Gregory Launches TV

Rep. David Gregory will release his first TV ad this morning. It’s a 15-second spot.

Gregory opens the contrast with his primary opponent. There’s a picture of Scott Fitzpatrick who Gregory calls an “establishment politician,” while twice referring to himself as an auditor.

Team PAC Out of Gas?

Team PAC, the Super PAC support Eric Greitens for US Senate, appears to have expended all of their resources ahead of the final push.

1. Livestock vs Pets.

2. Wild Hog Explosion.

3-4. Abortion.

5. Stance on transgender issues, by religion.

6. Motivations for Midterms.

7. States with estate taxes.

8. Communication technology?

Trump Says Hartzler Won’t Get His Endorsement

Twitter lit up last night after former President Donald Trump announced on his social media platform that he had ruled out endorsing Congresswoman Vicky Hartzler. 

Devastating New Anti-Greitens Ad

The latest ad from the Show Me Values PAC uses quotes from Sheena Greitens’ affidavit.  It’s devastating. 

Hartzler Super PAC Launches Ads

Secure Our Freedom Action Fund is launching an ad today, “Tough,” in support of Congresswoman Vicky Hartzler. The ad calls her “a proven Christian conservative,” and promises that she will “finish Trump’s wall.”

Public Opinion Strategies Senate 2 Poll

A tipster passed along this poll from Patrick Lanne’s Public Opinion Strategies.  He’s worked for HRCC and other MO GOP candidates over the years. 

Ed Reformers Load PAC

The Missouri Federation for Children PAC received $500,000 from the American Federation for Children over the weekend…

Gov Announces Budget Line Item Vetoes

Governor Mike Parson signed the budget bills and vetoed specific line items within the bills. 

Wood Announces Senate Bid

John Wood announced he’d seek Missouri’s US Senate seat as an Independent. Wood is answering the call of Jack Danforth who months ago said he saw an opening for a right-of-center mainstream Republican to run – and win – as an Independent.

MRL Federal Endorsements

Missouri Right to Life announced their endorsements of federal candidates.

Valentine The Nurse

“The Senate could sure use a nurse for a change.”  It’s the tagline in Trudy Busch Valentine’s new ad. 

Roorda Collects Labor Support

Jeff Roorda, running in Sensate 22 as a Republican, has a fundraiser this Thursday. It’s at the Operating Engineers Local 148. And the invite hosts list has lots of labor bigwigs.

1. Missouri abortion trend, 2017 – 2020.

2. Oil and Gas prices.

3. Ethanol price outpacing oil.

4. Guns and kids don’t mix.

5. Belief in God.

6. UFO sightings, by state.

Q3: Thinking about the 2020 election, which statement best sums up your feelings…

There was widespread election fraud which is why Donald Trump lost the election: 53%

There was some election fraud, but Joe Biden would have won regardless: 18%

There was little to no election fraud: 29%

MRL House Endorsements

Missouri Right to Life PAC formally issued their House endorsements yesterday.  As with their Senate endorsements, pro-life House members were largely shunned by the organization due to the chamber passing the renewal of the FRA tax without the anti-abortion language that MRL sought.

RightPath Starts Spending War Chest

The RightPath PAC has started spending some of its massive war chest.

According to April campaign finance filings, RightPath PAC – funded largely by wealthy individuals associated with Washington University – had nearly $2.5 million cash on-hand, more than any other PAC in the state.

The conventional wisdom in Missouri is that Donald Trump could be a decisive factor if he endorses. Maybe we’ll overestimated his potential impact?

US Senate: Upset Watch

I’m officially calling an “upset watch” in Missouri’s US Senate race.  The assumption remains that Republicans will hold this seat.  After all Donald Trump carried it by 15 points two years ago.  But we now have a plausible scenario for Dems to pull off an upset. 

Brunner Backs Schmitt

Former Republican gubernatorial candidate and US Senate candidate John Brunner endorsed Attorney General Eric Schmitt.