MOScout Daily Report: What 8-Day Reports Told Us - Dems Rival GOP Spending - House 10 & 20 in Play? - Green Goes After Christ and more…
It’s a dense report this morning full of lots of numbers. This is my rundown of the 8-Day reports. All the numbers refer to the period covered in those reports: October 1 - October 22. It’s a crucial timeframe for campaigns to get their message out. Obviously, there’s still the final two weeks of the campaign, and every candidate imagines their closing message hitting the mailbox just as the voter leaves to go to the polling site. But with early voting, you really can’t leave too much in the tank.
Here are my big takeaways from these reports…
· Will of the People PAC could be a game-changer for Democrats. The campaign committee as of this report raised $3.3 million. And, together with the Missouri State Democratic Committee, they’re giving the House Republican Campaign Committee a true adversary for the first time in a long time. In the PAC spending lists below, HRCC spent $2 million on independent expenditures in House races during this period. WOTP and the MO Dem State Committee spent about $1.5 million. That $500,000 gap is not nothing, but it’s completely different from cycles in the past when Dem candidates were overwhelmingly swamped by Republican spending.
· HRCC is all defense. The top 15 spends are all defensive.
· St. Charles is a real battleground. Three districts are among the top ten HRCC spend, totally over $400,000 – in this three-week period.
And some interesting notes…
· New Watches: House 10 and 20. HRCC has spent heavily in two districts that weren’t on my PowerRankings Watch List: House 10 (St. Joe’s, Bill Falkner termed) and House 20 (East Independence, Mike Steinmeyer). They spent over $100,000 in House 10 and over $60,000 in House 20. Neither is priority for Dem spending.
· House 96: St. Louis Aldermanic Board President Megan Green reported an independent expenditure of $23,000 opposing Rep. Brad Christ. It’s unusual for a municipal official to spend so much on a race outside their own jurisdiction. It’s probably due to the issue of state control of the St. Louis Police Department. Christ sponsored legislation; Green was one of the most prominent local officials to support pandemic-era “Defund The Police” efforts.
· House 101: Rep. Ben Keathley is still sitting on a pile of cash – over $100,000 in his candidate committee and $70,000 in his PAC. Meanwhile, it’s not like the district isn’t a battleground. HRCC spent $150,000 on this report in House 101 while the Dems have spent $128,000.
8 Day Reports: PACs Spending Lists
Here’s the combined spending for House Republican Campaign Committee, Citizens for a Better Government, Missourians for Justice and Voters for Integrity. Each total combines support for the Republican named with opposition to the Democrat.
House 105 - $161,193 - Colin Wellenkamp
House 30 - $153,119 - Jeffery Martin
House 101 - $152,031 - Ben Keathley
House 100 - $149,883 - Philip Oehlerking
House 17 - $134,004 - William Allen
House 104 - $133,986 - Terri Violet
House 96 - $133,794 - Brad Christ
House 106 - $125,177 - Travis Wilson
House 133 - $124,710 - Gerald Angelo
House 12 - $116,828 - Jerome Hickey
House 94 - $109,524 - Maryellen Murphy
House 16 - $108,945 - Chris Brown
House 31 - $106,998 - Ron Fowler
House 10 - $104,689 - Paul Gatewood
House 20 - $62,255 - Michael Steinmeyer
House 132 - $40,132 - Russell Gosselin
House 107 - $26,599 - Mark Matthiesen
