What To Watch For

Here’s what I’ll be watching for tonight…

City of Baldwin Fined

Missouri Ethic Commission fined the City of Ballwin $100 for failing to put a “paid for” on a mailer about a use tax ballot question.

1. Labor force participation rate.

2. Childcare as a (or maybe the) workforce issue.

3. Disabled people in the workforce.

4. Partisan divide – is it money or education?

5 & 6. Trust in government.

7 & 8. Flu season.

Q3: Do you think Missouri is headed in the right direction, or going off on the wrong track?

Right direction: 29%

Wrong track: 55%

Not sure: 16%

New Senate Poll

Trafalgar Group has a new US Senate poll.

Eric Schmitt – 53.3%

Trudy Valentine – 42.3%

Jonathan Dine – 2.1%

Undecided – 2.3%

Schmitt Closing Argument: The Economy, Stupid

In Eric Schmitt’s latest ad he casts the election in economic terms…

Senate Minority Leader John Rizzo sent $200K from his campaign account to the Senate Democrats’ campaign committee.

8-Day Reports

A few nuggets from my first look at last night’s campaign finance filings…

Kelly Exits House Floor Race

Rep. Hannah Kelly announced that she was withdrawing from the House Floor Leader race.

1. Haunted houses.

2. Midterm turnout.

3. Party identification.

4. Drought forecast

5. Obesity.

6. Monthly pot spend.

7-8. Annoying co-workers.

Q1: What issue is most important to you?

Reducing crime: 18%

Reining in healthcare costs: 7%

Protecting abortion rights: 21%

Stopping illegal immigration: 15%

Tackling inflation: 22%

Something else: 9%

Not sure: 9%

MOIndy on Anti-A3’s Strange Bedfellows

The Missouri Independent has an article about the “ideologically scattershot constellation of organizations and elected officials that have come out of the woodwork in recent weeks to urge Missourians to reject a marijuana legalization proposal appearing on the Nov. 8 ballot as Amendment 3.”

Ashcroft Will Vote No on 3

Secretary of State Jay Ashcroft told KSDK’s Mark Maxwell he’ll be voting No on the marijuana legalization question.

Parson on Shooting

In an interview with Emily Manley, Governor Mike Parson says any change in gun laws would be ineffective, and rather mental health services are the best bet to stop future school shootings.

School Shooting in St. Louis

St. Louis was rocked yesterday by a school shooting.

Republican Optimism Rises

Republicans are feeling that the momentum has shifted in their favor.Things reached a nadir a three or four months ago after the Dobbs decision.

1. Congressional forecast.

2. Your vote doesn’t matter.

3. Issue strengths.

4. Healthcare costs as an issue.

5. Teachers in MO pipeline.

6. Gender of teachers.

7. Child poverty rates, by state.

8. Midwest mistrust.

9. Class identification.

Page PAC Hits Mantovani on Political Contributions

A new ad from the pro-Sam Page PAC attacks Mark Mantovani as a “MAGA extremist,” citing his contributions to Eric Greitens and Rudy Guiliani.

Billy Busch Speaks (about his sister, not to his sister)

· During the interview, he also repeated debunked claims that Trump won the 2020 election and said he appreciated Schmitt’s failed attempt to intervene as attorney general in the electoral process on behalf of the former president.

Hruza Nears $1M Self-Fund Mark

George Hruza, running in Senate 24, wrote a check to his campaign for $450,000 yesterday. It’s the twelfth large contribution he has made to his effort so far – and the largest by far.

He’s now contributed $928,000 to his campaign