O’Laughlin on Tax Credits

Sen. Cindy O'Laughlin on Facebook before chairing the first meeting of the Interim Committee on Tax Credit Efficiency and Reform, writes: I think there's a case to be made for economic incentive but the reality is massive amounts of tax credits result in a consequence which is lower general revenue… When you look at the picture in totality it's startling. I'd like to see greater accountability in the tax credit system and I'd like to see the credits scaled back. Scaled back a lot….

Medicaid Expansion Committee Formed

In the new committees, there’s a campaign committee formed to support a Medicaid expansion ballot question.  The treasurer is Joe Pierle. He’s the executive director of Missouri Primary Care Association.  See his bio here.

Huge Turnout Coming in 2020?

From Bruce Mehlman’s visual-storybook update on the 2020 election (see it here)…

If actual voting once again exceeds enthusiasm to vote, expect highest turnout since 1896 (which was 79.6%)

Ryan Myers formed a candidate committee (Myers For Missouri) to run for Senate 9 as a Democrat.  The current incumbent, Sen. Kiki Curls, is termed.  Myers is an alderman in Raytown.  See his bio here.

$$$ Start to Flow into Galloway PAC

In the large contributions, there’s a spurt of big money heading into Keep Government Accountable.  That’s the PAC aligned with Auditor Nicole Galloway.

A little over $50,000 came in from unions and a law firm.  These are the stalwart Democratic constituencies.  But Galloway has a long way to go to close the money gap with the incumbent.

Barnes to O’Laughlin

With the departure of Paul Curtman to Wisconsin, Sen. Cindy O’Laughlin has hired Fred Barnes to be her new chief of staff. Barnes comes from Sen. Tony Luetkemeyer’s office where he served as legislative assistant last session.

Senate 33: Kelly Antes Up

In the race to succeed Sen. Mike Cunningham, Van Kelly put $100K into his campaign committee.  Kelly is a former state representative.  Follow him on Twitter here.

He faces Rep. Robert Ross (see his bio here) in the Republican primary.

Trump = GOP Primary Gold

What stands out from last week’s MOScout poll on Senate 29 isn’t the relative numbers of the two largely unknown Republican candidates.  It’s the towering approval number of President Donald Trump with Republican primary voters.

Q1: What is your opinion Donald Trump?

Favorable: 82%

Unfavorable: 14%

No opinion: 4%

WaPo on The Opioid Epidemic

Washington Post has a map of the United States that shows how many opioid pills were shipped to each county, annually per capita.  See it here.  It’s frightening.

Southeast Missouri has some of the highest rates…

Butler County:  99.7 pills per person per year.

Pemiscot County: 89.3 pills per person per year.

Dunklin County: 85.5 pills per person per year.

Scott County: 79.6 pills per person per year.

Ripley County: 79.4 pills per person per year.

Mississippi County: 67.8 pills per person per year.

Interim Committee on Local Taxes

Speaker Elijah Haahr formed the Interim Committee on Oversight of Local Taxation to see how “local governments are determining taxes and are impacted by current tax policy.”  Rep. J. Eggleston is chairing the committee.  See the committee members here.

What It Means

The Republican-dominated General Assembly, after a decade of cutting state taxes, is increasingly turning its gaze to the local governments.  In the tug-of-war between conservative banners of “low taxes” and “local control,” taxes seems to be winning.

The Easy Part

Governor Mike Parson signed Executive Order 19-13 “creating the Missouri Health Insurance Innovation Task Force. The Governor’s action aims to curb rising healthcare premiums and increase access and competition in health insurance markets for all Missourians…The Task Force is challenged to develop concepts that will improve access to affordable insurance options and healthcare services within the state while reducing the state’s uninsured rates, with an emphasis on increasing access to healthcare in rural areas of the state.”

E-Tailing Keeps Growing

The Missouri legislature was unable to implement an internet sales tax last session, but e-tailer Amazon hasn’t stopped growing. 

·         Prime Day just ended with approximately $5.8 billion in sales, up from $4.1 billion last year.

Yesterday was the filing deadline for the July fundraising quarter.

Top Cash on Hand

Uniting Missouri PAC - $2,885,364

Parson For Missouri - $1,149,893

Carpenters Help in the Political Process (CHIPP) – $1,079,745

Enterprise Holdings, Inc. PAC - $1,023,515

Eastern Missouri Laborers Educational & Benevolent Fund - $1,012,742

Rhoads Terminates Committee

Former Rep. Shawn Rhoads terminated his candidate committee, spending down the final $9K that was in the account since he resigned.  The report’s expenditures included a fair number of charitable contributions as well as an office equipment expense.  Rhoads recently registered to lobby.

MOScout Poll: Parson – Dem Prez Preference

Survey conducted July 10 through July 11. 1,122 likely 2020 Democratic Primary Election voters participated in the survey. Margin of Error is +/-3%.

Q1: Possible candidates in the 2020 Democratic Primary for President are Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg, Beto O’Rourke, Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee, Marianne Williamson, and Andrew Yang. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?

Joe Biden: 43%

Kamala Harris: 13%

Elizabeth Warren: 15%

Driving the Day

U.S. Senator Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) and members of the Senate Judiciary Committee will travel to McAllen, Texas to get a firsthand look at the crisis at the southern border. The group will meet with Vice President Mike Pence and participate in a tour of the border led by the Department of Homeland Security.

Gamble Joins Gamble & Schlemeier

In the lobbyist registrations today, Bill Gamble’s son, Jack Gamble, is joining Gamble & Schlemeier.  Daughter Katie Gamble is already walking the halls, along with Schlemeier sprig, Sarah Schlemeier.

HB 126 Referendum

There is an alternative strategy which opponents could embrace: drop the HB 126 referendum, and pursue a constitutional amendment for 2020.  The benefits of this would be…

·         The campaign would no longer be under ticking clock to gather signatures by the end of summer.

·         The ballot language could be crafted to maximize the odds of success.

·         The constitutional protection would prevent future legislative attacks.

HB 126 Referendum Ruling

While this was a victory of the ACLU, the ruling did little to clear the obstacles that remain in their effort to hold a referendum on HB 126.

·         Opponents of the abortion bill worry that the AG’s office and SOS’s office will slow-mo their duties – perhaps even appealing the court’s decision to the Supreme Court.  Every delay will devour increasingly critical time to collect the necessary signatures.

·         Once the signatures are collected, one must assume that Ashcroft will again reject the petition on the same grounds he just did.

Driving the Day

10AM this morning, oral arguments will be heard in the Western District Court of Appeals for ACLU v. Ashcroft.  This is the latest round in the saga around HB 126.

Speaker Elijah Haahr, Senate Pro Tem Dave Schatz and bill sponsor Nick Schroer have joined the case in support of Ashcroft.  They filed an amicus brief in their official capacities of members and officers of the MO General Assembly.  They’re defending Ashcroft’s actions, saying their unique insight will help the Court understand the validity of their use of the emergency clause.