter Action.
Birthdays
Happy birthdays to Donna Pfautsch, Tim O’Connell, and Mark Siettmann.
Sunday: Trent Watson, Rose Windmiller, Stacey Newman, and Chuck Gross.