House 56 - $23,807 - Steve Baker
House 44 - $16,001 - John Martin
House 60 - $15,503 - Shane Kampeter
House 97 - $14,204 - David Robertson
House 135 - $10,083 - Michael Hasty
House 95 - $8,181 - Bob Mahacek
House 38 - $3,031 - Mary Hill
House 14 - $2,002 - Frank Pendleton
House 110 - $1,900 - Niles Stephens
House 136 - $1,876 - Jacey Buckles
House 35 - $1,749 - Jacqueline Stenger
House 21 - $1,627 - Michael Young
House 69 - $1,619.51 - Scott Miller
House 89 - $1,589 - George Hruza
House 88 - $1,476 - Holly Jones
House 33 - $1,431 - Carolyn Caton
House 65 - $1,397 - Wendy Hausman
House 92 - $1,340 - Kenneth Abram
House 29 - $1,271 - Robert Bruette
House 34 - $1,238 - Sean Smith
House 98 - $1,225 - Timothy Bosch
Here’s the combined spend for Will of the People + Missouri Democratic State Committee
House 17 - $164,091 - Susan Hoisington
House 100 - $149,643 - Mary Ann Perkins
House 105 - $145,990 - Caterina Clayton
House 104 - $134,786 - Tara Murray
House 101 - $128,878 - Paul Lentz
House 106 - $127,310 - Jewel Kelly
House 96 - $126,755 - Matt Vitale
House 30 - $113,063 - Kevin Grover
House 12 - $101,374 - Tracey Steele
House 133 - $75,557 - Katelyn Zach
House 16 - $73,304 - Dan Kinate
House 136 - $22,061 - Stephanie Hein
House 14 - $20,248 - Ashley Aune
House 110 - $14,831 - Claire Heinrich
House 135 - $12,192 - John Chiles
House 88 - $8,514 - Jennifer Trickey
House 56 - $5,772 - Staci Czar
House 119 - $5,631 - Amy Thompson
House 20 - $5,000 - Jeff Spicer
House 94 - $5,000 - Cathy Summers
House 102 - $4,340 - David Rogers
House 158 - $4,281.37 - Christopher Foster
House 59 - $2,910 - Becky Kroll
House 69 - $2,894 - Chris Chapman
House 48 - $2,840 - Hope Tinker
House 32 - $2,839 - Jennifer Cassidy
House 157 - $2,838 - Bradley Bos
House 103 - $2,826 - Don Crozier
House 131 - $2,820 - Ashley Cossins
House 39 - $2,811 - Tanya Lakins
House 163 - $2,785 - Brenna Barksdale
House 161 - $2,778 - Aaron Metzger
House 127 - $2,737 - Marvin Manring
SENATE
Missouri Senate Campaign Committee
Senate 30 - $855,359 - Melanie Stinnett
Senate 34 - $200,000 - Mike Jones
Senate Democratic Campaign Committee + Will of the People + Missouri Democratic State Committee
Senate 8 - $1,290,476 - Keri Ingle
Senate 30 - $226,612 - Betsy Fogle
Senate 34 - $10,642 - Shereka Barnes
Senate 16 - $2,853 - Virginia Staabs
Candidate 8-Day Reports
HOUSE
House 12
Republican Jerry Hickey Raised $2,355 | Spent/disbursed $18,933 | Cash on hand $3,173.
Democrat Tracey Steele Raised $16,417 | Spent/disbursed $37,696 | Cash on hand $26,413.
House 16
Rep. Chris Brown Raised $14,330 | Spent/disbursed $1,120 | Cash on hand $72,700.
· Kansas City Forward Raised $5,000 | Spent/disbursed $0 | Cash on hand $33,476.
Democrat Dan Kinate Raised $7,092 | Spent/disbursed $32,320 | Cash on hand $5,513.
· Empowered PAC Raised $15,200 | Spent/disbursed $0 | Cash on hand $15,200.
House 17
Rep. Bill Allen Raised $4,300 | Spent/disbursed $13,536 | Cash on hand $23,585.
Democrat Susan Hoisington Raised $17,803 | Spent/disbursed $29,719 | Cash on hand $6,930.
House 21
Republican Michael Young Raised $1,575 | Spent/disbursed $931 | Cash on hand $18,798.
Rep. Will Jobe Raised $15,137 | Spent/disbursed $6,072 | Cash on hand $50,182.
House 30
Republican Jeff Martin Raised $3,354 | Spent/disbursed $20,770 | Cash on hand $7,219.
Democrat Kevin Grover Raised $13,533 | Spent/disbursed $33,960 | Cash on hand $37,720.
House 31
Rep. Ron Fowler Raised $3,700 | Spent/disbursed $19,819 | Cash on hand $26,613.
Democrat Justin Geiser Raised $3,077 | Spent/disbursed $17 | Cash on hand $11,016.
House 34
Republican Sean Smith has not yet filed.
Rep. Kemp Strickler Raised $19,023 | Spent/disbursed $36,594 | Cash on hand $62,795.
House 38
Republican Mary Hill Raised $3,506 | Spent/disbursed $13,401 | Cash on hand $1,061.
Rep. Marty Jacobs Raised $8,117 | Spent/disbursed $31,366 | Cash on hand $23,684.
House 94
Republican Maryellen Murphy Raised $2,000 | Spent/disbursed $27,996 | Cash on hand $10,164.
Democrat Cathy Summers Raised $19,051 | Spent/disbursed $20,427 | Cash on hand $19,495.
House 96
Rep. Brad Christ Raised $22,629 | Spent/disbursed $158,750 | Cash on hand $150,569.
· Real Action PAC Raised $78,886 | Spent/disbursed $288,590 | Cash on hand $227,519.
Democrat Matt Vitale Raised $36,649 | Spent/disbursed $21,544 | Cash on hand $52,041.
House 100
Rep. Philip Oehlerking Raised $2,550 | Spent/disbursed $47,211 | Cash on hand $34,278.
Democrat Mary Ann Perkins Raised $21,794 | Spent/disbursed $49,631 | Cash on hand $26,035.
House 101
Rep. Ben Keathley Raised $34,891 | Spent/disbursed $6,019 | Cash on hand $109,473.
· Freedom Is Bold PAC Raised $8,000 | Spent/disbursed $2,438 | Cash on hand $74,554.
Democrat Paul Lentz Raised $12,186 | Spent/disbursed $17,900 | Cash on hand $12,902.
House 104
Rep. Terri Violet Raised $11,071 | Spent/disbursed $30,951 | Cash on hand $10,301.
Democrat Tara Murray Raised $14,236 | Spent/disbursed $30,775 | Cash on hand $35,086.
House 105
Rep. Colin Wellenkamp Raised $21,065 | Spent/disbursed $5,256 | Cash on hand $52,068.
· Missouri Rising PAC Raised $7,500 | Spent/disbursed $3,000 | Cash on hand $7,008.
Democrat Cat Clayton Raised $20,624 | Spent/disbursed $59,562 | Cash on hand $11,923.
House 106
Rep. Travis Wilson Raised $23,610 | Spent/disbursed $11,482 | Cash on hand $28,103.
Democrat Jewel Kelly Raised $18,797 | Spent/disbursed $23,708 | Cash on hand $8,204.
House 110
Republican Niles Stephens Raised $14,410 | Spent/disbursed $15,088 | Cash on hand $6,857.
Democrat Claire Heinrich Raised $10,952 | Spent/disbursed $49,714 | Cash on hand $6,592.
House 132
Republican Russ Gosselin Raised $16,900 | Spent/disbursed $21,142 | Cash on hand $22,228.
· Missouri Families First PAC Raised $7,000 | Spent/disbursed $8,213 | Cash on hand $786.
Rep. Jeremy Dean Raised $11,546 | Spent/disbursed $9,605 | Cash on hand $25,086.
House 133
Republican Jerry Angelo Raised $3,950 | Spent/disbursed $20,500 | Cash on hand $7,254.
Democrat Katelyn Zach Raised $15,361 | Spent/disbursed $17,874 | Cash on hand $17,363.
House 136
Republican Jacey Buckles has not filed yet.
Rep. Stephanie Hein Raised $33,757 | Spent/disbursed $12,838 | Cash on hand $93,669.
· Forward 417 Raised $6,850 | Spent/disbursed $8,373 | Cash on hand $8,476.
SENATE
Senate 8
Rep. Jon Patterson Raised $83,745 | Spent/disbursed $425,306 | Cash on hand $114,330.
· Missouri Alliance PAC Raised $108,759 | Spent/disbursed $671,254 | Cash on hand $1,100,809.
Rep. Keri Ingle Raised $68,928 | Spent/disbursed $248,833 | Cash on hand $86,654.
· KERI PAC Raised $204,400 | Spent/disbursed $57,200 | Cash on hand $283,662.
Senate 30
Rep. Melanie Stinnett Raised $45,931 | Spent/disbursed $152,146 | Cash on hand $245,219.
· Heart of SGF PAC Raised $38,400 | Spent/disbursed $110,036 | Cash on hand $580,128.
Rep. Betsy Fogle Raised $98,782 | Spent/disbursed $247,184 | Cash on hand $136,543.
· Forward PAC Raised $227,500 | Spent/disbursed $618,440 | Cash on hand $246,966.
Senate 34
Rep. Mike Jones Raised $23,800 | Spent/disbursed $219,332 | Cash on hand $23,413.
· Beverly PAC Raised $181,600 | Spent/disbursed $379,168 | Cash on hand $48,096.
Democrat Shereka Barnes Raised $17,063 | Spent/disbursed $13,520 | Cash on hand $7,199.
CAMPAIGNS
Amendment 3 - FOR - Her Health, Her Future PAC Raised $3,670,922 | Spent/disbursed $3,166,044 | Cash on hand $675,923.
Amendment 3 - FOR - Vote Yes on Amendment 3 Raised $1,000,000 | Spent/disbursed $1,000,000 | Cash on hand $0.
Amendment 3 - AGAINST - Stop the Ban Raised $6,974,943 | Spent/disbursed $14,891,979 | Cash on hand $1,832,886.
Amendment 3 AGAINST / Amendment 6 FOR - Protect Freedom and Democracy Raised $530,690 | Spent/disbursed $45,038 | Cash on hand $691,579.
Amendment 6 - FOR - Respect MO Voters Campaign Raised $439,241 | Spent/disbursed $399,345 | Cash on hand $245,741.
Amendment 6 - FOR - Vote Yes on Amendment 6 Raised $3,123,358 | Spent/disbursed $2,584,058 | Cash on hand $618,566.
Amendment 6 - AGAINST - MO Protect PAC Raised $75,714 | Spent/disbursed $30,237 | Cash on hand $60,346.
Lobbyist Registrations
Catalyst added Polymarket and Specialty Granules LLC; and deleted Families Against Mandatory Minimums KNOWiNK, and Empower Missouri .
Alex Eaton deleted Northeast Missouri Health Council, and Fairway Management Company.
Carmen Schulze deleted Discovery Schools, LLC.
$5K+ Contributions
People Not Politicians - $314,330 from National Redistricting Action Fund (Washington, DC).
House Republican Campaign Committee, Inc - $60,000 from Citizens for Owen.
House Republican Campaign Committee, Inc - $8,500 from Missouri Conservative Principles PAC.
House Republican Campaign Committee, Inc - $10,000 from National Shooting Sports Foundation, Inc. (Shelton, CT).
Greater Springfield Realtor Party PAC - $30,263 from Missouri REALTORS PAC, Inc.
Her Health, Her Future PAC - $25,000 from Judy Burns.
Missouri Right to Life PAC - $10,000 from Tim Sullivan.
Electrical Workers Voluntary Political Education & Legislative Funds - Missouri - $22,582 from IBEW Local One.
JCDC Truman PAC - $15,000 from Cleaver for Congress.
Heartland Action PAC - $13,400 from Thompson Coburn LLP.
Heartland Action PAC - $20,000 from Sheet Metal Workers International Local 36.
Partners for Public Safety - $10,000 from The Sosland Foundation.
MO Republican Party - $15,000 from Valerie Ratts.
MO Republican Party - $15,000 from David Dobbs.
MO Republican Party - $15,000 from David Steward.
MO Republican Party - $15,000 from Thelma Steward.
MO Republican Party - $20,000 from Rodger Riney.
MO Republican Party - $20,000 from Paula Riney.
Stop the Ban - $6,500 from Jean Rosenthal.
Vote Yes on Amendment 6 - $75,000 from Missouri AFL-CIO.
Freedom Incorporated - $10,000 from Partners for Public Safety.
Birthdays
Happy birthdays to Kurt Schaefer, Stacey Preis, Michael Henderson, and Jay Houghton.